Curso de Graduação em Economia [[email protected]] Course title: The Brazilian Crisis in Global Context Professors: Matias Spektor and Oliver Stuenkel INTENSIVE SUMMER COURSE COURSE OBJECTIVES This course analyzes Brazil’s ongoing political and economic crisis from an international perspective. It begins by going back to Lula’s second term in office to ask core questions about the Brazilian political system, its political economy, the relations between the State and the private sector, and the role of both corruption and inequality in the run up to the 2008 global financial crisis. The course then turns to Brazil’s management of that crisis, the end of the commodities super-cycle, the collapse of the Doha Round of trade liberalization, the policy choices of Brazil's main trade partners, and the emerging global norms governing banks and international financial transactions that made the ‘Lava Jato’ (Car Wash) investigation possible. By the end of the course we will also assess how the current state of politics and the economy are shaping Brazil’s position in the international system. METHODOLOGY Matias Spektor will teach the first half of the course with a set of five lectures based on the assigned readings and additional materials to be distributed in class. Oliver Stuenkel will teach the second half with a focus on in-class debates, policy exercises, and the study of assigned readings. 1 PROGRAM | CLASS-BY-CLASS Date 1 (4 Jan) Session Lula’s Brazil in Global Context Reading - Andrew Hurrell, “Brazil in the New Global Order”, Current History, 2010. - Tim J. Power, “Brazilian Democracy as a Late Bloomer”, Latin American Research Review, Special Issue, 2010, pp. 218-24. http://lasa4.univ.pitt.edu/LARR/prot/fulltext/Vol45noSI/Power_ 218-247_45-SI.pdf - André Singer, “Raízes Sociais e Ideológicas do Lulismo”, Novos Estudos, 85, 2009, pp. 83-102. http://www.scielo.br/pdf/nec/n85/n85a04.pdf - Lee J. Alston et al., “On the Brazilian Road to Good Governance: Recovering from Economic and Political Shocks”, in: Ernesto Stein et al (eds), The Policymaking in Latin America: How Politics Shapes Policies (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2008), pp. 111-153. http://cepesp.fgv.br/sites/cepesp.fgv.br/files/On%20t he%20road%20to%20good%20governance_0.pdf - Michael Reid, Brazil: The Troubled Rise of a Global Power (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2016). 2 2 (5 Jan) The Domestic Political Roots of Brazil’s International Position - Scott Mainwaring, “Multipartism, Robust Federalism, and Presidentialism in Brazil”, in Mainwaring and Shugart, Presidentialism and Democracy in Latin America (Cambridge University Press, 1997). - Jeffrey W. Cason and Timothy J. Power, “Presidentialization, Pluralization, and Rollback of Itamaraty: Explaining Change in Brazilian Foreign Policy Making in the Cardoso-Lula Era”, International Political Sciences Review, 30 (2), 2— 9, 2009, pp. 117-140. http://disciplinas.stoa.usp.br/pluginfile.php/115697/ mod_resource/content/1/International%20Political% 20Science%20Review-2009-Cason-117-40.pdf - Matias Spektor, 18 Dias (Rio de Janeiro: Objetiva, 2014). 3 3 (6 Jan) 4 (7 Jan) - Sérgio Lazzarini et al, “What do State-Owned Development Banks Do?”, World Development, 66, 2015, pp. 237-253. https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/157865 65/lazzarini,musacchio,bandeira-demello,marcon_what-do-development-banksdo.pdf?sequence=1 - Sérgio Lazzarini, Reinventando o Capitalismo do Estado (São Paulo: Companhia das Letras, 2015). - Edmund Amann, “The Political Economy of the New Left in Latin America “, in Hadi Esfahani et al (eds.), Economic Development in Latin America (New York: Palgrave; 2010), pp.233-254. (https://www.escholar.manchester.ac.uk/uk-ac-manscw:113928) The International Political Economy of Lula’s Brazil Vinicius Carrasco et al, “A Década Perdida: 2003 – 2012”, Texto para Discussão PUC-RJ, 60, 2015. http://www.econ.pucrio.br/uploads/adm/trabalhos/files/td626.pdf - Daniela Campello and Cesar Zucco Jr. “Presidential Success and the World Economy”, Sept 18, 2015. http://www.fgv.br/professor/daniela.campello/files/C ampelloZucco-JoP.pdf State Capitalism Brazilian Style: How it Shapes Brazil’s Position in the Global Economic System 4 5 (8 Jan) 6 (11 Jan) Corruption and Inequality in Contemporary