COMPARISON OF THE RESULTS OF INDEX FIRJAN MUNICIPAL DEVELOPMENT - HEALTH, BASED ON THE APPLICATION OF OIL ROYALTIES IN THE MUNICIPALITIES OF MACAE AND RIO DAS OSTRAS OF THE CAMPOS BASIN Joao Alberto Neves dos Santos (UFF ) [email protected] Juliana Cretton Rizzo (UFF ) [email protected] Valquiria Constancio Batista (UFF ) [email protected] In Brazil, says that if the proceeds of royalties are not applied properly. However, this statement leads us to question whether the result produced by the actions promoted by the State government, offered to population and financed with reesources coming from oil royalties are up to the amount of the royalties. In the northeastern state of Rio de Janeiro, local governments receive funds from oil royalties. It is unclear, however, whether the application of these features is effective to improve the quality of life and health of the population. Public actions of the municipalities are primarily those that determine the social order based on the generation of employment and income and the application of financial resources in health and education, which may serve as a paradigm for comparisons with results from other regions of the country, or other municipalities in the same state or in other states. This study aims to analyze qualitatively the collection of oil royalties, establishing a comparation between the results of Index FIRJAN Municipal Development - Health of the municipalities of Macae and Rio das Ostras, reflected in human development and the improvement of health of the population. Keywords: Evaluation of Royalties. Royalties. IFDM Health 1 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 1 Introduction 1.1 Oil Royalties The word royalty comes from English "royal", meaning "for the king" and refers to the flow of payments to the owner of a non-renewable asset that gives it to be exploited, used, or sold by others ( LEAL and SERRA, 2002). In antiquity, the royalties were amounts charged to third parties for kings and nobles as a compensatory payment for the exploitation of natural resources on their lands, for example, the mineral resources. Currently, this term is directly linked to the oil and natural gas. In this context, royalties symbolize financial compensation offered to those involved in order to neutralize the negative impacts generated to society by the exploitation of these compulsive nonrenewable resources. In Brazil, the oil royalties are paid to the State and the County producer, the municipalities affected by the operation, the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Naval Command and the Special Fund. Since the production of these energy resources has grown over the years (Figure 1), the increase in the transfer of royalties is an immediate consequence. So, the value of royalties depends directly on the volume of production resources in the period. Moreover, recent increases in oil prices were also directly responsible for the progress in the collection and distribution of royalties in recent years. Figure 1 : Evolution of the distribution of royalties on production of oil and natural gas, according beneficiaries 2000-2009. Source: National Petroleum Agency (2010) However, the main issue that pervades the cities of Rio de Janeiro is the destination of those funds transferred, which are increasing. The Petroleum law, despite setting the rules of division of resources among stakeholders, doesn’t establish a minimum investment in important sectors such as public health and education, similar to the organic laws of the municipalities. Thus, it becomes essential for effective inspection of investments coming from royalties in order to ensure the efficient allocation and aware of these resources by the government, which should always prioritize the welfare and quality of life. 2 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 1.2 Index FIRJAN Municipal Development (IFDM) The index FIRJAN Municipal Development (IFDM) is a powerful indicator that follows the development of all Brazilian municipalities by three important perspectives with equal weights: employment and income, education and health. Thus, IFDM is a desirable indicator for the diagnosis of socioeconomic status of states and municipalities. The index is developed annually and is contained in a range from 0 to 1: when closer to one is the best assessment of the municipal. In the case of variable Health, are used the following information: number of prenatal visits and rates of death from ill-defined causes and rates of infant deaths from preventable causes. Aware of the IFDM credibility as an indicator of social development and the contribution of significant royalties on revenues of municipalities in the Bacia de Campos, establishing a direct relationship between both data allowed a qualitative reading of well-directed application of these resources. Enable even a comparison between the performances of regions and consequently the effectiveness of public policies. Finally, the confrontation between the oil royalties collected in that period and the IFDM of the municipalities in the area of Health presented during the same period may classify municipalities into four different groups or clusters. Furthermore, the detailed analysis of these groups reveals significant information about efficiency and effectiveness in the management of resources for the health sector in the region in question. 