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TABLE OF CONTENTS I INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................... 5 II IMF’S FAILURES IN FINANCIAL ANALYSIS AND EARLY WARNING ............................. 9 III IMF SURVEILLANCE AND MEMBERS’ OBLIGATIONS ............................................... 14 III.1 The Bretton Woods System............................................................................ 14 III.2 Bilateral and multilateral surveillance.......................................................... 15 III.3 Reform of IMF surveillance and members’ obligations.............................. 17 III.3.1 Independent surveillance ........................................................................ 17 III.3.2 Exchange rate obligations ....................................................................... 18 III.3.3 Removing the asymmetry in adjustment ................................................. 20 III.3.4 Capital account obligations and surveillance ......................................... 21 THE INTERNATIONAL RESERVES SYSTEM ............................................................ 23 IV IV.1 Instability and imbalances ............................................................................. 23 IV.2 Reserve costs.................................................................................................... 24 IV.3 Reducing reserve needs .................................................................................. 25 IV.4 Moving away from the dollar towards the SDRs......................................... 26 CRISIS INTERVENTION AND LENDING....................................................................... 30 V V.1 Expansion and proliferation of crisis lending instruments ......................... 30 V.2 Pros and cons of crisis lending....................................................................... 31 V.3 Involving the private sector in crisis resolution ........................................... 34 VI CONCLUSIONS ....................................................................................................... 37 REFERENCES................................................................................................................ 39 ! ! ! 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'4! 03%5! 4&,$0! ,'O! :1&+<!&+%*,$! <'&+02! :34! $T#$1&$+%$! 03<<$040! 45'4! 03%5!<'&+0!4$+.!4*!:$!,*1$!45'+!*770$4!:O!%*+41'%4&*+0!45'4!%*3(.!1$03(4!71*,!'!#*00&:($! 1$/$10'(E!!