Research Proposal Understanding Productivity Levels, Dispersion and Growth in Latin American and Caribbean Industries – I - Differences in productivity level and growth within and across industries and firm size: the case of Brazil. II – Industry Case Studies Eduardo Pontual Ribeiro João Alberto DeNegri Carlos Henrique Corseuil Danilo Santa Cruz Coelho Victor Prochnik – – – – – Proposed by Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro - UFRJ Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada – IPEA Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada – IPEA Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada – IPEA Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro - UFRJ Summary We propose to measure productivity levels, heterogeneity and growth in manufacturing and trade (retail) in Brazil using sector wide annual surveys and matched administrative data with detailed worker information, for 1996-2005. This allows us to consider entry and exit in detail. We shall use recent TFP measurement techniques that deal with the endogeneity problem, suited for developing country data. In addition, we propose to study in detail the case of the informatics industry (SIC 3.1 divisions 30, 32, 33). This is a high R&D, skilled labor and technology intensive sector, and subject to significant external competition and target of government policy. We focus on the innovation and productivity growth link for this sector. 1 1. Description of the data to be used in the study 1.1. Primary Sources 1.1.a. Pesquisa Industrial Anual (PIA) Pesquisa Industrial Anual is an annual survey sampling formally established Brazilian mining and manufacturing firms and plants, conducted by the census bureau IBGE (InstitutoBrasileiro de Geografia e Estatística). The database's inception dates back to 1966. In 1996 and 2005, the methodology has changed in ways that affects the temporal comparability of productivity estimations. In 1996 it experienced major transformations both in the sampling scheme and the information collected from the sampled firms. The change in 2005 can be considered a minor one since it is limited to include firms that employ less than five workers in the sampling scheme. To avoid any source of comparability problems we will use the nine surveys relative to the period 1996 to 2004. During this time the sample of firms in PIA is drawn from two strata: a non-random sample of all Brazilian mining and manufacturing firms with a labor force of 30 or more workers and employees (Estrato Final Certo, receiving a complete questionnaire called modelo completo), and a random sample of small to medium-sized firms with a labor force of five to 29 workers and employees (Estrato Final Amostrado, receiving a simplified questionnaire called modelo simplificado). 2 A firm is eligible to be sampled in PIA only if at least half of its revenues stem from manufacturing and if it is formally registered as a tax payer with the Brazilian tax authorities. In 2004, PIA sample covers 42,371 firms among 155,656 eligible ones. PIA contains three main groups of variables: (a) Information about longitudinal relations across firms, (b) balance sheet and income statement information, and (c) economic information beyond the balance sheet and income statement. The main longitudinal information in group (a) is the register number as a tax payer firm (CNPJ code). This allows us to link observations longitudinally, as well as combining it with other sources such as RAIS. Among other variables in group (a) are the ones that indicate the state of activity of a firm in a given year (such as whether it operates all year, only part of the year, or exits) and its structural changes (such as whether it emerges from a pre-existing firm or whether it creates a spin-off firm itself, and the like). Variables in group (b) include cost, revenue, and profit information, detailed in a manner similar to a typical Brazilian income statement. In the revenue side, for example, we are able to rip-off non operational revenues, while on the cost side it is possible to identify intermediate inputs, among other details. Variables in group (c) go beyond the income statement and include data such as investment flows by type of asset, numbers of workers and employees. Employment is broken down in production and non-production workers. 1.1.b. Pesquisa Anual de Comércio (PAC) This is also an annual survey conducted by IBGE to collect the same kind of information as in PIA. The only major difference is the fact that it deals with the trade segment, instead of 3 manufacturing. It covers, broadly speaking, three groups within the trade segments: retail trade, wholesale trade, and repair services on vehicles and personal appliances. Not only most of the variables in both surveys coincide but also the sampling scheme of one mimics the other. Even the methodological disruptions of 1996 and 2005 are common to both surveys. The only difference regarding the sampling procedure is the threshold to distinguish census from sample coverage, which in the case of PAC is 20 workers or employees, instead of 30 in PIA. The sample size of PAC in 2004 is 54,951 firms. 1.1.b. Pesquisa de Inovação Tecnológica (PINTEC) This is a regular survey by IBGE on manufacturing firms, aiming to measure and understand the innovation process. Sampling weights are used to compensate the deliberate oversampling of firms that engaged in some form of innovation or acquisition of machinery. Detailed quantitative and qualitative information on R&D expenditures and innovation is provided. The design of the survey is based on CIS-4 surveys of the European Community. There is data for 2003 and 2005, as well as 2000, with a slightly different questionnaire. The sampling scheme includes all firms with 500 workers or more or firms that have engaged in at least one type of innovation information and a sample of firms with at least one innovation proxy information from other sources. The sample sizes of PINTEC surveys are 10,000. 1.1.c Relação Anual de Informação Sociais (RAIS) Relação Anual de Informações Sociais is an administrative file maintained by the Brazilian Ministry of Employment and Labour (Ministério do Trabalho e Emprego - MTE). All registered tax paying establishments must send every year to the Ministry information 4 about every single worker who had been employed by the establishment anytime during the reference year. The RAIS information provides a matched employer-employee longitudinal data set, similar to those available in developed countries. The novelty differential of these data is to combine the matched employer-employee structure with detailed information available on workers' occupation. This characteristic of the data allows us to build a precise categorization of workers in “blue” and “white” collar from the information on both education and occupation. So the main use of RAIS will be to provide the labor inputs variables. In addition, the use of administrative data on labor (RAIS) allows us to have a direct measurement of input quantities (number of workers) and an independent measurement of factor prices. The administrative data have the regularly paid wages of each individual worker, in a given year, in the firm or plant. So the main use of RAIS will be to provide the labor inputs variables. The census nature of RAIS is important to overcome the limitations of the sampling frame of the firm surveys of IBGE. In principle it is not known whether the firm does not appear in the IBGE data due to sampling or exit. Similarly, if a firm appears for the first time in the IBGE data it is not clear whether it has just entered the market, or has entered the sample. Such entry and exit information will be obtained from the RAIS administrative data. In addition, we can also use RAIS data to either refine or complement the IBGE information on structural changes. The issue again is that this information is available at IBGE data only to those firms that continue in the sample. Broadly speaking, RAIS data allow us to follow workers so to identify suspicious spurious entry and exit, when all workers in a given establishment code switch to another one between two consecutive years. 