WV images and Low tropopause CASES Nuno Moreira ([email protected]) Instituto de Meteorologia, Lisboa, Portugal 2003 Front – Strong activity 20/03/01 12,18,24 UTC Potential Vorticity 300 hPa 24h Precipitation in the north of Portugal: Cabril (mountain)=117mm ; Viana do Castelo (west coast)=78mm ; Floods in Ovar (west coast) … Front – Strong activity 20/03/01 12 UTC 16.7 W 25.4 W Top of the clouds 18/12/00 - 06,09,12,15 UTC Top of the clouds - WV vs. IR … 18/12/00 - 09,15 UTC Upper level low 11/08/00 0030-0630 UTC (1,5h) … Upper level low 11/08/00 0030 and 0630 UTC Z 300 hPa … Upper level low and thunderstorms Instability Lines – in cold air 11/01/01 06-18 UTC (3 h) Tropopause Topography 20/8/2000 - 12UTC … Sloping Tropopause 13/05/00 - 12UTC … Tropopausa folding 09/06/00 - 06UTC Cut-off low 27/4/99 - 1230UTC Cut-off low 27/4/99 - 1200/1230UTC Elizaga et al (1996) Reference Bader, M.J., Forbes, G.S., Grant, J.R., Lilley, R.B. e Waters, A.J., 1995: Images in weather forecasting. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 499 pp. Bechtold, P., 2000: Atmospheric moist convection: effects, concepts and modelling/forecast. Módulo do Curso “Weather forecasting in the midlatitudes” realizado na MeteoFrance de 4-15 Dezembro 2000 [ver relatório VAP01/01, Instituto de Meteorologia] Bluestein, H.B., 1993: Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology in Midlatitudes, Vol.II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 594 pp. Boyle, J.S. e Bosart, L.F., 1986: Cyclone-Anticyclone couplets over North America. Part II: Analysis of a major cyclone event over the Eastern United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 2432-2465. Elbern, H., Hendricks, J. e Ebel, A., 1998: A climatology of tropopause folds by global analysis. Theor. Appl. Climatology, 59, 181200. Elizaga, F., Martin, F., Riosalido R., Carretero, O., Elvira, B. e Garcia, A., 1996: Imágenes de vapor de agua: uso en el diagnostico de niveles altos. IV Simposio Nacional de Predección. Memorial “Alfondo Ascaso”, Madrid, 15-19 Abril 1996, INM. Grahame, N., 1998: Christmas Eve storm. Review of interesting synoptic cases. Fourth Meeting of the Working Group on Cooperation between European Forecasters (WG CEF). Set. 98 Comunicação oral. Hirschberg, P.A. e Fritsch, J.M., 1991b: Tropopause ondulations and the development of extratropical cyclones - Part II: Diagnostic Analysis and coceptual model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 518-550. Hoskins, B.J., McIntyre, M.E. e Robertson, A.W., 1985: On the use and significance of isentropic potencial vorticity maps. Quart. J. Roy. Meteo. Soc., 111, 877-946. Joly, A e Santurette, P., 2000: Turning dynamical ideas into forecast practice: a proposal for a renewed graphic summary of the synoptic scale situation. Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Service Central d´Exploitation Météorologique. Módulo do Curso “Weather forecasting in the midlatitudes” realizado na MeteoFrance de 4-15 Dezembro 2000 [ver relatório VAP01/01, Instituto de Meteorologia] Reference Keyser, D. e Shapiro, M.A., 1986: Review – A review of the structure and dynamics of upper-level frontal zones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 452-499. Malardel, S., 2000: Weather forecasting in midlatitudes regions - Large scale dynamics in the midlatitudes. Módulo do Curso “Weather forecasting in the midlatitudes” realizado na MeteoFrance de 4-15 Dezembro 2000 [ver relatório VAP01/01, Instituto de Meteorologia] Moreira, N., 1999: Utilização de imagens de vapor de água na avaliação de campos previstos por Modelos numéricos. Instituto de Meteorologia. Morgan,M.C. e Nielson-Gammon, 1998: Using tropopause maps to diagnose midlatitude weather systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2555-2579. NOAA, 1991: Water vapor imagery – Interpretation and applications to weather analysis and forecasting. NOAA Technical report NESDIS 57, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admnistration, Washington, 213 pp. Prates, F., 1996: Utilização de cartas de vorticidade potencial isentrópica no diagnóstico dos processos de ciclogénese. Nota Técnica. Instituto de Meteorologia. Romero, R., 2000: Sensitivity of a heavy rain producing Western Mediterranean cyclone to embedded potencial vorticity anomalies. Submetido ao Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Santurette, P., 1998: About new products and new methods for synoptic forecast in Meteo-France. Casos de estudo apresentados no curso sobre previsão na Meteo-France, Dez. 98. Comunicação oral.