2. Objective This paper has as main objective to present a method of qualitative reading of oil royalties. This method can serve as an assessment tool, based on the verification of the efficiency and effectiveness of the implementation of the collection of royalties from a region, through the municipal development compared their results to those recorded in other regions. Furthermore, the article aims to investigate the relationship between the collection of royalties and municipal development in order to assess the compatibility between the collection of royalties, the demographic population and IFDM. For this shall be require data about the collection of royalties in the municipalities of the Bacia de Campos, about the population of the region beyond the knowledge about the structure calculation IFDM and data availability in regions. From these elements, if consistent, could develop a model of analysis, qualitative and regional, the collection of royalties. 3. Method The proposed method can be used as a tool for evaluating qualitative dimension of the collection of royalties reflected in the level of human development of the population, through the identification of the group in a region that is located, allowing the comparison of its results with other regions as well as its position in the group to which it belongs. This reading group, combined with the analysis of the composition of IFDM, may establish the bias that public policy should be guided, focused on improving the living conditions of the population and can serve as another tool of the dashboard (and KAPLAN NORTON, 2008) of public managers, allowing them, among other possibilities: - Identify regions that stand out for the level of development achieved with greater efficiency and effectiveness of collection of royalties; - Analyze the public’s policies that are being implemented in the regions mentioned in the letter "a", and influencing the increase in population IFDM, enabling benchmarking for a possible implementation of these actions in their own region, since adapted to their reality, accelerating their process through experiments already experienced; - Analyze the reality of the group in which your region is positioned and the others components. This paper doesn’t propose to discuss the criteria adopted for the construction of these elements, but understand them and use them as a tool for developing a method of qualitative analysis of the collection of royalties. For the methodology, based on a reading model royalty per capita related to IFDM were established the following steps: 3 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 3.1. Data Collection This step will be to collect data relevant to each individual in the population being examined. This sample population may be comprised between the ones of each category, namely: countries, states, counties or microregions. The data to be collected, necessary for conducting the analyzes are: Volume of collection of royalties; demographics population, and the Index FIRJAN Municipal Development - IFDM. With these data, it would be able to build a model of analysis from crossing data explained below. 3.2. Crossing Data This step is done the intersection of the data obtained. For example: data collection of royalties per capita of year X, confronted IFDM that established by X 1 year. With this cross, we intend to get a reading through the scatter plot of the degree of efficiency and effectiveness of collection of royalties, comparing the volume of this collection with the level of development measured by municipal IFDM, according Figure 2. This reading will enable the determination of clusters aiming segmentation analysis. IFDM Arrecadação de Royalties per capita Figure 2 - Model Scatterplot. Source: Author own 3.3. Identification of clusters or groups to be analyzed In this step, for targeting analysis of data obtained at intersections, will be highlighted groups who are in a comparable situation. The clusters are identified by calculating the arithmetic mean of IFDM and the arithmetic mean of the collection of royalties per capita. The criterion used to define the clusters can identify groups that are above or below the average of the sample population, showing graphically the ones that apply, with greater or lesser efficiency and effectiveness, the proceeds from the collection of royalties, according Figure 3. Média Cluster 1 Cluster 2 IFDM Média Cluster 4 Cluster 3 Arrecadação de Royalties per capita Figure 3 - Identification of Clusters in Scatterplot Source: Author own 4 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 3.4. Analysis of conditions for determining the framework of clusters This step will be discussed common issues and the differences observed between groups categorized in clusters, as well as the components of the group itself. Cluster 1 - It is composed of individuals (regions, states, municipalities, micro-regions) that have IFDM level above average, achieved with greater efficiency and effectiveness, given that this group has volume of royalties per capita below the average analyzed. Cluster 2 - It is composed of individuals who have IFDM level above the average of the surveyed population. However, the configuration of this group is