The role of scientific information in sustainable Development: Focus in Latin America João Vianei Soares Director for earth observations Who we are... Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais - INPE 03/08/61 Dec. No 51.133 Creates the Organizing Committee of the National Space Activities (GOCNAE). 22/04/71 Dec. No 68.532 Extinguishes GOCNAE and creates the National Institute for Space Research (INPE) INPE headquaters, 2004, São José dos Campos, SP 46 years in 2007 Where we are: our national instalations INPE – Cachoeira Paulista – SP Remote Sensing Data Center CPTEC Combustion and Propulsion Lab How many... Aprox. 1300 employees (300 PhD, 400 MsC and Engineers, 200 Technicians, 400 staff) Aprox. 350 researchers, fellowships, Contractors 600 graduate students in 6 programs INPE’s mission Brazil due to be an environmental world leader of 21th century (Rubens Ricupero) INPE to be one of the producers of the required science and to offer singular products and services to the benefit of mankind INPE’s mission Quality products and unique services Examples of singular products for police making and society information... DETER Pará 2005 Pollution from burning and urban-industrial emissions Large scale regional scale Mega citiess DATA INTO KNOWLEDGE SATELLITES Earth Observation, outer space and communications missions SOIL SYSTEMS Control, reception, processing and distribuition of spatial data ANALYSIS AND MODELING Space Science and Earth System Science Access to Knowledge Innovative Products to society Are extreme events becoming more frequent? Stronger El Niños? Photo: Juca Martins When will a new hurricane hit Brasil? Catarina Hurricane (mars/2004) Imagem NASA Which science? what tools? Process Modeling and supercomputing… Weather and Climate Forecast Weather Forecast Discussions SX6 SCD1 SCD2 Weather forecast models PCD Satellite Imagery Bulletins Sazonal Forecast Sea surface temperature Supercomputer + models CLIMATE DISCUSSION Vegetation Index Climate change Supercomputer + models CO2 emissions Changes in temperature in Brazil for year 2050 Temperature oC B1-low Temperature anomaly A2-high Annual Pecipitation Anomaly anual [(2071-2100)- (1961-90)] mm/dia dry dry dry dry B2 A2 Annual temperature anomaly [(2071-2100)- (1961-90)] oC hot hot B2 A2 Average temperature rose 0,7 C in the last 50 years! Tmin rose nearly 1 oC Increase in precipitation in the south of Brasil (1951-2002) What caused increase in Precipitation: Natural variability or global warming? Impacts on Agriculture Decrease of the potential producing area as temperature increases from 1 to 5.8oC Potential Area (1000 km2) 6000 corn 5000 beans 4000 Rice 3000 2000 Soybeans 1000 Coffee 0 Atual T + 1ºC T + 3 ºC Increase in average temperature Source: Eduardo Assad, Embrapa T + 5,8 ºC Fate of Amazon Biomes? 2100 2000 floresta savana caatinga campos deserto Green forest savanization: reaching a new equilibrium biome-clima? source: Oyama and Nobre, 2003 Deforestation forecast on BR 319 (Manaus-Porto Velho) in 2020 with protection areas (governace) ALAP BR 319 Estradas pavimentadas em 2010 Estradas não pavimentadas Rios principais Novas áreas de proteção integral Novas áreas de uso sustentável Diferenças no desflorestamento: Diminuição: Aumento: 0.0 -0.50 0.0 0.10 TerraCrime: Free Software for public security Paranaíba Paraná Rio Grande Tiête Alto Paraguai Paranapanema Iguaçu The Paraná river basin and subbasins www.cptec.inpe.br 65000 60000 55000 50000 27/03/2004 – 51500 Fenômeno Catarina - SC 25/05/2005 – 81100 Enchentes - SP 45000 31/08/2005 – 85000 40000 24/02/2006 – 90740 35000 Ciclone Extratropical - RS Previsão para o Carnaval 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 mar/03 abr/03 mai/03 jun/03 jul/03 ago/03 set/03 out/03 nov/03 dez/03 jan/04 fev/04 mar/04 abr/04 mai/04 jun/04 jul/04 ago/04 set/04 out/04 nov/04 dez/04 jan/05 fev/05 mar/05 abr/05 mai/05 jun/05 jul/05 ago/05 set/05 out/05 nov/05 dez/05 jan/06 fev/06 mar/06 abr/06 0 Societal Benefits of the Space program – free data access Energy Ecosystems health Water Resources Agriculture Climate Disasters Biodiversity Brazilian Network on Global Change STEERING COMMITEE EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT Science office SCIENTFIC COMMITTEE Administration office MEMBERS OF THE STEERING COMMITTEE Chair: MCT Ministries: Health, Agriculture, Environment, Foreign Affairs, Education, National Integration Staess: FAPESP and FAPs ( Society representation: ABC, SBPC Brazilain Forum on Climate Change SUB NETWORKS Climate Models (INPE) Energy (COPPE) Agriculture (EMBRAPA) Biodiversity (MPEG) Health (FIOCRUZ) Human Dimensions (IEA-USP) International negotiations (MCT) Amazônia (INPA) LUCC (INPE) Brazilian remote sensing satellites Launch CBERS-2 2003 CBERS-2B 2007 CBERS-3 2009 CBERS-4 2012 Amazonia -1 2010 MapSAR 2012 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 International satellites used for PRODES and DETER 2006 LANDSAT-5 1984 LANDSAT-8 2012 MODIS 2001 2007 2008 2009 2010 Data blackout in 2009? 