5 1.2 Database We plan to work with either two or three distinct database. Each one of these database will combine two different sources: one establishment survey and RAIS. For sure one of these combinations will be a RAIS-PIA database, which will cover the manufacturing segment. The other combination will be a RAIS-PAC database for trade. 2. A summary of data availability Since the year 2000 IPEA has got access to the RAIS micro-data. At that time it was limited to the execution of a research project on job creation and job destruction for the ministry of Labor (MTE), which also had a version adapted to an IADB research project on the same topic. Nowadays IPEA and MTE have an institutional agreement where any IPEA researcher may conduct studies using RAIS, as long as (s)he declares to be responsible for not revealing any confidential information. By the same time IBGE has adopted a procedure similar to the one adopted in the US Census Bureau and in other developed countries concerning the access to confidential information collected through establishment surveys. The procedure consists in providing a room where the computers lack any means of data extraction (ie no internet connection, no usb entries, no cd/dvd recorder, etc…). IPEA researchers have been using intensely this facility. In fact as a consequence of an agreement between IPEA and IBGE, the former institution was allowed to equip the “confidential data” room of IBGE with four computers, in which it is stored not only the PIA data but also some other firm level data provided by other institutions to IPEA, such as RAIS. As a consequence of this arrangement between the two institutions IPEA has a fast6 track in getting permission to use the “confidential data” room of IBGE, avoiding a burocratic process that may take 6 months for a standard (non-IPEA) request. Works generated by this set up include DeNegri and Araújo (2007), DeNegri and Turchi (2007), DeNegri, DeNegri e Coelho (2006), DeNegri and Kubota (2006) and DeNegri and Salerno (2005), Corseuil (2007) 7 3. Questionnaire(s) of the data Please see attached files PIA 2004 QUESTIONNAIRE.PDF PAC 2004 QUESTIONNAIRE. PDF PINTEC 2005 QUESTIONAIRE.PDF 8 4. Detailed description of the study and methodology PART I – Documenting differences in productivity level and growth within and across industries, firm size and formality status. The goal of the paper will be to document the productivity level, growth and heterogeneity for Brazilian manufacturing and retail, with particular detail on the contribution of entry and exit. Manufacturing productivity (TFP) in Brazil has been growing from 1990 to 2000, as estimated by Ferreira and Rossi (2003) using sector data, Muendler, Sevérn and Sepúlveda (2002) and Schor (2004) using firm data1. . Pinheiro et al. (2000) using aggregate data indicate that the productivity growth is observed using aggregates. Only Muendler, Servén and Sepúlveda have considered the role of entry and exit, but the contribution of entry and exit is small and highly correlated with the productivity evolution of continuing firms. Many suggest that the trade liberalization of the early 1990s have contributed to much of this growth, although Schor (2004) suggests that the effect is quite heterogeneous. It remains to be seen if the period without significant policy changes2 has the same trend and heterogeneity. As mentioned above, we shall use data from three data sources: for manufacturing, the Annual Manufacturing Survey (Pesquisa Industrial Annual - PIA) and for retail, the Annual Retail Survey (Pesquisa Annual do Comércio - PAC). These surveys provide sales, investment and intermediate input expenditure data, as well as sector information. 1 They use the Olley and Pakes (1996) method, to be discussed below. 2 In the 1996-2005 period, apart from a significant exchange devaluation in 1999, there were no significant macroeconomic shocks (Plano Real is from 1994). Tariff changes were small compared to the previous 19881995 experience. 9 We will not be able to overcome the known sector price heterogeneity issues (Katayama, Lu and Tybout, 2006, Foster, Haltiwanger and Syverson, 2008, Griliches and Klette, 1996, and others). Except for labor inputs, our survey variables are firm revenues (from final goods sales) and materials, energy and investment expenditure, deflated by appropriate sector output price indices and input price indices. The known implications are that changes in our productivity measure may be due to true productivity changes or due to demand, mark-up and input price shocks. On the other hand, using the matched administrative record data we shall consider two issues in detail: (i) The role of entry and exit; (ii) The contribution of different labor types (measured by skill level) The use of administrative data on labor (RAIS) allows us to have a direct measurement of input quantities (number of workers) and quality (skill level), as well as independent measurement of factor prices. The administrative data records regular wages for each individual worker, in a given year, in the firm or plant. We can present two types of productivity measurements. A simple average labor productivity measure (deflated value added over workforce size, adjusted for quality) and a total factor productivity (TFP) measure to be detailed below. Both measures will be used to estimate (i) Firm and sector productivity levels (ii) Sector productivity growth; and (iii) Productivity heterogeneity Firm total factor productivity (TFP) is specified under a Cobb-Douglas production function, as usual in the literature3 3 Alternative functional forms could be used, although more flexible forms, such as Translog do not lend themselves to direct estimation due to potential multicolinearity. Indirect estimation of technology parameters by use of dual factor demand functions is not possible for the Translog, as the cost function does not map into 10 yit = α + βl lit + βk kit +βm mit +βe eit + εit εit = ωit + uit where low case variables indicate log variables, y measures real revenue, l labor units used, k deflated capital stock4, m deflated materials expenditure, e deflated energy expenditure and εit is decomposed in a firm observed productivity shock and uit an unobserved, decision making irrelevant, mean zero, revenue shock. As discussed in the literature, e.g., Ackenberg et al (2008), under profit maximization input use will be correlated with current productivity shocks ωit, generating inconsistent estimates under OLS estimates. Alternative methods have been proposed in the literature to overcome the least squares inconsistency. First, simple fixed effects panel data methods, under the assumption that ωit is time invariant. This has been identified as too restrictive. Second, Blundell and Bond (2000) assume a first order autoregressive (Markov) process for productivity and allow for unobserved time invariant fixed effects εit =µi + ωit + uit ωit = ρωit-1 + vit where vit is white noise. This specification allows the use of lagged variables as instruments. See also Bond and Soderbom (2005). A third method available in the literature is that of Olley and Pakes (1996) that also suppose a Markov process for productivity shocks, but instead of instrumental variables, they use of proxies. These proxies are obtained by the inversion of a quasi-fixed input demand function that depends itself on current and past productivity shocks. There is an additional assumption that there are flexible inputs that depend only on current productivity shocks. production function parameters. The Translog cost function and associated factor demands are useful for measuring returns to scale, that are not of direct interest here. (Chambers, 1988). In addition, the lack of appropriate input and output quantity information hinder production functional form inverstigation. 