-<'&+2!:$%'30$!*7!45$!('1<$!%'11O!%*040!&+/*(/$.2!'((*M&+<!05*14C4$1,!'1:&41'<$! %'#&4'(! 4*! $+4$1! 45$! $%*+*,O! '+.! 30&+<! 45$,!4*! '%%3,3('4$! W:*11*M$.X! 1$0$1/$0! '0! 0$(7! &+031'+%$!'<'&+04!45$&1!$T&4!&0!+*4!+$%$00'1&(O!'!:$44$1!*#4&*+!45'+!1$041&%4&+<!45$&1!$+41OE!! F*M$1&+<! &+4$1$04! 1'4$0! ,'O! +*4! :$! '+! $77$%4&/$! '(4$1+'4&/$! 4*! %'#&4'(! %*+41*(0! 0&+%$! @+4$1$04!1'4$!.&77$1$+4&'(0!'1$!+*4!45$!*+(O!1$'0*+!7*1!05*14C4$1,!&+7(*M0E!!D5$+!45$O!'1$! '441'%4$.!:O![3&%P!M&+.7'((0!71*,!:3::($0!&+!'00$4!,'1P$402!(*M$1!1'4$0!%*3(.!0&,#(O!'..! 73$(!4*!45$!7&1$E!!V&+'((O2!45$1$!&0!'(M'O0!3+%$14'&+4O!&7!'+.!4*!M5'4!$T4$+4!'!%311$+%O!&0! '##1*#1&'4$(O! '(&<+$.! M&45! 45$! 3+.$1(O&+<! 73+.',$+4'(0E! ! ?5302! 8))0! M&45! ('1<$! '+.! #$10&04$+4! %311$+4! '%%*3+4! .$7&%&40! '1$! M$((! './&0$.! 4*! '##1*'%5! %'#&4'(! &+7(*M0! M&45! $T41$,$!%'34&*+!'+.!7*%30!*+!:3&(.&+<!'!0*3+.!#'O,$+40!#*0&4&*+!1'45$1!45'+!7&+'+%&+<! 45$,!M&45!7*1$&<+!%'#&4'(E!!!! ! ?5$!3+*145*.*T!,$00'<$0!%*+4'&+$.!&+!45$0$!@QV!.&0%5'1<$02!+*4':(O!45$!%'((!7*1! <1$'4$1! 4*($1'+%$! 7*1! &+7('4&*+2! '44$+4&*+! 4*! '00$4! '+.! %1$.&4! :3::($02! '+.! 30$! *7! %*+41*(0! */$1!%'#&4'(!&+7(*M0!'0!($<&4&,'4$!4**(0!*7!#*(&%O!'1$!%'1$73((O!M*1.$.!'+.![3'(&7&$.!M&45! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! e !!"$$!45$!.$0%1&*+!&+!U041O!et alE!WIJKJ2!V&<31$!KXE!!V*1!.&0%300&*+!*7!,'+O!*7!45$!&003$0!4'P$+!3#!&+!45&0! #'1'<1'#52!0$$!-POg;!WIJJaXE! Why The IMF And The International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform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esearch Papers! ! III IMF SURVEILLANCE AND MEMBERS’ OBLIGATIONS III.1 The Bretton Woods System ^*(&%&$0! '(,*04! '(M'O0! #('O! '+! &,#*14'+4! #'14! &+! 7&+'+%&'(! &+04':&(&4O! '+.! %1&0$0E!! Q&0<3&.$.!.$1$<3('4&*+!*7!7&+'+%&'(!,'1P$40!'+.!(&:$1'(&;'4&*+!*7!45$!%'#&4'(!'%%*3+4!'+.! 3+0304'&+':($!,'%1*$%*+*,&%!'+.!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!#*(&%&$0!'1$!*74$+!45$!#1*T&,'4$!%'30$0! *7!7&+'+%&'(!%1&0$0!'+.!%311$+%O!'+.!:'('+%$C*7C#'O,$+40!&+04':&(&4OE!!?5&0!&0!413$!:*45!7*1! 8))0!'+.!'./'+%$.!$%*+*,&$0!W-)0XE!!c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aIG!LJCL`XE!!-!0%'1%$!%311$+%O!%('30$!W-14&%($!d@@X!M'0!&+41*.3%$.! 4*! 0$%31$! 0O,,$41O! &+! '.N304,$+4! :$4M$$+! 031#(30! '+.! .$7&%&4! %*3+41&$0E! ! ?5302! 45$! %311$+%&$0!*7!031#(30!%*3+41&$0!%*3(.!:$!.$%('1$.!0%'1%$2!45$1$:O!'((*M&+<!*45$10!4*!30$! .&0%1&,&+'4*1O!41'.$2!$T%5'+<$!'+.!%'#&4'(!,$'031$0!'