BRAZILIAN AGRIBUSINESS Overview China Development Bank - MDIC Meeting Brasília, January 21st, 2011 1 2009 RANKING: BRAZILIAN PRODUCTION AND EXPORTS Production Exports Number of Markets Exports US$ Billion Sugar 1st 1st 124 8.378 Coffee 1st 1st 81 3.762 Orange Juice 1st 1st 75 1.619 Soybeans 2nd 2nd 46 11.413 Beef 2nd 1st 142 4.118 Tobacco 2nd 1st 100 2.992 Ethanol 2nd 1st 48 1.338 Broiler 3rd 1st 146 5.307 Corn 4th 3rd 49 1.259 Pork 4th 4th 81 1.225 Main Products Sources: USDA and MAPA AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION INDEX: 1992-2019 FAO-OCDE Projections “Brazil is the fastest growing agricultural sector by far, growing by over 40% to 2019, when compared to the 2007-09 base period.” (OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2010-2019) 3 AGRICULTURE AREA 2007/2008 HARVEST Most of recent expansion in agricultural area is on pasture land Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Brazilian Institution of Geography and Statistics (pastures – 2006) MAJOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS IN BRAZIL GROSS VALUE OF PRODUCTION Source: Agriculture and Livestock National Confederation – June 2009 5 BRAZILIAN AGRIBUSINESS EXPORTS MAIN PRODUCTS – 2010* Total: US$ 73.9 billion Source: Ministry of Development, Industry and External Commerce. 2009 Elaboration: Ministry of Agriculture * From November 2009 to October 2010 6 BRAZILIAN AGRIBUSINESS EXPORTS MAIN DESTINATIONS – 2010* Total: US$ 73.9 billion Source: Ministry of Development, Industry and External Commerce. 2009 Elaboration: Ministry of Agriculture * From November 2009 to October 2010 7 DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND EXPORTS Roughly 70% of the Brazilian agricultural production aims the national market. Sources: Ministry of Agriculture, Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - 2009 Elaboration: Ministry of Agriculture 8 Corn field Harvesting soybean GRAINS Harvesting cotton Soybean field 9 GRAINS - PRODUCTION AND AREA 1991 to 2010 149,0 143,7 122,5 Million tons and hectares 123,2 135,2 131,7 100,3 114,7 Production 81,1 78,4 68,3 Growth: 157,3% = 5,1% / year 82,4 57,9 37,9 91 92 35,6 93 94 38,5 95 36,6 96 97 Source: National Company of Food Supply 98 43,9 37,8 36,9 49,1 47,7 47,3 46,2 Harvested Area Growth: 24,9% = 1.2% / year 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 10 MEAT Large scale, state of the art production Biggest exporter of beef and poultry MEAT PRODUCTION EVOLUTION 12.000 10.932 12000 11.000 Broiler:+ +170% 216%(95-09) (94-09) Broiler: Thousand metric tons 10.00010000 Beef 9.000 Broiler 8000 9.180 8.000 Beef: % (95-09) Beef: +83+70 % (94-09) 3.190 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 2.000 0 1,330 1997 3.000 Pork: + 117% (95-09) 1996 4.000 3,411 2000 1995 5.000 2009 5,200 6.000 4000 1994 Thousand Metric Tons 7.000 6000 1.000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Conab High domestic consumption and #1 world exporter ¹ The meat consumption in Brazil is close to 100 kg / inhabitant / year, with more than 43 kg of chicken meat, 37 kg of beef and 14 kg of pork. Domestic demand accounts for about 70% of chicken production, 80% of beef production and 85% of pork production. SUGARCANE 13 SUGAR AND ETHANOL: PRODUCTION AND AREA 20 35 31,3 SUGAR 30 27,6 Production 25 20 15 16 14 12 ETHANOL Growth 2002-2009: 142.4% (11.7% p.y.) 8,9 11,5 10 8 10 6 7,4 4,3 4 5 Harvested Area Growth 2002-2009: 44.5% (5.4% p.y.) Harvested area (millions ha) Growth 2002-2009: 93.2% (8.6% p.y.) 18 2 0 0 Harvested area Sugar (million tons) Ethanol (million m³) 14 Sources: Ministry of Agriculture, National Company of Food Supply Brazilian Coffee One country, many flavors 15 FRUITS: Diversity and Good Quality MILK 17 MILK Increasing production lead to self sufifciency Source: Milk National Forum – Brazilian Confedeeration of Agricultrue and Livestock 18 PLANTED FORESTS Planted forests - 6.8 million ha support a diversified wood industry Biggest world exporter of hardwood pulp Highest productivity country in