4 The capital stock will be estimated suing a perpetual inventory method. For PIA, there is an alternative, based on aggregate investment, as seen in Alves and Messa (2008). 11 Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) note that for developing countries in particular there is a significant share of firms that do not invest every year. The Olley and Pakes (1996) method require non-zero investment in every year the firm appears in the sample. This is a serious problem in our data, as at least a third of the manufacturing firm with 30 employees or more report zero investment in a given year, as can be seen from the table below. Table 1 – Firms declaring positive investment expenditure – Brazil – PIA Manufacturing survey. Zero Positive investment investment Year Total expenditure expenditure (%) (%) 1996 22,904 36.30 63.70 1997 21,935 35.44 64.56 1998 23,207 39.66 60.34 1999 23,933 40.72 59.28 2000 24,263 37.79 62.21 2001 26,151 39.99 60.01 2002 27,409 40.98 59.02 2003 28,790 43.90 56.10 2004 29,547 43.85 56.15 2005 31,666 45.82 54.18 Note: authors tabulations from PIA; firms with 30 employees or more In addition, only 6.51% of the firms in the census extract of the PIA data set reported positive investment every year. As an alternative, Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) propose using intermediate input use as a productivity shock proxy, adapting the Olley and Pakes (1996) method. It is interesting to note that the empirical example of Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) use deflated revenue and expenditures for estimation, although it is suited for output/input quantities. Two methods for estimation of total factor productivity shall be used. First, simple factor shares as elasticities (βj) for inputs, as in Foster, Haltiwanger and Syverson (2008) and Katayama, Lu and Tybout (2005): 12 TFPit=ωit= yit – (βl lit + βk kit +βm mit +βe eit) where βj=Cj/C, and Cj represent expenditures on input j (j=L,K,M,E) and C=ΣjCj. Note that eit=ln(Ce). As mentioned above, y is measured as sector deflated firm revenue, and inputs are measured as deflated expenditures but for labor. The second method we shall use is the Levinsohn and Petrin method. It is a method that attracted a lot of attention recently (e.g., Bergoing and Repetto, 2006) and has been implemented in Stata. Other methods, as seen above, could be used for comparison, but we do not think that more sophisticated methods could overcome the lack of appropriate data for production function estimates. The estimates will be based on unbalanced panels, with careful measurement of entry and exit. As mentioned before, there are two ways to identify a true entry and exit for firms that appear in the sample: PIA and PAC questions on entry (see 1st page of questionnaires above) and RAIS records.5 The estimates will be used to decompose productivity growth using the well known Foster, Haltiwanger, Krizan (2001) decomposition, with market share (revenues) as aggregation weights. Namely, we use ∆TFPit = Σ θit ωit – Σ θit-1 ωit-1 = ΣC θit-1 ∆ωit + ΣC (ωit-1 – TFPit-1) ∆θit + ΣC ∆θit-1 ∆ωit + ΣE θit (ωit – TFPit-1) + ΣX θit-1 (ωit-1 – TFPit-1) where C identifies the continuing firms, E the entering firms and X exiting firms, θit represent the revenue share of each firm and ωit is the firm TFP as seen above. 5 For example, if a firm does not appear in the PIA sample at year t, it may be due to sampling or a true exit. In the former case, the firm will appear in the RAIS database at year t, while in the latter case, the firm will not appear in the RAIS database either. 13 Finally, firm TFP level and growth variance can be calculated as a measure of heterogeneity for each year. This has an interesting decomposition in between and within heterogeneity by firm size or sector. Alternative heterogeneity measures, such as the interquantile range, do not lend themselves to decompositions, due to the non-linear nature of order statistics. A non-decomposition way to understand the sector and time evolution of firm productivity heterogeneity would be to estimate quantile regressions for productivity using time and sector (or firm size) dummies6. As seen in Koenker (2006), a quantile regression coefficient for a dummy has the interesting interpretation of (conditional) sample quantile differences between the selected and omitted dummy groups. As such, interquantile ranges for time dummies (say the .25 and .75 quantile regression coefficients) may be compared between regressions with and without sector dummies. This provides indirect evidence of the within and between heterogeneity evolution, at the benefit of using robust statistics. 6 The sectors cannot be finely defined, as a larger number of sectors increase the number of estimated parameters, rendering the estimates inconsistent, much like the linear fixed effects least squares panel data model, where the estimates the fixed effect estimates are inconsistent (yet unbiased) due to the curse of dimensionality problem. 14 PART II – Case study: OBSTACLES FOR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH INTHE BRAZILIAN INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY (ICT) SECTOR The aim of this case study is to analyze the productivity distribution and productivity growth in the Brazilian ICT sector identifying factors that can be considered obstacles to the expansion of the more productive firms. The ICT sector comprises the firms belonging to the divisions 30 (Manufacture of office, accounting and computing machinery), 32 (Manufacture of radio, television and communication equipment and apparatus) and 33 (Manufacture of medical, precision and optical instruments, watches and clocks) of ISIC 3.1. A more refined classification may be adopted at the beginning of the project. These are differentiated products, but they have a common technological base and, in Brazil, they are subjected to the same policy measures. Also, many of them are general purpose products (computers, for instance) and are thus sold across several market segments. Other similar characteristics of the industry that are relevant to the present study are the following: their expenses in R&D are higher than the industrial average; they employ more skilled labor and they are subjected to a set of specifics laws and regulations - Igliori, D. C and Diegues Jr. (2008), Gutierrez and Alexandre (2003) and Prochnik and Dias (2005) The ICT industry is particularly relevant to a productivity study, as the significant impact of this sector on the productivity of the other sectors has been document. For instance, an OECD report concludes that “… ICT is having substantial impacts on economic performance and the success of individual firms, in particular when it is combined with investment in skills, organizational change and innovation. These