<'&+04!45$,E!!! ! c*M$/$12! +*+$! *7! 45$0$! *:(&<'4&*+0! M$1$! 041&%4(O! $+7*1%$.! 3+.$1! 45$! \1$44*+! D**.0!"O04$,!W\&1.!'+.!D&(($44!IJJRXE!!@QV!*/$10&<54!*7!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!'.N304,$+40!M'0! $77$%4&/$(O!':'+.*+$.!&+!KLe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c*M$/$12! &4! M'0! 04&((! +*4! &+/*P$.! 7*1! 9$1,'+O! '+.! j'#'+! M5*0$! #$10&04$+4! 031#(30$0! ,'.$!'+!&,#*14'+4!%*+41&:34&*+!4*!45$!%*(('#0$!*7!45$!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!'11'+<$,$+40E!!! ! ?5$!#'1!/'(3$!'11'+<$,$+40!%*(('#0$.!M&45!45$!3+&('4$1'(!030#$+0&*+!:O!45$!="!*7! <*(.! %*+/$14&:&(&4O! &+! KLRK! b! 45$! 7&104! '+.! 45$! ,*04! 0&<+&7&%'+4! #*04CM'1! .$7'3(4! *7! &+4$1+'4&*+'(!*:(&<'4&*+0!:O!'+O!%*3+41O!M&45*34!7'%&+<!'!#$+'(4OE!!!V(*'4&+<!M'0!'.*#4$.! M&45*34!'+O!%1$.&:($!%*,,&4,$+4!4*!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!04':&(&4OE!!@+.$$.!45$!+$M!Y*:(&<'4&*+0! Why The IMF And The International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform 15 1$<'1.&+<! $T%5'+<$! '11'+<$,$+40Z! $04':(&05$.! M&45! 45$! "$%*+.! -,$+.,$+4! *7! 45$! -14&%($0! &+! KLRa! ',*3+4$.! 4*! +*! ,*1$! 45'+! 45$! 1$%*<+&4&*+! 45'4! 45$! 04':&(&4O! *7! 45$! &+4$1+'4&*+'(! ,*+$4'1O! 0O04$,! .$#$+.$.! *+! 45$! $T4$+4! 4*! M5&%5! .*,$04&%! #*(&%&$0! 0304'&+$.! *1.$1(O! 3+.$1(O&+<! %*+.&4&*+0E! ! -0! #*&+4$.! *34! :O! ?1&77&+! WKLR_G! eRbeaX2! 45$! *:(&<'4&*+0!M$1$!Y0*!<$+$1'(!'+.!*:/&*30!'0!4*!'##$'1!1'45$1!03#$17(3*30Z!'+.!45$!0O04$,! Y$00$+4&'((O! #1*#*0$.! 4*! ($<'(&;$! i! 45$! M&.$0#1$'.! '+.! &(($<'(! 1$#3.&'4&*+! *7! \1$44*+! D**.0!%*,,&4,$+402!M&45*34!#344&+<!'+O!*45$1!:&+.&+<!%*,,&4,$+40!&+!45$&1!#('%$EZ! ! ! III.2 Bilateral and multilateral surveillance ! D&45!45$!':1*<'4&*+!*7!45$!#'1!/'(3$!0O04$,!45$!@QV!031/$&(('+%$!<'&+$.!%1&4&%'(! &,#*14'+%$E! ! -4! 45$! 0',$! 4&,$! '0! ,$,:$10!M$1$! '((*M$.! 45$! 1&<54! 4*! %5**0$! 45$&1! *M+! $T%5'+<$! 1'4$! '11'+<$,$+402! 45$! V3+.! M'0! %5'1<$.! 4*! $T$1%&0$! 7&1,! 031/$&(('+%$! */$1! ,$,:$10S! $T%5'+<$! 1'4$! #*(&%&$0E! ! U/$1! 4&,$! 45$! 0%*#$! *7! :&('4$1'(! 031/$&(('+%$! 5'0! $T#'+.$.! &+4*! '! +3,:$1! *7! *45$1! '1$'0E! ! @+! 45$! KLaJ0! &4! M'0! 1$%*<+&;$.! 45'4! Y4*! :$! $77$%4&/$!031/$&(('+%$!*/$1!$T%5'+<$!1'4$0!,304!%*+%$1+!&40$(7!M&45!45$!'00$00,$+4!*7!'((! 45$! #*(&%&$0! 45'4! '77$%4! 41'.$2! %'#&4'(! ,*/$,$+402! $T4$1+'(! '.N304,$+42! 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hy The IMF And The International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform 25 0*,$!qHEH!41&((&*+2!