www.pwc.com/water Water: a precious asset São Paulo´s water challenge June 2015 (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Agenda 1 Why is water increasingly important? What is the problem in São Paulo? 2 5 PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Why is water increasingly important? PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Water is the number one concern for CEOs WEF, Global Risks 2015 PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Global CEOs are increasingly concerned about long-term issues that affect ability to operate Failure of climate-change Energy price adaptation shock Fiscal crisis Weapons of mass destruction Economic risks 2015 Interstate conflict Geopolitical risks 2015 Unemployment and underemployment 5.0 Natural capital risks 2009 Terrorist Asset bubble attacks Failure of financial mechanism or institution 4.5 Impact 4.0 Societal risks 2015 Failure of national governance State collapse or crisis Unmanageable inflation Extreme weather events Natural capital risks 2015 Climate change Failure of critical infrastructure Deflation Man-made environmental catastrophes Water crises Natural catastrophes Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse 3.5 4.0 Likelihood 5.0 5.5 Note: Man-made environmental catastrophes was added in 2014 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Report (2009 – 2015) PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial The water challenge: Limited supply, increasing demand Global water resources Water usage and population since 1900 4500 4000 Saltwater 97.50% 3500 Frozen 68.9% Freshwater 2.50% Water usage per year has increased from about 500 cubic kilometers in 1900 to about 3,830 cubic kilometers in 2000 3000 2500 2000 Ground water 30.8% Lakes & Rivers 0.3% Source: UNEP Vital Water Graphics 2008. What we have: Limited supply of a resource that is un-substitutable. 1500 1000 Population has increased from 1.6 billion in 1900 to 6 billion in 2000 500 0 1900 2000 Source: IWMI 2007; World Bank 2007. What we need: Increasing amount of water for increasing number of people. PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Soon supply will not meet demand Agricultural water consumption is expected to increase 19% (Source: UN Water stats) 50% more energy By 2035, global energy consumption will increase 35% … increasing water consumption by 85% 40% more water 35% more food Agricultural water consumption is expected to increase 19% PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial The water challenge: Too little, too much, too dirty Too little Water scarcity and drought Too much Floods and extreme weather events Too dirty Spills and impaired water quality PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Climate change and resources scarcity PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial With development there is an increase in water consumption PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial 2.7 billion people experience severe water scarcity at least one month a year Source: Water Footprint Network, 2012 ✓ ✓ 95% of pathogens and germs eradicated when the backpack liner is placed in the sun for 60-90 minutes SODIS (solar disinfectant method) of liner nearly as effective When water impacts the bottom line • New guidelines to manage and disclose corporate water risk as chlorination PwC 4 (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Too much Estimated damage ($US billion) caused by reported natural disasters 1900-2011 Proportion of average annual damages caused by reported natural disasters, 2011 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Other 50% 40% Earthqua ke Storm 30% Flood Honshu Tsunami Hurricane Katrina Kobe earthquake Wenchuan earthquake 20% 10% 0% Africa Source: CRED, EM-DAT International Disaster Database, 2012 Americas Asia Europe Oceania Source: CRED, EM-DAT International Disaster Database, 2012 Floods and storms cause the majority of economic damage from disasters. PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Too dirty One in six people does not have access to clean water Relative threat from organic loading Source: WWF-DEG Water Risk Filter 2012 Nutrient enrichment is the most widespread water quality problem. PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Water will become the focus for future infrastructure projects PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial What is the problem in Sao Paulo? PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Overview of water distribution in Sao Paulo PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Overview of water distribution in Sao Paulo – current situation Water distribution System Stored Volume (May 19, 2015) Water Production (m³/s) Population served Population served (%) Cantareira 19,70% 33,00 6.500.000,00 34% Alto Tietê 23,20% 15,00 4.500.000,00 24% Guarapiranga 82,40% 