the world Largest growth potential Forestry productivity Conifers 40,5 15 5,5 Source: ABRAF 18 12 m³/ha/year 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 (Million ha) m³/ha/year Hardwood 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 37,6 22 10 3,5 2,5 FOREIGN INVESTIMENT IN AGRIBUSINESS 20 GLOBAL TRENDS World population growth with increasing per capita income Increasing demand for higher-quality, better, protein-intensive food (i.e.meat) Continuous need of food production increase Shortage of new areas for agricultural production Challenges to food security BRAZILIAN AGRIBUSINESS COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES Strong, thriving economy & Institutional framework Leadership in tropical technology Natural resources abundance (land, water, solar energy) Farming vocation & Business entrepreneurship STRONG, THRIVING ECONOMY & INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK Social inclusion & income distribution (upgrowth of middle class) Investment enhancement Consolidated democracy, with stable legal and institutional framework Infrastructure long-term investment program, with strategic actions Sustainable growth based on macroeconomic prudential policies Robust fiscal rules (primary surplus & rigid control of public deficit) Low external vulnerability (with free capital flow) Land investments in Brazil follow well established regulatory procedures permitting several forms of access to foreign investors EVOLUTION OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN BRAZIL 2001-2009 43,886 45,000 40,000 33,705 US$ million 35,000 30,444 30,000 25,000 21,042 20,265 18,778 20,000 15,000 21,522 22,231 12,902 10,000 5,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 24 2009 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS By origin - average 2007-2009 Others 25.4% Netherland s 17.1% Canada 3.4% Cayman Islands 3.9% Germany 4.9% France Japan 5.7% 5.8% USA 16.5% Spain 8.7% Luxembur g 8.6% 25 STRONG, THRIVING ECONOMY & INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK No restrictions on commodity exports BRAZILIAN TRADE BALANCE (1990 – 2010*) 70 61.2 60 AGRIBUSINESS 50 17.4 40 b il l i o n 30 TOTAL 20 10 0 -10 US $ -43.8 -20 OTHERS -30 -40 -50 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10* Source: Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade Elaboration: Ministry of Agriculture *Last 12 months (Nov09 – Oct 10) INFRASTRUCTURE LONG-TERM INVESTMENT PROGRAM STRONG THRIVING ECONOMY & INDUSTRIAL FRAMEWORK 27 LEADERSHIP IN TROPICAL TECHNOLOGY Continuous & persistent public and private investments on R&D Opened partnerships with other countries Expressive results of productivity Efficient use of natural resources FARMING VOCATION & BUSINESS ENTREPRENEURSHIP Producer Support Estimate (Public Support to Farmers) 50% Brazil’s competitiveness doesn’t rely on subsidies. 30% 26% 5% 6% 12% 14% Russia 14% USA 21% 9% Japan E.U. OECD Canada Mexico China Brazil Autralia New Zeland 1% 29 Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development TECHONOLOGY and ENTREPRENEURSHIP Sowing corn (2nd harvest) No tillage (environmentally friendly) Harvesting soybean DOUBLE CROPPING - CORN AFTER SOYBEAN Scale, mechanization Two crops in the same year without irrigation 30 FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN AGRIBUSINESS Production Food Processing Distribution Machinery and Equipments Infrastructure Logistics The agribusiness productive chains offer several possibilities for foreign investors: Direct Investment on Projects (Transportation, Storage, Harbourage) Contract Farming (payment in products) Capital Markets (Stocks, Investment Funds) Partnerships and Joint Ventures 31 Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply Department for Agribusiness International Promotion Maurício Fleury Curado Advisor for Foreign Investment Esplanada dos Ministérios, Bloco D, 3º Andar, sala 338 70043-900 - Brasília - DF, BRAZIL Phone: +55 (61) 3218-2425 E-mail: [email protected] www.agricultura.gov.br 32