$T%$$.&+<!KI!,*+450!*7!&,#*140E!!-:*34!5'(7!*7!45$0$!'1$!$'1+$.!71*,! %311$+4!'%%*3+4!031#(30$02!,'&+(O!:O!65&+'!'+.!V3$(!)T#*14$102!'+.!45$!1$04!%',$!71*,! %'#&4'(!&+7(*M0!b!45'4!&02!45$O!'1$!:*11*M$.!1$0$1/$0EKR!!@+!'!7$M!%*3+41&$0!03%5!'0!65&+'2! %311$+4! '%%*3+4! 031#(30$0! '+.! 1$0$1/$! '%%3,3('4&*+! 5'/$! :$$+! '00*%&'4$.! M&45! 1'#&.! <1*M45E! ! \34! &+! '! ('1<$! +3,:$1! *7! 8))0! '..&4&*+'(! 1$0$1/$0! M$1$! :3&(4! 71*,! %'#&4'(! &+7(*M0! '0! <*/$1+,$+40! &+4$1/$+$.! 4*! #1$/$+4! %311$+%O! 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Ka !?5$!,$45*.!30$.!5$1$!4*!$04&,'4$!1$0$1/$!%*040!.&77$10!71*,!45'4!&+!45$!(&4$1'431$!&+!45'4!'!.&04&+%4&*+!&0! ,'.$!5$1$!:$4M$$+!:*11*M$.!'+.!$'1+$.!1$0$1/$0E!!^*('P!'+.!6('1P!WIJJ_X!'(0*!1$7$1!4*!:*11*M$.!1$0$1/$0! &+!45$&1!$04&,'4&*+!*7!45$!%*04!4*!#**1$04!.$/$(*#&+<!%*3+41&$0E! 26 Research Papers! ?5&1.2!#**(&+<!*7!1$0$1/$0!'4!45$!1$<&*+'(!($/$(!%*3(.!1$.3%$!4*4'(!1$0$1/$0!5$(.!:O! 45$! #'14&%&#'4&+<! %*3+41&$0! M5&($! #1*/&.&+<! '.$[3'4$! %*(($%4&/$! &+031'+%$E! ! -! 1$%$+4! $T',#($!&0!45$!65&'+<!Q'&!@+&4&'4&/$!M&45!'!1$0$1/$!#**(!*7!qKIJ!:&((&*+!7*1!,$$4&+<!45$! 4$,#*1'1O!(&[3&.&4O!+$$.0!*7!45$!-")->r`!%*3+41&$0E!!! ! V&+'((O2! ,*1$! 1$(&':($! '+.! '.$[3'4$! *77&%&'(! 7&+'+%&+<! '4! 4&,$0! *7! &+04':&(&4O! M&((! 1$.3%$! 45$! +$$.! 7*1! 0$(7! &+031'+%$E! ! c*M$/$12! '0! .&0%300$.! &+! 45$! +$T4! 0$%4&*+2! 03%5! ($+.&+<!05*3(.!'&,!#1&,'1&(O!'4!7&+'+%&+<!%311$+4!'%%*3+4!41'+0'%4&*+0!1'45$1!45'+!%'#&4'(! *347(*M0! '+.! .$:4! #'O,$+40! 4*! &+4$1+'4&*+'(! #1&/'4$! %1$.&4*10! b! 45$! 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(&':($! 4*! :$! 1$%'(($.!M5$+!45$O!'1$!,*04!+$$.$.Z!W^*('P!'+.!6('1P!IJJ_G!HH`XE!!!! ! A$<3('1! 03:04'+4&'(! '((*%'4&*+0! *7! "8A0! '1$! %$14'&+(O! 45$! ,*04! 041'&<547*1M'1.! M'O! 4*! 1'&0$! 45$&1! 05'1$! &+! 1$0$1/$! '00$40! '+.! 5$(#! '..1$00! 45$! &+$[3&4&$0! &+! 45$! %311$+4! 0O04$,E! ! -((*%'4&*+0! 05*3(.! :$! *+! '! #1$.$4$1,&+$.! :'0&02! (&+P$.! 4*! <1*M45! &+! M*1(.! &+%*,$!'+.f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h!45'4!&02!4*! 5'/$!"8A0!4*!1$#('%$![3*4'0!'+.!9-\!'+.!>-\!'0!45$!0&+<($!0*31%$!*7!73+.&+<!7*1!45$! @QVE!!?5$!V3+.!%*3(.!:$!#$1,&44$.!4*!&003$!"8A0!4*!&40$(7!*+!'!1$<3('1!:'0&02!4*!:$!30$.! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! KL !V*1!'!1$%$+4!.&0%300&*+!*7!45&0!#1*#*0'(!&+!1$('4&*+!4*!45$!%311$+4!%1&0&0!0$$2!Q*+:&*4!WIJJaXE!!!@1*+&%'((O! 45&0!#1*#*0'(!&0!+*M!1$/&0&4$.!7*1!'..1$00&+<!45$!