impacts can be observed in firm-level studies for all OECD countries, but have not yet translated in better economic performance at the industry or economy-wide level in many OECD countries”(OECD, 2004, 5).. More recently, a UNCTAD report states that “Studies reviewed confirm that 15 developing countries can gain as much as developed countries from ICTs in terms of productivity. In recent years developing countries have received a significant positive contribution to GDP growth from investment in ICTs.” - UNCTAD (2008, 180) The Brazilian ICT sector is highly prioritized by the economic policy and has received benefits that are not available to other economic sectors, through Law n. 8.248/1991, known as "ICT Law" and Law n. 10.176/2001 (the "new ICT Law", or “Lei de Informática” in Portuguese). These laws compel ICT hardware companies to invest 5% of their revenue in R&D so that they can enjoy the exemption and subsequently reduction of the tax on manufactured products (IPI, Imposto sobre Produtos Industrializados). The ICT sector is thus particularly suitable for study because several relevant factors explaining productivity growth and productivity distribution in different other sectors are very evident in this sector, namely R&D expenses, skilled human resources and government support, inter allia, as noted in a previous study on the Brazilian lower labor productivity firms (Prochnik and Dias, 2005). We propose to further the analysis using more data and better productivity measures, to be estimated in Part I of the proposal. For example, the PINTEC survey allows us to study specific barriers to innovation (see question 174 of the survey) and their impact on productivity. This information may be used to segregate firms in the productivity decomposition of the first part of the study, or in a regression model to evaluate teh effect on productivity levels. The tax benefits from the ITC Law depend on a firm applying for the benefits. Question 157 of the PINTEC survey indicates whether the firm has benefited from the ITC law tax breaks. While aware of the potential endogeneity issues associated with a causal 16 interpretation of the effect of such information of productivity, nevertheless, such information may be helpful to provide a first view of the potential benefits (or not) of such law on productivity. In short, we expect that the study may possibly highlight questions and problems that are of general occurrence but are harder to spot in other sectors. One issue that is important for this sector is their ownership structure (foreign X local firms). In general, foreign firms have access to broader resources and they also might follow strategies that are different from the ones pursued by local firms. For instance, in 2007, large international industrial automation firms informed that they have postponed productive investments in Brazil because their global strategy had lead them to prioritize to invest in China (Prochnik, 2007). The use of the data set local firms will be segmented into three classes: Brazilian firms that engage in foreign direct investment (‘INV firms’), firms that only export (‘EXP firms’) and firms that neither export nor invest abroad, i.e., that sell only to the domestic market (‘DOM firms’), as in Helpman et al.(2004), Castellani & Zanfei (2006) and Prochnik et al. (2007). This classification is broadly correlated with productivity, size and other firm characteristics, as shown in table 1, restricted to local firms. Table 1 shows the results of the application of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov non-parametric test to three distribution pairs: INV firms vs. EXP firms; INV firms vs. DOM firms; and EXP firms vs. DOM firms. Table 2 – Firm characteristics and the degree of internationalisation, measured by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov stochastic dominance test - 2003. (2) EXP firms (3) INV firms (3) INV firms vs. vs. vs. (1) DOM firms (2) EXP firms (1) DOM firms Productivity 0.4457 xxx 0.4506xxx 0.7073xxx Size (employees) Added value/employee Mean years schooling 0.4931xxx 0.4073xxx 0.1440xxx 0.5521xxx 0.8242xxx 0.4511xxx 0.6760xxx 0.3339xxx 0.4368xxx 17 Mean employment time 0.1879xxx 0.3184xxx 0.4675xxx Average sales/employee 0.2875xxx 0.4419xxx 0.6506xxx R&D expenditure/ sales 0.1723xxx 0.1753xxx 0.2892xxx Total innovation expenditure 0.3700xxx 0.4753xxx 0.7611xxx Masters and Ph.D.s in R&D 0.0600xxx 0.3528xxx 0.4132xxx % Employees in R&D 0.1909xxx 0.4235xxx 0.6140xxx Notes: (xxx) – variable significant at least at the 1% level; Sources: Prochnik et all (2005), IBGE (2005) and Central Bank IT should be noted that the size variable has as lower bound 10 employees, instead of the usual 15 employee cut-off point of PIA. While the ITC sector may have very large (international) firms, the survey covers firms of quite different firm sizes, as seen here. The case study proposed here will benefit from the access to the large database that will be used by the first study. The data from the 1998-2001 and 2001-2003 innovation surveys are part of this database and will be extensively used as they contain relevant data not available elsewhere in Brazil and, sometimes, even in international innovation surveys. As the ICT sector is highly innovative, the innovation survey is a very useful database to study this industry. 18 References Ackerberg, D., et al. (2008) “Econometric Tools for Analyzing Market Outcomes”, in Heckman J.J. (org) Handbook of Econometrics, Volume 6. Amsterdan:Elsevier. Alves, P. and Silva, A. Estimativa do Estoque de Capital das Empresas Industriais Brasileiras. IPEA Working Paper (Texto para discussão) 1325 http://www.ipea.gov.br/sites/000/2/publicacoes/tds/td_1325.pdf Bergoing, R. and Repetto, A. (2006) Micro Efficiency and Aggregate Growth in Chile, Cuadernos de Economía, Latin American Journal of Economics, 43(6), 169-191 Blundell, R. and Bond, S. (2000). GMM estimation with persistent data: an application to production functions. Econometric Reviews, 19 321-340. Castellani, D. And Zanfei, A. Multinational Firms, Innovation and Productivity, Edward Elgar Publishing. Inc. 2006 Corseuil, C.H. (2007). Testing the connection between job flows and worker flows. ANPEC Meeting. http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2007/artigos/A07A132.pdf DeNegri J.A. and Araújo B. (org.) (2007), As Empresas Brasileiras e o Comércio Internacional. Brasília:IPEA <<http://www.ipea.gov.br/082/08201004.jsp?ttCD_CHAVE=2811>> DeNegri J.A. and Turchi, L.(org). (2007), DeNegri J.A., DeNegri, F e Coelho, D.(org). (2006), Tecnologia, Exportação e Emprego. Brasília:IPEA << http://www.ipea.gov.br/082/08201004.jsp?ttCD_CHAVE=2650>> DeNegri J.A. and Kubota, L. (org). (2006) Estrutura e Dinâmica do Setor de Serviços no Brasil. Brasília:IPEA << http://www.ipea.gov.br/082/08201004.jsp?ttCD_CHAVE=2725>> DeNegri J.A. and Salerno, M. (org).