15,00 4.900.000,00 26% Alto Cotia 68,60% 1,20 410.000,00 2% Rio Grande 96,30% 5,00 1.200.000,00 6% Rio Claro 56,20% 4,00 1.500.000,00 8% Source: http://www2.sabesp.com.br/mananciais/DivulgacaoSiteSabesp.aspx PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Overview of water distribution in Sao Paulo – situation of reservoirs in May 19th, 2015 100% 96% 82% 80% 69% 60% 56% 40% 20% 20% 23% 0% Cantareira Alto Tietê Guarapiranga Alto Cotia Rio Grande Rio Claro PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Overview of water distribution in Sao Paulo – current situation Historical average rainfall level (mm) April rainfall (mm) 300.00 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 Cantareira Alto Tietê Guarapiranga Alto Cotia Rio Grande Rio Claro Source: http://www2.sabesp.com.br/mananciais PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Why did the water become an issue for Sao Paulo? 1. Insufficient analysis of the hydrological regime of the region: The Cantareira System studies started during 1960’s decade. In that time, there was no pluviometric station in the region with long historical rainfall series register. There were only five station, with registers for a short period of time – only one of them had data for more than 30 years. Source: http://revistadae.com.br/downloads/edicoes/Revista-DAE-198.pdf The studies have not taken into consideration the cyclical effects that occur in long periods of time. PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Why did the water become an issue for Sao Paulo? The precipitation varies around its historical average: we can have extreme floods during an year and face a drought period on the sequent year. Accumulated Rainfall (mm) - Cantareira System 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan Feb 2010 Mar 2011 Apr May 2012 Jun 2013 Jul 2014 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Historical Average (calculated in 2014) Source: http://www2.sabesp.com.br/mananciais PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Why did the water become an issue for Sao Paulo? 2. Amazon deforestation and the Flying Rivers effect: The Amazon forest attracts the humidity of the ocean to the continent. This humidity falls as rain over the forest. Through the evapotranspiration of the trees, the forest sends the water back to the atmosphere as steam. This steam flows to the West, South and Southeast, where the rain falls. This steam is called Flying Rivers. When the deforestation occurs, the forest evapotranspiration capacity decreases and the rain does not arrive to the Brazilian farthest regions. Source: http://planetasustentavel.abril.com.br/imagem/superinteressante-obrasil-secou-infografico-rios-voadores-560.jpg Source: http://planetasustentavel.abril.com.br/imagem/superinteressante-o-brasil-secou-infografico-nossa-agua-vem-daamazonia-rbg-560.jpg PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Why did the water become an issue for Sao Paulo? 3. Increase in demand and large water losses: Great Sao Paulo Region population in 1960: 9 million people Around 25% Great Sao Paulo Region population in 2014: 21 million people of the water is lost during distribution PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial What has already being done? Use of the water stored in the system’s technical reserve The technical reserve is a reservoir of 400 million of cubic meters located under the floodgates of Cantareira System dams. The water of the technical reserve was pumped to the upper levels of the reservoir, increasing the level of the system in more than 20%. Source: http://www.climatempo.com.br/destaques/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/INFO_CANTAREIRA_OK.jpg PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Discount Discounts of 30% over the invoice value are being applied for those who save 20% or more of water Use of other systems The Rio Grande and Guarapiranga systems are supplying more than 3 million people that were supplied by Cantareira system. Public awareness campaigns Public awareness campaigns showing the importance of saving water started to be transmitted in the media. PwC (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial Source: http://sabesp.com.br What has already being done? For further information please contact: Carlos Rossin [email protected] http://www.pwc.com.br/pt/sustentabilidade/index.jhtml Gustavo Melo [email protected] www.greif.com This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, its members, employees and agents do not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. © 2015 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. All rights reserved. In this document, "PwC" refers to the UK member firm, and may sometimes refer to the PwC network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. 150313-105450-MC-OS (DC2) Uso Restrito na PwC - Confidencial