#1*:($,0!'00*%&'4$.!M&45!45$!.*(('1C:'0$.!1$0$1/$!0O04$,! '+.!45$!=+&4$.!"4'4$0!&+.$:4$.+$00!M5&($!'4!45$!\1$44*+!D**.0!&4!M'0!*##*0$.!:O!45$!/$1O!0',$!%*3+41O! :$%'30$!&4!M'0!45$!:&<<$04!%1$.&4*1!'4!45$!4&,$!'+.!B$O+$0!M'0!#1*#*0&+<!4'T&+<!%311$+4!'%%*3+4!031#(30$0E!! @+!%*+41'042!&+!'!1$%$+4!0#$$%5!*+!Reform of the International Monetary System,!#1*#*0&+<!'.*#4&*+!*7!45$! "8A0!'0!'!<(*:'(!1$0$1/$!%311$+%O2!45$!<*/$1+*1!*7!65&+'2!45$!%*3+41O!M&45!45$!('1<$04!031#(302!1$7$11$.!4*! B$O+$0S0!:'+%*1!#1*#*0'(!'0!Y7'10&<54$.Zh!0$$2!s5*3!WIJJLXE!!!! 28 Research Papers! &+! ($+.&+<! *#$1'4&*+0E! ! -<'&+2! 45&0! %*3(.! :$! (&+P$.! 4*! <1*M45! &+! M*1(.! &+%*,$! '+.f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"$/$1'(! &003$0! *7! &,#*14'+%$! 4*! 8))0! M*3(.! +$$.! 4*! :$! 0*14$.! *34EII! ! V&104! '+.! 7*1$,*042!45$1$!&0!45$![3$04&*+!*7!M5*!M&((!:$'1!45$!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!1&0PE!!-!%5'+<$!&+!45$! .*(('1f"8A0!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!M*3(.!%1$'4$!(*00$0!'+.!<'&+0!7*1!45$!@QV!0&+%$2!:O!.$7&+&4&*+2! '!03:04&434&*+!'%%*3+4!M*3(.!,$'+!'!%311$+%O!,&0,'4%5!:$4M$$+!'00$40!'+.!(&':&(&4&$0E!-! 0304'&+$.!.$%(&+$!&+!45$!.*(('1!'<'&+04!*45$1!%311$+%&$0!45'4!,'P$!3#!45$!"8A0!M&((!&,#(O! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IJ !!V*1!'+!'%%*3+4!*7!45$0$!.$(&:$1'4&*+0!0$$2!\*3<54*+!WIJJKG!L`_Ce`XE!!"$$!'(0*!\$1<04$+!WIJJLX! IK !!B$+$+!WIJJHX!03<<$040!45'4!'!M&.$0#1$'.!3+(*'.&+<!*7!.*(('1!1$0$1/$0!&+4*!$31*!%*3(.!:$!':0*1:$.!:O! $04':(&05&+<!'!0&,&('1!03:04&434&*+!'%%*3+4!'4!45$!)31*#$'+!6$+41'(!\'+PE! II !!?5$0$!'1$!.&0%300$.!&+!\*3<54*+!WIJJK2!IJJRX!'+.!\$1<04$+!WIJJR'2!IJJR:XE! 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'+.! 4*! &,#*0$!$T%5'+<$!%*+41*(0!WB13$<$1!IJJKG!RXE! ! ! c*M$/$12! 45$! "8AQ! #1*#*0'(! .&.! +*4! 73+.',$+4'((O! '..1$00! 45$! #1*:($,0! '00*%&'4$.! M&45! @QV! :'&(*340E! ! @4! M'0! .$0&<+$.! 7*1! %*3+41&$0! 7'%&+<! &+0*(/$+%O! M5&($! 45*0$! $T#$1&$+%&+<! (&[3&.&4O! #1*:($,0! M$1$! 4*! %*+4&+3$! 4*! 1$(O! *+! @QV! ($+.&+<E! ! ?5$! #1*/&0&*+! 7*1! 04'434*1O! #1*4$%4&*+! 4*! .$:4*10! &+! 45$! 7*1,! *7! '! 04'O! *+! (&4&<'4&*+! M'0! 03:0$[3$+4(O!.1*##$.E!!)/$+!45$!.&(34$.!/$10&*+!*7!45$!#1*#*0'(!%*3(.!+*4!$(&%&4!'.$[3'4$! 36 Research Papers! #*(&4&%'(!03##*14!'+.!5'.!4*!:$!M&45.1'M+2!'+.!45$!'44$+4&*+!5'0!05&74$.!4*!%*+41'%43'(!'+.! /*(3+4'1O!,$%5'+&0,02!+*4':(O!6-60!&+!0*/$1$&<+!:*+.!%*+41'%40EIR! ! D5&($! $T#'+.&+<! &40! ($+.&+<! &+0413,$+40! '+.! %'#'%&4O2! 