(2005) Inovações, Padrões Tecnológicos e Desempenho das Firmas Industriais Brasileiras. Brasília:IPEA Ferreira, P.C. and Rossi, J.L. New evidence from Brazil on trade liberalization and productivity growth. iInternational Economic Review 44(4), 1383-1405 Foster, F., Haltiwanger J., and Krizan, C.. (2001). Aggregate Productivity Growth: Lessons from Microeconomic evidence,” in E Dean M Harper and C Hulten, eds., New Developments in Productivity Analysis. Chicago, Univeristy of Chicago Press. Foster, L., J. Haltiwanger and C. Syverson (2008). Reallocation, Firm Turnover, and Efficiency: Selection on Productivity or Profitablity? American Economic Review 19 Helpman, E.; Melitz, M. J. And Rubinstein, Y. (2004) Exports versus FDI with heterogeneous firms; American Economic Review 94, pp. 300-316 IBGE (2002) Pesquisa Industrial Inovação Tecnológica 2000 – Análise dos Resultados. IBGE (2005) Pesquisa Industrial de Inovação Tecnológica – PINTEC 2003. Rio de Janeiro Igliori, D. C E Diegues Jr., A. C. 2008. Uma Agenda de Competitividade Para a Indústria Paulista de Equipamentos de Informática, Relatório de Pesquisa da Fundação Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas da Universidade de São Paulo, para o Instituto de Pesquisas Tecnológicas do Estado de São Paulo, São Paulo, mimeo, 2008 Katayama, H., Lu S. and Tybout. J. (2006). Firm-level Productivity Studies: Illusions and a Solution.” Penn State Mimeo. Koenker, R. (2006) Quantile Regression. Cambridge: University Press. Levinsohn, J. and Petrin, A. (2003). “Estimating Production Functions usingInputs to Control for Unobservables”, Review of Economic Studies 70, 317-341 Levinsohn, J., Petrin, A. and Poi, B. P. (2003). Production Function Estimation in Stata using Inputs to Control for Unobservables. Stata Journal 4(2): pp. 113-123 Muendler, M., Servén, L. and Sepulveda, C. Productivity growth in the Brazilian industry. In Brazil:new growth agenda (vol.II). report 22950-BR, The WorldBank. OECD (2004) The Economic Impact of ICT Measurement, Evidence and Implications OECD. OECD Publishing, 2004 Pinheiro, A.C., et al. (2004) Brazilian Economic Growth 1900-2000: lessons and policy implications. IADB Region 1 Report. Prochnik, V., Freitas, F. And Esteves, L. A. (2007) Firm Level Heterogeneity and Internationalisation in Brazilian Industry, Eds: in deNegri and Araújo (op cit).; IPEA, . Prochnik, V. And Araújo, R. D., "Analyzing the Low Degree of Innovation in Brazilian Industry by Studying the Least Innovative Firms" (2005). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1094305 Prochnik, V. Instrumentation and Control Industry, Research report to Programa de Mobilização da Indústria Nacional de Petróleo e Gás Natural PROMINP, mimeo, 2007 Ribeiro, E. et al. (2004) Trade liberalization, the exchange rate and job flows in Brazil. Journal of Policy Reform, 7(4), 209-223 Schor, A. (2004) Heterogeneous Productivity response to tariff reduction: evidence from Brazilian manufacturing firms. Journal of Development Economics 75 373-396. 20 6 – Previous studies Eduardo Ribeiro: This author have worked with micro firm level data from Mexico (Maloney and Ribeiro, 1999, WorldBank PRWP 2131), Colombia and Chile (Maloney, Fajnzylber and Ribeiro, 2001 WorldBank PRWP 2659) and Brazil (Ribeiro, 2007, and Ribeiro and Jacinto 2008 cited below). Recently two papers for IPEA were written for a forthcoming book organized by Coelho and DeNegri, using PIA and RAIS, on skilled labor demand and skilled job flows. He also have extensive work with micro household data (see CV below). Jointly with Carlos Corseuil he worked together in a major research project on job creation and job destruction using RAIS database from 1992 to 2000. The results were used to publish a book in Portuguese following Haltiwanger, Davis and Schu 1996 (Corseuil and Servo 2008 http://www.ipea.gov.br/082/08201004.jsp?ttCD_CHAVE=2784 ), as well as a report and paper on job and worker flows for the IADB (http://www.iadb.org/res/network_study.cfm?st_id=73) paying attention to entry and exits. Apart from these publications, the research project provided the authors an opportunity to develop know-how on compiling the RAIS-data to build variables at the establishment level. Carlos Corseuil: In addition to joint work with Eduardo Ribeiro, in the last three years this author has been working intensively with RAIS data for the purpose of his PhD dissertation, which is practically concluded by now (just waiting for a final reading of the supervisor). In this work the author has used the information about the occupation of the employees, which can be used to propose a refined classification of blue and white collar workers. Finally, in the last chapter of the dissertation the author combine RAIS with PIA to study changes in the occupational structure within the establishments and it’s relation with performance. João DeNegri: This author has arranged the agreements with IBGE, organized and managed the joint database and ´secure room´ used in this study (RAIS/PIA/PAC), as well 21 as data from other sources, such as the IBGE´s PINTEC (technology industrial survey), while Director of Industry Policies and Studies at IPEA. He has supervised the data development, organized and coordinated research teams that elaborated papers for the books listed in the CVs and cited above, as well as written extensively using the data on innovation, export activity, productivity growth and investment. Danilo Coelho: This author has been working and has helped organize the joint database used in this study, as Coordinator of Labor and Industrial Policies and Studies at IPEA, since 2006. His own work has dealt with innovation public financing in Brazilian manufacturing, gender biases in promotion for domestic and multinational firms (linking RAIS worker information and history and PIA and the Central Bank Census of Foreign Capital), as well as organizing and coordinating teams of researchers that elaborated papers for the books listed in the CVs and cited above. Victor Prochnik: In the last three years, this author has written four papers for the research projects directed by João De Negri, using the same database described in this proposal, in the field of economics of technological change. Since 1984, he has also undertaken many research projects based on interviews in firms, visiting factories and debating engineering, management and economic questions with its owners, managers, consumers and suppliers. For instance, in 1988, he published two papers on Industry/University relations in the informatics sector and in 2007 he wrote a study on the supply of process automation and control systems and hardware to the Brazilian petroleum industry. 22 7 – CVs João Alberto De Negri Institute for Applied Economic Research (IPEA) Edifício BNDES, SBS, Quadra 1, Brasília DF 70076-900 Brazil Fax: +55 61 315 5321, Phone: +55 61 315 5340 Email: [email protected] 1. Education Engineer, Federal University of Paraná, Brazil, 1992 Master in Economics, University of Minas Gerais, Brazil, 1994 PhD in Economics, University of Brasília, Brazil, 2003 2. - - 3. 3.1 Professional activities Researcher of the Institute for Applied Economic Research (Brazil), 1997Vice-President of IPEA - 2005 Former Director of Sectorial Policies and Studies of IPEA – 2004-2007 Deputy-Director of Sectorial Policies and Studies of IPEA – 2003-2004 Represent the Institute in the “Fóruns de Competitividade” (Sectoral Chamber that congregates Government, Entrepreneurs and Workers for making decisions on implementation of industrial policy in Brazil) General coordinator in the Secretariat of Foreign Commerce of the Ministry of Development and International Trade, 1999-1999 Consultant for Inter-American Development Bank, United Nations Development Programme, Ministry of Labor, Ministry of International Affairs, Ministry of Development and International Trade, Ministry of Finance, among other organizations. Selection of the publications (2000-2007) Books DE NEGRI, João Alberto (Org.) ; TURCHI, Lenita (Org.) . Technological Innovation in Brazilian and Argentinean Firms. Brasília: IPEA, 2006. DE NEGRI, João Alberto (Org.) ; ARAUJO, Bruno (Org.) . As Empresas Brasileiras E O Comércio Internacional. Brasília: IPEA, 2007. DE NEGRI, João Alberto (Org.) ; DE NEGRI, Fernanda; COELHO, Danilo (Org.) . Tecnologia Exportação e Emprego. Brasília: IPEA, 2006. DE NEGRI, João Alberto (Org.) ; KUBOTA, Luis (Org.) . ESTRUTURA E DINÂMICA DO SETOR DE SERVIÇOS NO BRASIL. Brasília: IPEA, 2006. DE NEGRI, João Alberto (Org.) ; SALERNO, Mario Sergio (Org.) . Inovações, padrões tecnológicos e desempenho das firmas industriais brasileiras. Brasília: IPEA, 2005. v. 1. 