GLOBAL ECONOMY Brazil: Going global Arthur Pinheiro Machado, founder and Director of Operations, Americas Trading Group, believes that in order to guarantee growth, Brazil’s markets must think big I t is common for some Brazilians to attribute part of our country’s problems to our geographic isolationism, our insular character, which, in theory, would inhibit a greater integration with major northern hemisphere economic and cultural centres. However, this is an absolutely incorrect analysis. I echo the words of Brazilian historian João Antônio de Paula: “Brazil has never been left out of the process of capitalist expansion, which was marked by a significant dissemination of values, ideas, institutions, goods, and by the modernisation of transport and communications means, as the telegraph, telephone, railway and modern vessels. The country has also experienced such changes, but in a fragmented and selective manner... it is how late we welcome the new realities of capitalism that explains Brazil’s weak capitalist development. In fact, Brazilian dominant classes have been making all efforts to impose a form of capitalism that, based on a restricted and precarious domestic market, has resulted in a dependent capitalism, whose essential characteristic is concentration of income and wealth.” This analysis best explains the weakness and inefficiency of Brazilian capitalism, which is derived from the undeniable cultural isolationism of our corporate elite. History has shown that Brazil suffers from a populist government that restricts the influence of the private sector, with tax rules and operating costs that completely erode our productivity. First, Brazil is a fundamentally agricultural country. Our economy depends on the services and commodities industry. Second, our industry productivity has been based on cheap labour supply and a high exchange rate. Too little is invested in innovation because of a low savings rate. This could be related to the public sector except for one thing: our financial and 64 l www.the-european.eu Assets in US$M: Global rankings Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Country Assets in US$m USA Luxembourg Australia France Ireland Brazil United Kingdom Canada Japan China 12,456.983 2,489.170 1,526.808 1,512.396 1,162.938 1,110.912 902,865 814,088 750,512 336,108 Global mutual funds ranking Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Country Mutual Funds Luxembourg South Korea USA France Brazil Japan Ireland Canada Spain Chile 9,452 9,106 7,707 7,701 6,805 4,247 3,101 2,808 2,424 2,220 “ History has shown that Brazil suffers from a populist government that restricts the influence of the private sector, with tax rules and operating costs that completely erode our productivity” capital markets are also extremely closed and protected. Brazil has one of the biggest fund industries in the world, but it is almost impossible for the largest Brazilian investors and pension funds to invest abroad. This creates a captive, dependent audience that poorly stimulates the professionalisation of local institutions (managers or other market institutions), creating a barrier for access to these funds for managers into international funds. This isolation has consequences. We have a stock exchange which is about 27 times more expensive than other stock exchanges of the world, where only four derivative contracts account for more than 90 per cent of the volume traded, and 15 securities account for more than 50 per cent of GLOBAL ECONOMY the volume in stocks. Our stock exchange is equivalent to Mongolia and Vietnam’s markets, when comparing GDP figures. The next step If Brazil wants to take the productivity leap and open its capital markets to the outside world by using a strategy of long-term growth and development, it must face the problem head on. Our regulators are already part of international bodies, such as IOSCO and BIS. However, they monitor developments in the international markets from a distance. But, as noted above, by taking a partial, selective and fragmented approach to adopting such developments, this does not necessarily foster development. On the one hand, if practices such as electronification were adopted and caused HFTs and DMA orders to be deployed on the local stock exchange with major impact on liquidity, the concerns about equity among participants and market integrity are still rhetoric and lack real grounds. The derivatives market in Brazil still has a wide over-the-counter (OTC) market, and the excessive volatility in assets traded on Cetip led to the bankruptcy of one of the largest pulp companies in the country (Votorantim vs. Aracruz), which was rescued by the state in 2009. The lack of a central counterparty or, at least, risk controls, inhibits the development of the derivatives market, as well as the market for public and private securities. These are “ The good news is that indications of a new culture are beginning to be seen. The country is showing signs of early senility in its markets, and claims for a comprehensive reform are now being heard” DMA share of the Total Volume Traded - Bovespa (%) 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% 