45$! V3+.! &0! *+%$! '<'&+! *##*0&+<! ,'+.'4*1O! ,$%5'+&0,0! 4*! &+/*(/$! 45$! #1&/'4$! 0$%4*1! &+! %1&0&0! 1$0*(34&*+! '+.! './*%'4&+<2! &+04$'.2! /*(3+4'1O! ,$%5'+&0,0E! ! 9&/$+! 45$! 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esearch Papers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c*M$/$12!45$!'<$+.'0!*7!45$!9IJ!'+.!45$! @QV!04&((!,&00!0*,$!*7!45$!,*04!&,#*14'+4!&003$0!45'4!+$$.!31<$+4!'44$+4&*+E! ! 8$/$(*#&+<! %*3+41&$0! 5'/$! '! #'14&%3('1! 04'P$! &+! 45&0! $+.$'/*31! <&/$+! 45$&1! /3(+$1':&(&4O! 4*! './$10$! 0#&((*/$10! 71*,! -)0! '+.! (&,&4$.! %'#'%&4O! 4*! 1$0#*+.E! ! @7! ,'N*1! %*3+41&$0! .*! +*4! 03##*14! 45$! $04':(&05,$+4! *7! '+! *1.$1(O! '+.! $[3&4':($! &+4$1+'4&*+'(! ,*+$4'1O! '+.! 7&+'+%&'(! 0O04$,2! 8))0! 05*3(.! 7&+.! M'O0! '+.! ,$'+0! *7! #1*4$%4&+<! 45$,0$(/$0!'+.!(**P&+<!'74$1!45$&1!&+4$1$040!451*3<5!1$<&*+'(!%**#$1'4&*+E!!?5$0$!&+%(3.$! '11'+<$,$+40!1$<'1.&+<!1$<&*+'(!%311$+%&$0!'+.!$T%5'+<$!1'4$!,$%5'+&0,02!&+41'C1$<&*+'(! #1*/&0&*+! *7! &+4$1+'4&*+'(! (&[3&.&4O2! #*(&%O! 031/$&(('+%$! '+.! 1$<3('4&*+! *7! 7&+'+%&'(! ,'1P$40!'+.!%'#&4'(!7(*M0E!!?5$1$!%'+!:$!(&44($!.*3:4!45'4!&+!,'+O!*7!45$0$!'1$'0!1$<&*+'(! '11'+<$,$+40!'1$!<$+$1'((O!&+7$1&*1!4*!45*0$!45'4!%*3(.!:$!$04':(&05$.!'4!45$!<(*:'(!($/$(E!! \34! 45$O! .$7&+&4$(O! '1$! :$44$1! 45'+! '! Y+*+C0O04$,Z! #3(($.! '+.! #305$.! '1*3+.! :O! ,'N*1! $%*+*,&%!#*M$10E! Why The IMF And The International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform 39 REFERENCES ! ! -POg;2! tE! WIJJIXE! ! 61&0&0! Q'+'<$,$+4! '+.! \31.$+! "5'1&+<E! ! @+! tE! -POg;2! $.E2! 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V&+'+%&'(! 61&0$0G! ?5$! 6'0$! 7*1! @+.$#$+.$+4! @QV! "31/$&(('+%$E! A$,'1P0! ,'.$! '4! 45$! @+04&434$! 7*1! @+4$1+'4&*+'(! )%*+*,&%0E! D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E!Q'1%5!_E! ! ! \$1<04$+2! 6EVE! WIJJR'XE! ! ! c*M! 4*! "*(/$! 45$! ^1*:($,! *7! 45$! 8*(('1EZ! ! !Financial Times2!8$%$,:$1!KKE! ! ! \$1<04$+2! 6EVE! WIJJR:XE! ! U:N$%4&*+0! 8*! >*4! @+/'(&.'4$! "3:04&434&*+! -%%*3+4! \$+$7&40E!!!Financial Times2!8$%$,:$1!ILE! ! ! \$1<04$+2!6EVE!WIJJLXE!!D$!"5*3(.!F&04$+!4*!\$&N&+<S0!6311$+%O!@.$'E!!Financial Times2!-#1&(!aE! ! ! \&1.2!9E!'+.!?E8E!D&(($44!WIJJRXE!!Q3(4&('4$1'(!"31/$&(('+%$E!!@0!45$!@QV!"5**4&+<! 7*1!45$!"4'10u!!World Economics2!aWeXG!K_RKaLE! ! ! \('+%5'1.2! UE2! 9E! 8$((S-1&%%&'! '+.! ^E! Q'31*! WIJKJXE! ! ! A$45&+P&+<! Q'%1*$%*+*,&%! ^*(&%OE! ! @QV! "4'77! ^*0&4&*+! >*4$! "^>fKJfJ`2! V$:13'1O! KI2! D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E!!! 40 Research Papers! ! ! \*1&*2! 