2011 2012 2013 If its written in English, must be true… Science, March 30 2007 …and brazilian press reacts… Plan “Brasil as a Global EO player” INPE to propose a roadmap to space technologies for 2010-2020 to the Brazilian Space Agency -AEB Build a family of satellites to fly on the PMM Launch at least one satellite per year Sustain industrial contracts Be the mover of the Brazilian launcher project Explore potential convergence between CBERS and PMM taking care of Brazil’s needs? 100 Tecnology 2000 CBERS-5 PAN CB3 50 Tecnology 2008 Revisit Identif Agriculture CCD CB2 Mapping Deforestation Tecnology 2015 10 Amaz-1 AWFI CB3 5 CBERS-6 WFI CB2 A1-CB3 Mapping Agriculture Brasil 2015 Detection of Deforestation 1 1 5 10 Resolution 50 100 1000 Plan INPE 2020 2010 CBERS-3 2015 CBERS-4 Amazonia-1 Lattes-1 2020 CBERS-5A CBERS-7 (SAR) CBERS-5B CBERS-6A CBERS-6B GPM MAPSAR Amazonia-2 Lattes-2 Amazonia-3 The Aqua Train Real Constellation The Altimetric virtual constellation A virtual Constellation: the Charter IRS SPOT SAC-C ECO : On Duty Engineer ERS-2, ENVISAT ODO : RADARSAT-1 On Duty Operator PM : Project Manager AU : Authorized user ESA CSA NOAA ISRO CONAE CNES NOAA, POES, GOES CBERS 3 – 4 Sensor Configuration WFI 73 m (860 km) MSS 40 m (120 km) CCD 20 m (120 km) MUX 10 m (60 km) PAN 5 m (60 km) 0.4 mm 0.5 0.7 Built by China 0.9 1.1 Built by Brazil 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.3 Industrial police: CBERS-3,4 CBERS 3&4 Participation of National Industry 50% of subsistems • Structure • Telecom • Cameras • Energy suply Total of national contracts – US$150 million Amazônia-1 Amazônia-1 (an optical payload) AWFI 0,45-0,52 B Spectral bands m m) Spatial resolution (m) Swath (km) Revisit (days) 0,52-0,59 G 0,63-0,69 R 0,77-0,89 NIR 40 780 5 Global Imaging every three days when operating in tandem with CBERS-3 Provide environmental data to the planet Exemple of nacional achievements Camera MUX (OPTO) Main sensor on CBERS-3/4 CCD with 5 bands and 20 m resolution MAPSAR (a light SAR) subreflector, data downlink Reflector antenna Antenna feeder SAR module Solar Panel PMM Data collection system PLATAFORMAS DE COLETA DE DADOS - SISTEMA SCD - DEZ/2.001 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 HIDROLÓGICA 262 METEOROLÓGICA 117 QUALIDADE D'ÁGUA -70 -65 10 -60 -55 -50 -45 -40 -35 Multimission Plataform (PMM) A bus to carry various Earth Observation satellites 600 - 1200 km altitude 300 kg payload e 250 kg other subsystems Replicate cost: US$ 15 milhões CBERS: exemple to the world CBERS-2 Launch (21 October 2003) Assembly and testing laboratory - LIT Assembly of CBERS-2B at LIT (2006-2007) Distribution of CBERS Imagery (01/05/04 a 01/03/06) Number of scenes distributed (145 Mb/image) 300.000 Institutions 5.200 Scenes per week 2.170 Average recquired time 10 min CBERS USERS (%) Government 23% R&D 26% Private sector 51% What do CBERS users say? “In 2004 IBAMA realized 26 big enforcement operations based on LANDSAT. In 2005, 197 operations were made possible using CBERS imagery. With CBERS we can do more operations and faster” Agrobusiness management using CBERS2 CBERS-2 CCD, Minas Gerais, Brazil CBERS Distribution for neighboring countries Free distribution extended to the footprint of Cuibá ground Station 527 11 270 1275 5819 ARGENTINA BOLIVIA CHILE 3462 COLOMBIA ECUADOR PARAGUAY PERU SURINAME URUGUAY 3 VENEZUELA 58 1722 4183 CBERS being considered as a potential gap filler for Landsat CBERS2-B for Africa Brasil and China agreed on free data access of CBERS2-B to African countries. South Africa and Spain will use their ground stations to receive, process and distribute CBERS data. GEO offer GEOportal (web) and GEONETcast to reach the end user. Thank you!!! Hic sunt leones et dragones Hic sunt leones et dragones Hic sunt leones et dragones fonte: Carlos Nobre