713 p. 23 3.2 Articles and Working Papers 2002 DE NEGRI, João Alberto ; FREITAS, Fernando . Inovação tecnológica, eficiência de escala e exportações brasileiras. Brasília: IPEA, 2004 (Textos para Discussão). 2003 DE NEGRI, João Alberto . Desempenho exportador das firmas industriais no Brasil: a influência da eficiência de escala e dos rendimentos crescentes de escala. Brasília: IPEA, 2003 (Textos para Discussão). 2003 DE NEGRI, João Alberto ; ARBACHE, Jorge Saba . O impacto de um acordo entre o Mercosul e a União Européia sobre o potencial exportador brasileiro para o mercado europeu. Brasília: IPEA, 2003 (Textos para Discussão). 2003 DE NEGRI, João Alberto ; ARBACHE, Jorge Saba ; SILVA, Maria Luiza Falcão . A formação da ALCA e seu impacto no potencial exportador brasileiro para os mercados dos Estados Unidos e Canadá. Brasília: IPEA, 2003 (Textos para Discussão). 2002 “Determinantes das exportações brasileiras: novas evidências”. XXX Encontro Nacional de Economia – ANPEC. Dezembro de 2002 (with Arbache, J. S.) English version “The Determinants of Brazilians Exports” was presented in Oxford University. 2001 Mercado Formal de Trabalho: Comparação entre os Microdados da RAIS e da PNAD. Texto Para Discussão do IPEA. N.º 840 3.3 Chapters Rendimentos Crescentes de Escala e as Firmas Exportadoras Brasileiras, in R. Markwald (edt.), Obstáculos ao Crescimento das Exportações Brasileiras: Diagnóstico e Sugestão para uma Política Comercial, Funcex/IPRI, 2002; DE NEGRI, João Alberto . Inovações, padrões tecnológicos e desempenho das firmas industriais brasileiras. In: João Alberto De Negri; Mario Sergio Salerno. (Org.). Inovações, padrões tecnológicos e desempenho das firmas industriais brasileiras. Brasília, 2005, v. , p. 5-46. ARBIX, Glauco Antonio Truzzi ; SALERNO, Mario ; DE NEGRI, João Alberto . Internacionalização gera emprego de qualidade e melhora a competitividade das firmas brasileiras. In: João Alberto De Negri; Mario Sergio Salerno. (Org.). DE NEGRI, João Alberto ; FREITAS, Fernando ; COSTA, Gustavo ; SILVA, Alan ; ALVES, Patrick . Tipologia das firmas integrantes da indústria brasileira. In: João Alberto De Negri; Mario Sergio Salerno. (Org.). ARBIX, Glauco Antonio Truzzi ; SALERNO, Mario Sergio ; DE NEGRI, João Alberto . Inovação, via internacionalização, faz bem para as exportações brasilerias. In: João Paulo dos Reis Veloso. (Org.). Economia do conhecimento crescimento e inclusão social. Rio de Janeiro, 2004, v. 1, p. 185-224. ARBACHE, Jorge Saba ; DE NEGRI, João Alberto . Abertura econômica e competitividade industrial: uma análise preliminar. In: Dieter W. Benecke; Renata 24 Nacimento. (Org.). Opções de política econômica para o Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, 2003, v. 1, p. 161-184. 4 Other activities Referee for Revista Brasileira de Economia, Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, Revista de Econometria, Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, Economia Aplicada, Economia Member of the Publishing Advice of the Boletim de Política Industrial do IPEA. 5 Research Interests Technological innovation International Economics, Development Economics, Growth Economics, Industrial Policy and Brazilian Economy. 25 CARLOS HENRIQUE CORSEUIL May, 2008 HOME ADDRESS BUSINESS ADDRESS Av. Lineu de Paula Machado, 1006/903 Rio de Janeiro, RJ 22470-040 Phone: (5521) 3204-5844 IPEA – Rio de Janeiro Av. Pres. Antonio Carlos 51/1406 E-mail: [email protected] EDUCATION University of College London London School of Economics Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Degree Ph.D. M. Sc. B.S. Year in progress 1997 1994 Field Economics Economics Economics Ph.D. Dissertation : Labor Market Dynamics Under Imperfect Information, Advisor: Prof. Pedro Carneiro PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE 2008 ; Lecturer of Microeconometrics for the graduate program in Economics at EPGEFGV 1998/ - : Research Economist at IPEA (major fields: Labor Economics, and Income Distribution) Languages: Portuguese (fluent), English (fluent), Spanish (reading) SELECTED CONFERENCES/MEETINGS 1999 – IADB/LACEA Inequality Network: Desigualdade e Pobreza no Brasil, Rio de Janeiro. BARROS, Ricardo P., CORSEUIL Carlos H., LEITE, Phillippe G. Labor Market and Poverty in Brasil IV Meeting of Latin America and Caribe Economic Association (LACEA), Santiago (Chile). BARROS, Ricardo P., CORSEUIL Carlos H. and BAHIA, Mônica. Labor Market regulation and the duration of employment in Brazil 2001 - VI Meeting of Latin America and Caribe Economic Association (LACEA), Montevideu. BARROS, Ricardo P., CORSEUIL Carlos H.; CURY, Samir and LEITE, Phillippe. Liberalization and Income Distribution in Brazil. 2007 - Labour Market Dynamic Growth (LMDG), Sandbjerg. CORSEUIL, Carlos H. Hiring Under Uncertainty And Firm Dynamics European Association of Labour Economics (EALE), Oslo. CORSEUIL, Carlos H. Hiring Under Uncertainty And Firm Dynamics MAIN PUBLISHED WORK (a) Books - Criação, Destruição e Realocação de Empregos no Brasil (Job Creation, Job Destruction and Job Reallocation in Brazil). IPEA, Rio de Janeiro, 2007. 26 - Abertura Comercial Brasileira nos Anos 1990: Impactos Sobre Emprego e Salário (The Trade Opening Process in Brazil during the 1990s: Impacts on Employment and Wages). IPEA, Rio de Janeiro, 2003. - Estrutura Salarial: Aspectos Conceituais e Novos Resultados Para o Brasil (Wages Structure: Conceptual Issues and Novel Results to Brazil). IPEA, Rio de Janeiro, 2002. (b) Papers in Brazilian Journals - Determinantes da Evolução da Estrutura do Desemprego no Brasil; 1986-1995 (Determinants of Employment Structure in Brazil), in Revista de Economia Aplicada, vol.1, n o 3, Jul/Set 1997. (with André Urani and Carla Reis) - Desemprego Regional no Brasil: Uma Abordagem Empirica (Regional Unemployment in Brazil: An Empirical Approach). Revista Economia Aplicada, vol.3, n o 3, Jul/Set 1999 (with Gustavo Gonzaga and João Issler) - Labor Market regulation and the duration of employment in Brazil, Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v.29, n.3, 1999. (with Ricardo Paes de Barros and Mônica Bahia) - Labor Market and Poverty in Brasil Revista de Econometria, v.19, n.2, 1999. (with Ricardo Paes de Barros and Phillippe Leite) - Salário Mínimo e Pobreza no Brasil: uma abordagem de equilíbrio geral (Minimum Wage and Poverty in Brazil: a General Equilibrium Approach) Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v.30, n.2, 2000. (with Ricardo Paes de Barros and Samir Cury) - Poverty, Inequality and Macroeconomic Instability. Revista Economia Aplicada, vol.4, n o 4, 2001. (with Ricardo Paes de Barros and Rosane Mendonça and Maurício Reis) - Uma Avaliação dos Impactos do Salário Mínimo sobre o Nível de Pobreza Metropolitana no Brasil (An Evaluation of Minimum Wage Effects on the Poverty Level of Brazilian Metropolitan Areas). Economia, v.2, n.1, 2001. (with Ricardo Barros and Miguel Foguel and Phillippe Leite) - Emprego Industrial no Brasil: Uma Análise de Curto e Longo Prazo (Manufacturing Employment in Brazil: Short-run and Long-run Analysis). Revista Brasileira de Economia, v.55, n.4, 2001. (with Gustavo Gonzaga) - Decisões Críticas em Idades Críticas: A Escolha dos Jovens entre o Estudo e o Trabalho no Brasil e outros Países da América Latina (Crucial Decisions at Crucial Age: The