Sensibility:
The Country of the Future
Marcelo Neri SAE
Future Happiness (Life Satisfaction in
Five Years) - 2015
Felicidade Futura (2015)
2.8 - 4
4 - 5.19
5.19 - 6.39
6.39 - 7.58
7.58 - 8.78
No Data
Source: Center for Social Policies – CPS/FGV from Gallup World Poll microdata
Copyright © marcelo neri
0,00
Brazil
Panama
Colombia
Qatar
Sweden
Denmark
United Arab Emirates
Canada
Israel
New Zealand
Angola
Switzerland
Ghana
South Africa
Chile
Malawi
Netherlands
Trinidad and Tobago
Nigeria
Argentina
Thailand
Belize
Mauritania
Guatemala
Mongolia
Peru
Italy
Singapore
Belgium
France
Kazakhstan
Cyprus
Honduras
Malaysia
Djibouti
Indonesia
Montenegro
Philippines
Laos
Namibia
Spain
Congo
Jordan
Niger
Albania
Cameroon
Congo(Republic of the)
Nicaragua
Tunisia
Algeria
Côte d'Ivoire
Madagascar
Russian Federation
Taiwan
Benin
China
Japan
Poland
Comoros
Ethiopia
Iraq
Mauritius
Kenya
Ukraine
Pakistan
Afghanistan
Estonia
Lithuania
Egypt
Latvia
Haiti
Togo
Greece
Portugal
Armenia
Macedonia
Romania
Syrian Arab Republic
Brazil is the world champion of Future Happiness in 2015 (
eight-times champion in all our 6 researches on the topic)
World Future Happiness - 2015
10,00
9,00
8,00
7,00
6,00
5,00
4,00
3,00
2,00
1,00
Source: Center for Social Policies – CPS/FGV from Gallup World Poll microdata
Copyright © marcelo neri
Felicidade Futura - 2006 a 2013
Satisfação com a Vida em 5 Anos 2011 a 18
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2010-13 /
2006-09 Media total
2006
Portugal
5,4 126 5,43 119 5,22 138 5,24 117 6,02 88 5,61 102 0,00
0 5,85 98
21,80%
4,85
Italy
6,5 78 6,32 85 6,48 86 7,08 40 7,14 34 6,89 43 7,07 33 7,11 42
-6,49%
6,82
Ireland
7,7 29 7,66 23 7,64 33 7,99 14 7,61 17 8,46
2 0,00
4
27,06%
6,92
Greece
4,6 133 4,87 130 4,95 143 5,28 115 6,50 69 0,00
0 6,95 37 6,50 73
-1,25%
4,96
Spain
6,6 73 6,41 76 6,89 63 6,68 62 7,03 38 7,66 20 7,60 18 7,36 34
-10,35%
7,03
Brazil
8,8
1,19%
8,69
1 8,72
1 8,81
1 8,64
1 8,66
1 8,68
1 8,44
0 8,32
1 8,78
O Brasil é Oito Vezes consecutivas Campeão do Ranking
mundial de Felicidade 5 anos a frente: O País do Futuro
Fonte : SAE a partir dos microdados do Gallup World Poll 2006 a 2013
1
Copyright © marcelo neri
www.fgv.br/cps/brics
Felicidade Futura - 2006 a 2013
Satisfação com a Vida em 5 Anos 2013 em relação a 2018
rank países
nível da Copa
Belgium
7,3
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5,5
Croatia
6,3
England* (UK inf.)