6E2! '+.! ^E! F*M$! WIJJeXE! ! ! "$%31&+<! 0304'&+':($! #1&%$! 04':&(&4OG! ! "5*3(.! %1$.&4!%*,$!:'%P!71*,!45$!M&(.$1+$00u!!^'#$1!#1$#'1$.!7*1!45$!)6\!D*1P05*#!*+! p-00$4! ^1&%$0! '+.! Q*+$4'1O! ^*(&%OS2! KKCKI! 8$%$,:$1! IJJ`E! MMME$%:E&+4f$/$+40f%*+7$1$+%$0E! ! ! \*3<54*+2! jEQE! WIJJKXE! ! ! Silent Revolution: The International Monetary Fund, 1979-89. @QV2!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! \*3<54*+2! jEQE! WIJJRXE! ! ?5&1.! ?&,$! F3%PO! 7*1! "%5$,$! 4*! "3##*14! 8*(('1u!! Financial Times2!Ke!8$%$,:$1E! ! ! 6('1&.'2!AE!cE!WKLLLXE!!9`!)T%5'+<$!A'4$!A$('4&*+05�G!-!A$%'#!*7!45$!A$%*1.! '+.! '! A$/&$M! *7! ^1*#*0'(0! 7*1! 65'+<$E! ! Group of Thirty Occasional Paper! HLE!! D'05&+<4*+2!86E! ! ! 6**#$12!AE!WIJJ_XE!!^1*#*0'(!7*1!'!6*,,*+!6311$+%O!',*+<!A&%5!8$,*%1'%&$0E! International Economics and Economic Policy. d*(E!`2!8$%$,:$1E! ! ! 6*44'1$((&2!6E!!WIJJHXE!)77&%&$+%O!'+.!F$<&4&,'%OG!?1'.$CU770!&+!@QV!9*/$1+'+%$E!!! Working Paper!D^fJHfKJRE!!!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6EG!@QVE! ! ! 8',2! BE! DE! WKLaIXE! The Rules of the Game. Reform and Evolution in the International Monetary SystemE!!65&%'<*G!=+&/$10&4O!*7!65&%'<*!^1$00E! ! ! )&%5$+<1$$+2! \E! WIJJLXE! U34! *7! 45$! \*T! ?5*3<540! ':*34! 45$! @+4$1+'4&*+'(! V&+'+%&'(!-1%5&4$%431$E!@QV!D*1P&+<!^'#$1!JLfKK_E!!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! )"6-^!WIJKJXE!!Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2010E!! \'+<P*PE! ! ! V&0%5$12! "E! WKLLLXE! ! U+! 45$! >$$.! 7*1! '+! @+4$1+'4&*+'(! F$+.$1! *7! F'04! A$0*14E!! Journal of Economic Perspectives!K`!WeXG!aHCKJeE! ! ! 9IJ! WIJJLXE! ! ?5$! 9(*:'(! ^('+! 7*1! A$%*/$1O! '+.! A$7*1,E! ! 6*,,3+&[3k! *7! 45$! 9IJ!"3,,&42!F*+.*+!I!-#1&(E!!-/'&(':($!'4!MMME<IJE*1<E! ! ! 91*02!8E!'+.!?E!Q'O$1!WIJKJXE!!c*M!4*!8$'(!M&45!"*/$1$&<+!8$7'3(4!&+!)31*#$G!! 61$'4$! '! )31*#$'+! Q*+$4'1O! V3+.! +*ME! ! ! CEPS Policy Review! IJI2! V$:13'1O! W3#.'4$.!KR!Q'OXE!!6$+41$!7*1!)31*#$'+!^*(&%O!"43.&$0E! ! ! 91*3#!*7!?$+E!WKLaHXE!?5$!V3+%4&*+&+<!*7!45$!@+4$1+'4&*+'(!Q*+$4'1O!"O04$,E!!-! A$#*14!4*!45$!! Q&+&04$10!'+.!9*/$1+*10!:O!45$!91*3#!*7!8$#34&$0E!!D'05&+<4*+2! 8E6E!! ! Why The IMF And The International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform 41 ! c$1,'+2! \E! '+.! "E! "#&$<$(! WIJJRXE! ! "*/$1$&<+! \'+P13#4%OG! -! ^&$%$! *7! 45$! @+4$1+'4&*+'(! V&+'+%&'(! -1%5&4$%431$! &0! "4&((! Q&00&+<E! ! ^'#$1! #1$0$+4$.! 