2011 ■ Desk Brokers 2012 ■ Brokers 2013 ■ High Frequency Traders 2014 ■ Providers DMA traded without the transparency required by investors and without real action from the regulatory agency, which still prefers to discuss incremental reforms rather than structural ones. Another factor that prevents market evolution is the two stock exchanges with no actual development plans, as market size is not an issue for them. This is a cultural aspect that inhibits a more sustainable structural growth. The market and the regulatory agencies still believe that innovating is reforming. The good news is that indications of a new culture are beginning to be seen. The country is showing signs of early senility in its markets, and claims for a comprehensive reform are now being heard. CVM has already made a call for evidence to understand the market vision on items already established worldwide, such as best execution, self-regulation, and investor protection in a multiple exchange scenario. DMA orders are deemed strategic, and algorithms are already widely used by local managers. The DMA orders market already accounts for 43 per cent of the stock exchange orders. This convergence among markets represents a very important symptom. The country will move forward in the direction of the European and American markets, perhaps even reactively and without a designed strategy. With that, huge opportunities will arise for those who are willing to take part in this convergence. The fact is that the country is preparing its market infrastructure to start seeking competition from other stock exchanges. In June of last year, ATS Brasil filed an application for registration as the second stock exchange in the country, and its Clearing is supposed to have its application filed in the first half of 2014. However, with a financial sector that currently protects its market from competition, the leap is challenging. In this sense, Brazil’s financial elites are not only silent with respect to their responsibility for development, but they are also liable for, and benefit from it. It is time to think bigger for the Brazilian markets, otherwise the markets will continue to falter and investors will continue to suffer. About the author & ATG Please turn the page for more on Arthur Pinheiro Machado and ATG www.the-european.eu l 65 GLOBAL ECONOMY Americas Trading Group Americas Trading Group (ATG) is a company specialising in electronic trading which offers a multibroker platform for order execution in the key markets of the Americas, including Brazil, USA, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Argentina. The company is a broker-neutral, high-performance liquidity centre, which consolidates and manages connections between brokers, end-users and stock exchanges in Latin America. ATG offers the buy-and sell-side full support in electronic trading, including Algos and a diverse array of products and services to ensure best order execution and control. ATG is the New York Stock Exchange’s exclusive partner in Latin America “ Arthur Pinheiro Machado Arthur Pinheiro Machado is a member of the board of directors and Chief Executive Officer of Americas Trading Group (ATG). At ATG he is responsible for the implementation of the company’s business strategy. In January, Mr Pinheiro Machado received the World Finance 100 Award in the Financial Services category on behalf of ATG. The award is given to companies in finance who have advanced their industries and proven themselves as leaders in their respective fields. Previously, he was a partner and member of the executive committee of Agora Brokerage, responsible for the company’s restructuring which culminated in its sale to Banco Bradesco. At Agora he was responsible for the Middle Office, which included the following areas: Electronic Trading Desk, Products, Web Broker, Customer Service, CRM and Research. As a pioneer in Electronic Trading, Mr Pinheiro Machado was responsible for structuring the first team of algorithms for local and international customers, creating one of the first quantitative teams in the local market. He graduated in Mechanical Engineering and has an MBA in Finance and an MSC in Mathematical Methods for Finance. ATG is the New York Stock Exchange’s exclusive partner in Latin America through a partnership that started with the creation of a Liquidity Hub which provided unique access to exchanges in Latin America” through a partnership that started with the creation of a Liquidity Hub, which provided unique access to exchanges in Latin America. Through this relationship, ATG created a joint-venture with NYSE Euronext to start a new Brazilian exchange, Americas Trading System Brasil (ATS Brasil), to launch in 2015. ATS Brasil will be the first competitor to Brazil’s sole stockexchange operator, BM&FBovespa. Operating in one of the world’s most significant growth economies, ATS Brasil’s goal is to offer a viable option for international investors to access the entire Brazilian market and open up the country to the rest of the world. Further information To find out more please visit: www.americastg.com 66 l www.the-european.eu