7,7
France
6,8
Germany
7,3
Greece
4,6
Italy
6,5
Netherlands
7,8
Portugal
5,4
Russia
6,3
Spain
6,6
14
27
23
9
18
14
30
21
7
29
23
20
rank países
nível da Copa
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Ecuador
Uruguay
7,7
8,8
7,8
8,6
7,2
7,5
Fonte : Gallup World Poll 2006 to 2013
9
1
7
2
16
11
rank
mundo
42
122
90
29
62
42
133
78
22
126
90
73
rank países
nível da Copa
Costa Rica
8,1
Honduras
5,9
Mexico
8,0
United States of America
8,0
rank
mundo
29
1
22
2
46
35
3
26
4
4
rank países
nível da Copa
Australia
Iran
Japan
South Korea
7,9
5,5
6,0
6,7
rank
mundo
6
110
12
12
rank
mundo
6
27
25
19
17
122
105
69
rank países
nível da Copa
Algeria
Cameroon
Cote d'Ivoire
Ghana
Nigeria
-
rank
mundo
-
6,5
7,0
7,5
7,5
21
17
11
11
78
55
35
35
Life Satisfaction with respect to
different moments & Life Cycle (Age)
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
19
22
25
28
31
34
37
40
43
46
49
52
55
58
61
64
67
70
73
76
79
4.5
Passado
Past
Presente
Present
Futuro
Future
Source: Center for Social Policies – CPS/FGV from Gallup World Poll microdata
Copyright © marcelo neri
www.fgv.br/cps
Geography of Happiness
Satisfaction in 5 Years
2018 as seen from 2013
Individual
Nation
0–4
4 – 5.19
5.19 – 6.39
Source : IEF/IPEA
6.39 – 7.58
Life Satisfaction X
Does Money bring Happiness? GDP Per Capita PPP
*
Present Satisfaction x Real GDP per capita
Present Satisfaction
y = 1E-04x + 4,4338
R 2 = 0,6499
Italy
Brazil
9
8
Denmark
Togo
7
6
5
4
3
www.fgv.br/cps
2
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
Real GDP per capita
Source: Gallup World Poll – IADB project
25000
30000
35000
*
Controled Happiness & Income Happiness and
Income Brackets In Current Monthly Reais
Source: IPEA – October 2012
*
Relation between Happiness & CITs Coverage (%)
9
8
Present Happiness 2011
7
6
5
4
y = 0,0314x + 3,8944
R² = 0,5733
3
Fonte: CPS/FGV a partir dos dados do Gallup World Poll
2
1
0
0,00
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,00
50,00
60,00
CIT FGV Index 2011
70,00
80,00
90,00
100,00
DiferentialPaísCorrelation
between
Happiness
& Phone
Coverage
coef
P-valor
País
coef
P-valor
*
cyprus
saudi arabia
romania
el salvador
singapore
uruguay
cambodia
poland
israel
algeria
india
sri lanka
venezuela
jordan
morocco
1.4321
1.403
1.3162
1.0784
1.0459
0.9434
0.9371
0.9366
0.9358
0.915
0.9023
0.8853
0.8746
0.8742
0.8589
0.0003
0.0004
<.0001
<.0001
0.0351
<.0001
0.013
<.0001
0.0009
0.0016
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
paraguay
azerbaijan
panama
jamaica
serbia
costa rica
afghanistan
ecuador
china
bangladesh
albania
cuba
chile
bolivia
kazakhstan
0.6005
0.5876
0.5782
0.5658
0.5652
0.5116
0.5085
0.506
0.4962
0.4879
0.4833
0.4789
0.4712
0.4699
0.4457
0.0005
0.0001
0.0004
0.0028
0.0003
0.0038
0.052
0.0015
0.0002
0.0737
0.0049
0.0026
0.0054
0.0039
0.005
palestine
0.8586
<.0001
bosnia herzegovina
0.4283
0.0095
turkey
myanmar
peru
hungary
egypt
colombia
dominican republic
nepal
lebanon
bulgaria
croatia
argentina
guatemala
0.8275
0.7942
0.7883
0.7759
0.7734
0.7605
0.7341
0.7088
0.6528
0.6503
0.6394
0.6166
0.6093
<.0001
0.0009
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
0.0018
<.0001
0.0168
0.0016
0.0003
slovakia
philippines
moldova
armenia
indonesia
mexico
ukraine
macedonia
uzbekistan
georgia
laos
iran
russia
0.419
0.4178
0.4164
0.4137
0.4109
0.388
0.3817
0.381
0.3461
0.3404
0.3148
0.3126
0.2521
0.0077
0.017
0.0133
0.011
0.0149
0.0342
0.0182
0.0387
0.0322
0.0293
0.0359
0.0718
0.082
www.fgv.br/cps