4*! =>f6*,,*+M$'(45! D*1P05*#! *+! 8$:42! V&+'+%$! '+.! ),$1<&+<! @003$0! &+! V&+'+%&'(!@+4$<1'4&*+E!!F*+.*+2!_CR!Q'1%5E! ! ! @QV! 9V"A! W/'1&*30! &003$0XE! ! ! Global Financial Stability Report. ! D'05&+<4*+2! 86E! ! ! @QV!D)U!W/'1&*30!&003$0XE!!World Economic Outlook2!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! @QV!WKLLLXE!Involving the Private Sector in Forestalling and Resolving Financial CrisesE!D'05&+<4*+2!862!-#1&(E! ! ! @QV! WIJJJ'XE! ! )T$%34&/$! \*'1.! .&0%300$0! &+/*(/&+<! 45$! #1&/'4$! 0$%4*1! &+! 45$! 1$0*(34&*+!*7!7&+'+%&'(!%1&0&0E!!Public Information Notice!JJfaJE!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! @QV!WIJJJ:XE!!Involving the Private Sector in the Resolution of Financial Crises B Standstills B Preliminary ConsiderationsE!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E2!H!"$#4$,:$1E! ! ! @QV! WIJJeXE! ! ! c*M! "5*3(.! 45$! @QV! :$! A$05'#$.u! ! Finance and DevelopmentE!! "$#4$,:$1E!! ! ! @QV! WIJJHXE! =+&4$.! "4'4$0G! "4'77! A$#*14! 7*1! 45$! IJJH! -14&%($! @d! 6*+03(4'4&*+E! j3+$!`E!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! @QV! WIJJ_XE! =+&4$.! "4'4$0G! "4'77! A$#*14! 7*1! 45$! IJJ_! -14&%($! @d! 6*+03(4'4&*+E! j3+$!`JE!D'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! @QV!WIJJRXE!=+&4$.!"4'4$0G!"4'77!A$#*14!7*1!45$!IJJR!-14&%($!@d!6*+03(4'4&*+E!j3(O! KKED'05&+<4*+2!8E6E! ! ! @QV!WIJJL'XE!!A$/&$M!*7!V3+.!V'%&(&4&$0E!!!-+'(O4&%'(!\'0&0!7*1!V3+.!F$+.&+<!'+.! 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Trade and Development Report. ! =+&4$.! >'4&*+0G!9$+$/'E! ! ! =+&4$.!>'4&*+0!WIJJHXE!!World Economic and Social Survey 2006: Financing for Development. !>$M!t*1PG!=+&4$.!>'4&*+0E! ! ! =+&4$.!>'4&*+0!WIJJLXE!!Report of the Commission of Experts of the President of the United Nations General Assembly on Reforms of the International Monetary and Financial System W544#GffMMME3+E*1<f<'f$%*+%1&0&003,,&4f.*%0fV&+'(A$#*14y6*)E#.7XE! ! ! d'+! c*34/$+2! FE! ! WIJJeXE! A$45&+P&+<! @QV! 9*/$1+'+%$E! ! Finance and DevelopmentE!!"$#4$,:$1E! ! ! d*(%P$12!^E!WKLLHXE!!?5$!v3$04!7*1!)T%5'+<$!A'4$!"4':&(&4OG!A$'(&04&%!*1!v3&T*4&%E!! "#$$%5!<&/$+!'4!45$!"$+'4$!c*30$!=+&/$10&4O!*7!F*+.*+2!>*/$,:$1!ILE!@+04&434$! 7*1!@+4$1+'4&*+'(!)%*+*,&%02!D'05&+<4*+2!86E!! ! ! D$&0:1*42! QE! '+.! jE! Q*+4$%&+*! WIJKJXE! ! ! ?5$! @QV! '+.! )%*+*,&%! A$%*/$1OG! ! @0! V3+.! ^*(&%O! 6*+41&:34&+<! 4*! 8*M+0&.$! A&0P0u! 6$+41$! 7*1! )%*+*,&%! ^*(&%O! A$0$'1%52!U%4*:$1E! ! ! 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