less efficient and effective than cluster one, in order to have a volume higher royalty per capita. Special attention should be paid to the regions classified in Cluster 2, cause they have the same level of IFDM than the regions classified in Cluster 1 which characterizes, in that case, that the entity or individual analyzed don’t have the deficiency resourcs proceeds from the royalties, but can be a little efficiency and effectiveness in public policies capable of raising the level of municipal development. Cluster 3 - Individuals components of Cluster 3, despite having higher royalty revenue, have a low level of IFDM which clearly shows, inefficiency and ineffectiveness in the use of royalties in public initiatives for the development of the region. Individuals classified in this category, if they do not adopt more effective public policies aimed at increasing the IFDM, may see a deterioration of social development, when royalties are reduced in value, because the development is the basis of the collection. Cluster 4 - It is composed of individuals who possess the level of royalties and IFDM analyzed below average, placing this cluster at a disadvantage to others. This reading allows to clearly identify the entity or individual analyzed have serious deficiencies, both in its economic development, as in public actions aimed at development of its human population, such as health and education, as compared to other clusters. 4. Results 4.1. Data Collection The data used in this study were obtained from the following sources: - IFDM of 2009 by county of the state of Rio de Janeiro – Index FIRJAN Municipal Development (FIRJAN, 2011); - Population - IBGE, Census 2009 Collection of royalties for 2009 - National Confederation of Municipalities (CNM, 2009) and the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (2010). Table 1: Volume of collection of royalties, and IFDM population of the municipalities in the Campos Basin Municipalities in Volume Population Collection of IFDM (2009) IFDM Health the Campos Basin Collection of (2009) royalties per (2009) Royalties (Year capita 2009) Armação de 41.897.724,65 27.645 1.515,58 Búzios Arraial do Cabo 5.216.022,59 25.811 202,08 Cabo Frio 133.778.273,24 178.741 748,45 Campos dos 938.458.487,36 433.972 2162,49 Goytacazes Carapebus 22.745.005,61 11.595 1.961,70 Casimiro de 56.490.065,54 29.326 1.926,31 Abreu Macaé 365.247.504,11 186.425 1.959,22 Quissamã 90.926.791,95 19.101 4.760,30 Rio das Ostras 252.223.801,18 99.380 2.537,98 São João da Barra 168.329.125,44 29.380 5.729,34 São Pedro da 5.264.049,98 81.540 64,56 Aldeia Source: ANP (2010), INFOROYALTIES (2011) e FIRJAN (2011) 0,6626 0,7874 0,7195 0,7427 0,8247 0,8123 0,7027 0,8419 0,6876 0,8992 0,6800 0,8583 0,8270 0,7473 0,8288 0,7632 0,8935 0,9082 0,8471 0,8549 0,7117 0,8125 5 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 4.2. Crossing Data 4.5. Analysis of Municipal Development Index FIRJAN related to Health of Municipalities of the Campos Basin The Figure 4 shows the intersection of data Royalties per capita of cities in the Campos Basin with IFDM related to health in those cities, allowing a reading of the ranking that can reveal the use of royalties in actions for the development of regional public health. 0,9400 Quissamã 0,9100 Cluster 1 Carapepus Macaé Cluster 2 0,8800 Casimiro de Abreu São João da Barra IFDM Saúde 2009 0,8500 Rio das Ostras Arraial do Cabo IFDM Saúde Média = 0,849 Campos 0,8200 0,7900 São Pedro da Aldeia Cabo Frio Armação de Búzios 0,7600 0,7300 0,7000 0,00 Cluster 4 Cluster 3 Royalty per capita médio = 2.142,55 1.000,00 2.000,00 3.000,00 4.000,00 5.000,00 6.000,00 7.000,00 Royalties per capita Figure 4: Scatterplot royalties per capita versus IFDM Health of Municipalities of the Campos Basin. Source: Author own The analysis was done using scatter chart that shows the counties divided into four clusters, which were obtained based on the arithmetic mean of royalties per capita for each municipality and the arithmetic average IFDM Health 4.3. Identification of clusters or groupings to be analyzed The clusters sorted from the data crossing the royalties, considering the amount of people (per capita) with IFDM Health, shows that there was a modification of the positioning of some municipalities, when analyzing the results specifically related to health of the population. For example, Municipalities Casimiro de Abreu and left Carapebus Cluster 4 to Cluster 1, ie showed superior performance compared to other cities analyzed. Moreover, the municipality of Cabo Frio left the Cluster 1 and Cluster 4 switched to, or underperformed those of other municipalities. Worse still was the municipality of Rio das Ostras since left the Cluster 2 and passed for Cluster 3, featuring your Health IFDM result is worse than the average of municipalities. Table 2 - Clusters: Royalties per capita x IFDM Health Cluster 1 Carapebus Casimiro de Abreu Macaé Cluster 2 Quissamã São João da Barra Cluster 3 Rio das Ostras Campos Goytacazes Cluster 4 Armação de Búzios dos Arraial do Cabo Cabo Frio São Pedro da Aldeia Source: Author own 6 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain We can also make the following analysis of the overall framework of the municipalities in each of the clusters with respect to the parameter IFDM Health Cluster 1 - is represented