Choice for the Youngs Between School and Work in Brazil). Revista Economia Aplicada, vol.5, n o 4, 2001. (with Ricardo Barros and Miguel Foguel) - A Evolução da Demanda por Trabalho na Indústria Brasileira: Evidências de Dados por Estabelecimentos – 1985/97 (Labor Demand Evolution in Brazilian Manufacturing: Evidences Using Plant Level Data – 1985/97), Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico v.31, n.2, 2001 (with Gustavo Gonzaga and Ricardo Paes de Barros) - Gender Differences and Consequences on Welfare, Brazilian Review of Econometrics, v.21, n.2, 2001 (with Ricardo Paes de Barros, Sérgio Firpo and Daniel Santos) - Liberalização comercial e estruturas de emprego e salário (Trade Liberalization, Eployment Structure and Wages). Revista. Brasileira de Economia., vol.58, no.4, 2004. (with Jorge Arbache) - Trade liberalization, the exchange rate, and job flows in Brazil. Journal of Policy Reform, Londres, v. 7, n. 4, 2004. (with Eduardo Ribeiro, Daniel Santos, Luciana Servo, Brunu Amorim and Paulo Furtado) 27 May, 2008 Curriculum Vitae Danilo Santa Cruz Coelho Professional Address SBS QUADRA 1 – BLOCO J ED. BNDES – Sala 1108 70076-900 Brasília, Brasil. Phone: +55 61 33155187 E-mail: [email protected] Education • • • • Ph.D. in Economics (with honors), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 2004. M.A. in Economics, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2000. M.A. in Economics, Universidade Federal Fluminense, 1999. B.A. in Civil Engineering, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, 1996. Main Fields of Interest Labor Economics, Applied Econometrics and Social Choice Work Experience • • • Coordinator of Labor and Technology Studies at Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brasília, Brazil. 2006-Present Researcher at Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brasília, Brazil. 1998Present Internship at Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 1997-1998 Articles in Scientific Journals • • How to Choose a Non-controversial List with k Names, with Salvador Barberà. Forthcoming in Social Choice and Welfare (available online). Maximin Choice of Voting Rules for Committees. Economics of Governance, 2005, 5:159-175. 28 • Aspectos Dinâmicos do Desemprego e da Posição na Ocupação, with Marcelo Neri, Milene Ancora and Alexandre Pinto, Revista de Estudos Econômicos, Brasil, 1997, v.27, p. 137-159. Books • De Negri (Org.), De Negri, F. (Org.), Coelho, D. (Org.) . Tecnologia, Exportação e Emprego. 1. ed. Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2006. v. 1. 600 p. Chapters in Books • • Coelho, D. Ascensão Profissional de Homens e Mulheres nas Grandes Empresas Brasileiras. In: João Alberto De Negri, Fernanda De Negri e Danilo Coelho. (Org.). Tecnologia, Exportação e Emprego. 1 ed. Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2006, v. 1, p. 143-159. Coelho, D., De Negri ; De Negri, F. . Tecnologia, Exportação e Emprego. In: João Alberto De Negri; Fernanda De Negri; Danilo Coelho. (Org.). Tecnologia Exportação e Emprego. 1 ed. Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2006, v. 1, p. 17- Working Papers • • • • • On the Rule of k Names, with Salvador Barberà. Second revision to Games and Economic Behavior. Foreign Capital and Gender Differences in Promotions: Evidence from the Brazilian Transformation Industry, with Marcelo Fernandes and Miguel Foguel. R&D Cooperation Between Firms and Universities: Some Quantitative and Qualitative Evidences from Brazilian Manufacturing, with Lenita Turchi and Adriano Baessa. Quantile Regression with Sample Selection: Estimating Married Women’s Return of Education and Racial Wage Differential in Brazil, with Fabio Veras and Robert Veszteg. Submitted to Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico. A Comment on “The Parametric and Semi-parametric Estimation of Sample Selection Models: An Empirical Application to the Female Labor Force in Portugal “, [by M.F.O. Martins, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(1) 23-39, 2001], with M. Helena Veiga and Robert Veszteg. Referee Activities Games and Economic Behavior, Social Choice and Welfare, Journal of Public Economic Theory, Brazilian Review of Econometrics and Revista Economia. Congresses • Conference on Micro Evidence on Innovation in Developing Economies - UNUMERIT, United Nations University and University of Maastricht, Maastricht, Netherland, 2007 – Speaker. 29 • • • • • • Annual Meeting of Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-graduação em Economia (ANPEC), Recife, Brazil, December 2007 – Speaker and Discussant Annual Meeting of Brazilian Econometrics Society (SBE), Natal, Brazil, December 2005, 2004 – Speaker and Discussant 19th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association (EEA-ESEM), Madrid, Spain, August, 2004. Seventh International Meeting of the Society for Social Choice and Welfare, Osaka, Japan, July 2004 - Speaker. Second World Congress of the Game Theory Society, Marseille, France, June 2004 Speaker. Annual Meeting of Public Choice Society, Baltimore-Maryland, USA, March 2004 and March 2003 – Speaker and Discussant. Workshops (by invitation) GREQAM, Université de la Méditerranée, Aix-en-Provence, France, June 2004 , January 2003; Microeconomics Workshop, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona 2004, 2002; 11th ENTER Jamboree, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 2004 Languages Portuguese (Native), English (Fluent) and Spanish (Fluent). 30 May, 2008 EDUARDO PONTUAL RIBEIRO Office Address: Instituto de Economia Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Av. Pasteur, 250, Térreo, Urca, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 22290-240, Brazil Phone(+55) 21 3873-5246 e-mail: [email protected] http://www.ie.ufrj.br/ Education Graduate: Undergraduate: Ph.D., University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1996. M.A., University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1993. B.A., Economics, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE), Brazil, 1991. Areas of Expertise Labor Economics and Poverty, Microeconometrics, Local Public Finance. Professional Experience - - Associate Professor of Economics, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Brazil, 2006-present. Consultant, Inter-American Development Bank, Regional Development, 2006-2007. Academic external consultant for the research project Economics of Aging and Public Policy in Latin America and the Caribbean (Social Programs Division) . Associate Professor of Economics, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Brazil, 1997-2005. Coordinator and Researcher, Southern Brazil Regional Lab – Millennium Development Goals, UNDP, 2004-2007. Consultant, Inter-American Development Bank, Red de Investigaciones Económicas, 2001-2003. Research on trade liberalization and job flows in Brazil. Short time consultant, The WorldBank, PREM/LAC 1998 and 1999. Research on trade liberalization, and labor markets in Chile and Colombia and Mexico. Publications Articles in Refereed Journals - The dynamics of firm size distribution. Revista de Econometria/Brazilian Review of Econometrics, v. 27, p. 250-272, 2007. 31 - Earnings and chronic renal disease. Transplantation Proceedings, v. 39, p. 378-380 (with Balbonotto, G. and Godoy, M.), 2007 Economic Effects of Regional Tax Incentives: A General Equilibrium Approach, (joint with A. Porsse and E. Haddad) Latin American Business Review. 