Brazil The Global Financial Crisis in 2008 and its Impact on Brazil - Marta Arretche (Org.), Trajetórias da desigualdade: como o Brasil mudou nos últimos 50 anos (São Paulo: UNESP, 2015). - Matthew M. Taylor, “Brazil’s Ebbing Tide”, Current History, 113 (760), 2014, pp.57-63. - Sérgio Praça and Matthew M. Taylor, “Inching Toward Accountability: The Evolution of Brazil's Anti-Corruption Institutions, 1985–2010“, Latin American Politics & Society, 56(2), 2014, pp. 27-48. - “Not Just Straw Men”, The Economist, Jun 18, 2009. http://www.economist.com/node/13871969 - Daniel W. Drezner, “The Puzzle of Successful Global Governance”, in: ___. The System Worked (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014), pp.1-23. - Daniel W. Drezner, “Yes, the System Worked”, in: ___. The System Worked (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014), pp.24-57. - Oliver Stuenkel, “Capturing the Spirit of a Decade (2001-2006)”, in: ____.BRICS and the Future of Global Order (London: Lexington, 2015), pp.1-8. - Oliver Stuenkel, “The Financial Crisis, Contested Legitimacy, and the Genesis of Intra-BRICS Cooperation (2006-2008)”, in: ____.BRICS and the Future of Global Order (London: Lexington, 2015), pp.9-24. 5 7 (12 Jan) 8 (13 Jan) - Otaviano Canuto. “The Commodity Super Cycle: Is This Time Different?” The Economic Premise, 150, June 2014. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTPREMNET/ Resources/EP150.pdf - “Why the commodities super cycle was a myth”, The Financial Times, Aug 31, 2015. http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e7a9b59e-4caf-11e59b5d-89a026fda5c9.html#axzz3pjI79uLy - Jahangir Aziz and Steven Dunaway, “China’s Rebalancing Act,” Finance and Development, 44(3), September, 2007. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2007/09/a ziz.htm - Marcelo de Paiva Abreu, “China’s emergence in the global economy and Brazil”, Texto para Discussão PUC-RJ, 491, 2005. http://www.economia.pucrio.br/PDF/TD491.pdf The end of the commodity super cycle and its impact on Latin America / The rise and fall of pre-salt China’s domestic reforms and its effects on Brazil 6 9 (14 Jan) How the BNDESconstruction firm connection shapes Brazil’s external relations - Ben Ross Schneider, “Big Business in Brazil: Leveraging Natural Endowments and State Support for International Expansion”, in: Leonardo MartínezDiaz and Lael Brainard (eds.), Brazil as an Emerging Economic Superpower (Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2009). - Ben Ross Schneider. “Economic Liberalization and Corporate Governance: The Resilience of Business Groups in Latin America”, Comparative Politics, 40(4), 2008, pp.379-397. http://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/20434092.pdf?accep tTC=true - Ben Ross Schneider, “Hierarchical Market Economies and Varieties of Capitalism in Latin America”, Journal of Latin American Studies, 41(3), 2009, pp. 553-575. http://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/27744166.pdf?accep tTC=true - Kathryn Hochstetler, “The Renewed Developmental State: The National Development Bank and the Brazil Model”, The Journal of Development Studies, 49(11), 2013, pp.1484-1499. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/002203 88.2013.807503 7 10 (15 Jan) - Laura Gomez Mera, “Explaining Mercosur's Survival: Strategic Sources of Argentine-Brazilian Convergence”, Journal of Latin American Studies, 37(1),2005, pp. 109-140. http://www.jstor.org/stable/3875911?seq=1#page_s can_tab_contents - Marcelo de Paiva Abreu, Comércio exterior: interesses do Brasil (Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier, 2007) Changing the global trade system: From Doha to TPP BIBLIOGRAPHY Aside from the texts specified for each class, students are encouraged to make use of the following online sources: Daily News Brief (Council on Foreign Relations) http://www.cfr.org/about/newsletters/index.html The Economist http://www.economist.com/ Post-Western World http://postwesternworld.com EVALUATION Instructors will expect readings to be done before class. Students will submit two 1k-word essays in response to questions distributed in class. Essay 1 due at the end of the first week; essay 2 due at the end of the second week. PROFESSORS’ EMAILS: Matias Spektor: [email protected] Oliver Stuenkel: [email protected] 8