by the municipalities of Carapebus, Casimiro de Abreu and Macae, who seem to possess greater efficiency and effectiveness in the application of proceeds from the collection of royalties on initiatives focused on developing actions aimed at improving the health of the municipal population . The municipalities of Carapebus and Casimiro de Abreu were in cluster 4 for the global IFDM, but in relation to IFDM now occupy the Health cluster 1, showing that the application of royalties was prioritized actions for performance improvement in health and not to the generation of employment and income. This may be due to the difficulties encountered by these cities to stand as headquarters of companies interested in exploring the growth of the Oil and Gas The city of Macae continued to occupy the cluster 1 compared to IFDM Health, which demonstrates a significant priority in the application of royalties in actions for improving the health of the local population, but knowing seize growth conditions Sector Oil and Gas to attract companies interested in settling in the region. Cluster 2 - The municipalities of Quissamã and São João da Barra remained in this cluster compared to IFDM Health, which is characterized by a high collection of royalties and IFDM above average. In fact, the city of Quissamã stands out as one that has the best performance over IFDM of Health, which can characterize the correct implementation of public policies focused on health. Cluster 3 - The municipality of Rio das Ostras originated from Cluster 2 has occupied along the Campos Goytacazes, Cluster 3 in the outcome of the Health IFDM That is, the application of royalties it feels not to have generated satisfactory results, which can be IFDM evidenced by the fall of this parameter. Actually, Rio oysters deserve a more specific later, in order to compare it with another municipality that also has high IFDM East, but with health-related outcome more appropriate. Cluster 4 - The city of Cabo Frio became part of this cluster with the municipalities of Armacao de Buzios, Arraial do Cabo and São Pedro da Aldeia compared to IFDM Health The city of Cabo Frio moved from Cluster 1 to Cluster 4 on Health parameter characterizing the implementation of health policies were not sufficient, or even that the application of proceeds from royalties on health has not been enough. 4.4. Analysis of the Determinants Conditions for the Placement of Clusters Analysis of Municipalities of Macae and Rio das Ostras It is worthwhile at this point to make a comparative evaluation of the two largest IFDM Middle River Oysters and Macae, to see what may have been the difference in the application of resources that generate such different results related to population health. The data in Table 1, which shows that municipalities Goytacazes Campos, Macae and Rio das Ostras have the highest volume of collection of royalties, but as population sizes have distinct values will be used royalty per capita. Thus, the analysis of the results of Macae and Rio das Ostras may be more interesting to show because of the differences in results. Thus, we performed a detailed study of the application of the proceeds of oil royalties in these two counties. Table 3 show a comparison of the evolution of the volume of revenue from oil royalties relating to municipalities. Table 3: Volume of collection of royalties from the municipalities of Macae and Rio das Ostras Municipality Volume Collection of Royalties 2005 2006 2007 2008 Macaé R$ 346.291.967,80 R$ 408.416.988,96 R$ 353.801.517,16 R$ 501.680.924,82 2009 R$ 365.247.504,11 Rio das Ostras R$ 252.223.801,18 R$ 265.866.158,78 R$ 311.134.130,67 R$ 240.852.045,75 Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) R$ 331.550.609,17 7 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain 600.000.000,00 Volume de arrecadação dos royalties 500.000.000,00 400.000.000,00 Macaé 300.000.000,00 Rio das Ostras 200.000.000,00 100.000.000,00 0,00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Figure 5: Comparison of Volume Collection of Oil Royalties Municipalities of Macae and Rio das Ostras. Source: ANP (2010) From Figure 5, it can be seen that the city of Macae has a volume of collection of oil royalties greater than the volume of Rio das Ostras. To compare the application of proceeds from the collection of royalties in respect of each municipality Health, looked up the total investment value of each municipality applied to the Health of the population, according to the TBI (Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro). These data can be checked in Table 4. Table 4: Data from the cities of Macae and Rio das Ostras Municipality Macaé Rio das Ostras Percentage of Total Investment in Volume Collection royalties Total Investment Year Health of Royalties invested in in Health Health 2005 R$ 97.575.634,06 R$ 346.291.967,80 28,18% R$ 36.179.986,34 2006 R$ 117.676.230,94 R$ 408.416.988,96 28,81% R$ 43.743.445,17 2007 R$ 130.580.946,76 R$ 353.801.517,16 36,91% R$ 62.052.597,45 2008 R$ 120.856.158,72 R$ 501.680.924,82 24,09% * 2009 R$ 135.751.128,70 R$ 365.247.504,11 37,17% R$ 38.207.980,27 *Os valores no ano de 2008 não foram divulgados Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) Volume Collection of Royalties R$ 265.866.158,78 R$ 311.134.130,67 R$ 240.852.045,75 R$ 331.550.609,17 R$ 252.223.801,18 Percentage royalties invested Health 13,61% 14,06% 25,76% 15,15% Município de Macaé R$ 600.000.000,00 R$ 500.000.000,00 R$ 400.000.000,00 Investimento Total em Saúde R$ 300.000.000,00 Volume de Arrecadação dos Royalties R$ 200.000.000,00 R$ 100.000.000,00 R$ 0,00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Figure 6: Collection of Royalties X Investment in Health Macaé. Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) 8 of in ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain Município de Rio das Ostras R$ 350.000.000,00 R$ 300.000.000,00 R$ 250.000.000,00 Investimento Total em Saúde R$ 200.000.000,00 Volume de Arrecadação dos Royalties R$ 150.000.000,00 R$ 100.000.000,00 R$ 50.000.000,00 R$ 0,00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Figure 7: Collection of Royalties X Investment in Health of the City of Rio das Ostras. Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) According to the analysis of Figures 6 and 7, it can be seen that the total value of investment in health is well below the volume of collection of oil royalties in both municipalities. Aiming to investigate the application of oil royalties in actions to improve the health of the population of the cities, there was a relationship between these two requirements, the total investment in Health and volume of collection of royalties, which showed the percentage of royalties that are invested in health in each county. This relationship can be seen in the Figures 8 and 9 below. Porcentagem dos Royalties investidos em Saúde no Município de Macaé 37,17% 36,91% 28,18% 28,81% 24,09% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Figure 8: Percent of Revenue Royalties applied in Health in Macaé. Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) Porcentagem dos Royalties investidos em Saúde no Município de Rio das Ostras 25,76% 13,61% 15,15% 14,06% 0,00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Figure 9: Percent of Revenue Royalties applied to Health in the Municipality of Rio das Ostras. Source: Author own and Court of the State of Rio de Janeiro (TCE, 2012) 9 ICIEOM – CIO 2013 – Valladolid, Spain Thus, this relationship showed that the city of Macae applied a higher percentage of resource royalties in Health, and in all the years surveyed, the percentage was over 24%. Moreover, the municipality of Rio das Ostras systematically applied a percentage lower than 24%, whereas in 2007 only applied a percentage higher than 24% (25.76%). It is clear, though, that no one is questioning the quality of the application of resources, but the actual volume of resources to be lower in the Oyster River, may be undermining the goals of improving Health Conclusion This article allowed to present the evaluation results of the collection of royalties for municipalities in the Campos Basin. This method was adequate to verify the effectiveness of the application of royalties in cities, making their relationship to IFDM, serving as a basis for comparison with other indicators calculated in clusters. Furthermore, it was possible to ascertain the relationship between the oil royalties and municipal development, checking the compatibility between the royalties, population and demographic IFDM, using data on the collection of royalties municipalities in the Campos Basin, about the population of these municipalities in addition to IFDM. From these elements we developed a model of qualitative analysis. The application of the model stems from the fact that the government is the main articulator of public policies that reflect the development, with some aspects included in the calculation of IFDM as Health The data used, grouped by clusters formed, allow governments to deal with their equality or micro regions that are in similar situation, by checking the qualitative data from the collection of royalties. These data are important for the decision-making process of public management, facilitating corrective measures of socioeconomic distortions that can have disastrous consequences for the regions that are disadvantaged, if not adequately addressed. In the case of the Campos Basin, analysis of clusters also served to identify the municipalities that were more advanced in the use of royalties and avoids distortion in the evaluation. The evaluation of the cluster itself also serves as a basis to identify the municipalities that need to have scrutinized the data in order to arrive at a more accurate assessment of the application of the proceeds of oil royalties. This study pointing that the municipalities of Macae and Rio das Ostras apply their royalties resources of different ways. Therefore, their results were also different. At Macae the application of oil royalties in actions to improve the health of the population was more efficient than Rio das Ostras. There was a relationship between the total investment in Health and volume of collection of royalties, which was showed the percentage of royalties that are invested in health in each county. References ANP. Statistical Yearbook of the Brazilian Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels. 2010. BARBOSA, D. (Coord.). Royalties Guide to Petroleum and Natural Gas. Rio de Janeiro, ANP, 2001. 156 p. CNM, National Confederation of Municipalities. 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