7, p. 195-216, 2006 Trade Liberalization, the Exchange Rate and Job Flows in Brazil (with co-authors), Journal of Policy Reform, Vol. 7(4), pp. 219–233, 2004. Asymmetric Labor Supply Empirical Economics, 26(1) 183 - 197, 2001. Preference Structures and the Excess Burden of Income Taxes in Brazil. (with Jane H. Leuthold). Public Finance Review, 27(3), 243-261, May, 1999. Criação e Destruição de Emprego na Indústria e os Efeitos do Câmbio e da Abertura Comercial: o caso da Indústria Gaúcha nos anos 90 [Job creation and job destruction and the effect of trade liberalization and the exchange rate in Rio Grande do Sul manufacturing] Revista Economia Aplicada. www.scielo.br/ecoa], 2006 Books and Reports - Criação e Destruição de Emprego no Brasil [Job Creation and Job Destruction in Brazil] (with co-authors) IPEA, 2007 Objetivo de Desenvolvimento do Milênio 1 – Pobreza e Fome [MDG1 – Poverty and Hunger] Millennium Development Goals Reports (with co-authors)– UNDP/PNUDBrazil and IDHS, 2005 (http://www.pnud.org.br/estudos/index.php). Selected Working papers - Selection Bias, Returns to Schooling and Migration in Brazil (with V. Bastos). In: SOLE 2008, New York. Microeconomic Adjustment Cost Structure And The Dynamics Of Regional Industrial Employment (with. P. Jacinto). Reg. Sci. Ass. World Congress 2008 Fluxos de Empregos, Fluxos de Trabalhadores e Fluxos de Postos de Trabalhos no Brasil [job flows, worker flows and occupation flows in Brazil].XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia - ANPEC, 2007 Languages Portuguese (native), English (fluent), Spanish (speaking and reading good), French (basic). Complete CV in Portuguese: http://lattes.cnpq.br/8025102145074887 32 VICTOR PROCHNIK HOME ADDRESS Address: Rua Desembargador Alfredo Russel, n. 67, apt. l02 Leblon - 2243l-030 - Rio de Janeiro - RJ - BRAZIL Phone (5521) 2512-4783 Cel phone (5521) 9914-9242 PROFESSIONAL ADDRESS Institute of Economics Federal University of Rio de Janeiro Av. Pasteur 250 room 108 Phone (5521) 3873-5248 E-mail: [email protected] EDUCATION B. A. In Statistics - National School of Statistical Sciences of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics, l977 Master of Sciences (Economics) - Institute of Industrial Economics, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, l983; title of thesis: "Cement industry in Brazil" (awarded a prize by the National Bank for Economic and Social Development, l984). PhD Degree (Production Engineering) - Coordination of Graduate Programs in Engineering, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, l996; Ph.D. Dissertation: "Perspectives for Industrial Networks in Technology Intensive Sectors in Brazil" 3 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Associated Professor of the Institute of Economics/ Federal University of Rio de Janeiro since l979. Courses taught in the last two years: Microeconomics Economics of the Multinational Firm Competitive Strategy 4. SELECTED PUBLISHED PAPERS WHY IS BRAZILIAN FDI SO LOW? Accepted to be published in Revista de Economia Mackenzie; ISSN:1678-5002; São Paulo, (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas) 2008 CADEIAS PRODUTIVAS E OPORTUNIDADES DE INVESTIMENTOS NO NORDESTE BRASILEIRO, 2002 (with LIA HAGUENAUER): Revista de Análise Econômica; (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas) 2002 33 ORGANIZATIONAL ROUTINES TRANSFERENCE IN TRANSNATIONAL ENTERPRISES: TWO CASE STUDIES (with Tiago de Fernandes); Economia & Tecnologia; ISSN:1415-451; (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas) 2001 5. SELECTED CONFERENCES/MEETINGS THE IMPACT OF REVERSE KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER ON THE INNOVATION PROCESS OF BRAZILIAN MULTINATIONALS; accepted to the Joseph A. Schumpeter Society Conference, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, July, 2008 ANALYZING THE LOW DEGREE OF INNOVATION IN BRAZILIAN INDUSTRY BY STUDYING THE LEAST INNOVATIVE FIRMS (with Rogério Dias Araújo) - 3rd Annual Conference Of The Global Network For The Economics Of Learning, Innovation And Competence; Pretoria; South Africa, 2005 - (Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1094305) SYSTEMIC INNOVATION, STRATEGIC ALLIANCES AND INTERNATIONAL TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER TO BRAZIL, 20th Annual McMaster Business Conference The 3rd World Congress on the Management of Intellectual Capital Michael G. DeGroote School of BusinessMcMaster University Hamilton. Ont Canadá (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas), 1999 6 SELECTED CHAPTERS IN BOOKS A COMPARISON OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL STRATEGIES OF THE LESS PRODUCTIVE ARGENTINE AND BRAZILIAN FIRMS (with Rogério Dias de Araújo) – (Eds): João de Negri and Lenita Maria Turchi; IPEA, Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas Aplicadas do Ministério do Planejamento; Brasília; Brazil. (URL: http://www.ipea.gov.br/082/08201004.jsp?ttCD_CHAVE=2862), 2007 O GRAU DE INTERNACIONALIZAÇÃO DAS FIRMAS INDUSTRIAIS BRASILEIRAS E SUAS CARACTERÍSTICAS MICROECONÔMICAS (with Fernando Freitas and Luiz Alberto Esteves) Eds: João de Negri and Bruno César de Araújo; IPEA, Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas Aplicadas do Ministério do Planejamento; Brasília; Brazil, ISBN:13: 978858617093-5; 2007 EMPREGO E SALÁRIOS NA EVOLUÇÃO RECENTE DO SETOR DE SERVIÇOS E TELECOMUNICAÇÕES BRASILEIRO (with Fernando Freitas and Luiz Alberto Esteves) in ESTRUTURA E DINÂMICA DO SETOR DE SERVIÇOS NO BRASIL; Eds: João de Negri and Luis Cláudio Kubota.; IPEA, Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas Aplicadas do Ministério do Planejamento; Brasília; Brazil, ISBN:8586170828; (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas) 2006 SUCESSO E FRACASSO EM TRANSFERÊNCIA INTERNACIONAL DE ROTINAS PARA O BRASIL (with Tiago Fernandes) in ESTUDOS EM NEGÓCIOS IV; Eds. Margarida Gutierrez; Hélène Bertrand; Mauad Editora; Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas), 2005 34 UMA ANÁLISE DO BAIXO GRAU DE INOVAÇÃO NA INDÚSTRIA BRASILEIRA A PARTIR DO ESTUDO DAS FIRMAS MENOS INOVADORAS (with Rogério Dias de Araújo) Eds. João Alberto De Negri and Mario Sergio Salerno; IPEA, Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas Aplicadas do Ministério do Planejamento; Brasília; Brazil, (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas), 2005 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND THE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE OF THE BRAZILIAN FOREST SECTOR (with Carlos E. F. Young in The Brazilian Tropical Timber Industry and International Markets; (Ed) MACQUEEN, Duncan; Earthprint Limited; Stevenage; ISBN:1 84369 437 9; (also available at the URL www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas), 2003 THE COMPUTER SCIENCES ACADEMIC COMMUNITY AND THE DIFFUSION OF THE INTERNET IN BRAZIL (with Mauricio Yoshinori Une); in INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND THE ECONOMICS OF INNOVATION; Eds: Chrisanthi Avgerou and Renata Lèbre La Rovere; Edward Elgar Publishing; Great Britain, (URL: www.ie.ufrj.br/cadeiasprodutivas), 2003 7 OTHER ACTIVITIES Member of the Academic Committee of the 17th International Telecommunications Society (ITS) Biennial Conference, 2008 Referee for: Revista Brasileira de Inovação RBI/FINEP Revista de Gestão da Tecnologia e Sistemas de Informação (University of São Paulo) Latin American Business Review (COPPEAD/UFRJ) Revista Economia (ANPEC -Associação Nacional de Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia) Revista Economia Aplicada (University of São Paulo) Revista Economia e Sociedade (Institute of Economics, UNICAMP Revista de Economia Contemporânea (Institute of Economics, UFRJ Revista Econômica do Nordeste 35 8. Budget Please see separate file 36