Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 (1st Quarter) Commitment to the mission: Local jobs, local contents and technology World outlook Brazilian economy Offshore investments Shipbuilding market Shipyards capacity Ivens Consult 1 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Commitment to the mission: Local jobs, local contents and technology SINAVAL - Brazilian Union of Shipbuilding, Shiprepair and Offshore Industries Scene (perception): A projection of information from a physical environment Ivens Consult 2 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 World outlook World slower growth estimate: 1% in 2009 World trade: vigorous value above US$ 24 trillions in exports Oil demand: up to 112.5 millions barrels per day by 2030 (US Department of Energy) Ivens Consult 3 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 World outlook 2003 2004 2005 4,0% 2007 2008 2009* 4,0% 3,5% 2,7% 2006 3,8% 2,5% Slower economic growth Source : Unctad 1,0% Ivens Consult 4 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 US$ trillions Exports World outlook 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 World 7.5 9.1 10.4 12.1 13.8 Developed countries 4.9 5.8 6.3 7.1 8.1 Developing countries 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.2 World 7.7 9.4 10.7 12.3 14.0 Developed countries 5.3 6.3 7.1 6.0 8.9 Developing countries 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.6 Imports Ivens Consult Vigorous trade even with lower growth rates Source : Unctad 5 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 World outlook – oil demand World demand for petroleum: 2008 = 86.0 millions barrels of oil per day; 2015 = 95.6 millions barrels of oil per day; 2030 = 112.5 millions of oil per day in 2030. Source: US Department of Energy (Energy Information Administration) Ivens Consult 6 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian economy 2008 - International Monetary Fund (IMF) Brazil evaluation: GDP – Gross Domestic Product Year US$ Growth trillions rate • strong growth; 2004 1.9 5.7% • implementation of 2005 2.1 3.2% 2006 2.3 4.0% 2007 2.5 5.1% 2008* 2.5 *2.0% 2009* 2.5 *0.5% sound macroeconomic policies; * estimate Ivens Consult 7 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian economy 2008 - International Monetary Fund (IMF) Brazil evaluation: • reduction of public net debt-to-GDP ratios; • building of international reserves. Ivens Consult International reserves 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 33.011 35.866 37.823 49.296 52.935 53.799 85.839 180.334 193.783 8 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian economy Trade surplus promoted the growth of international reserves Year 2007 2008 Exports Imports Surplus 160.6 120.6 40.0 197.9 173.1 24.8 US$ billions Ivens Consult 9 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian economy Imports Exports US$ bi Part. Part. US$ bi 43.0 21.6% Latin America 15.8% 27.4 27.4 13.8% US 7.2% 25.6 5.5 2.8% Western Europe 3.0% 5.3 46.3 23.4% European Commun. 20.9% 36.1 37.4 18.9% Asia 27.1% 47.1 8.0 4.0% Middle West 3.6% 6.2 10.1 5.1% Africa 9.1% 15.7 Ivens Consult 10 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook The ‘golden triangle’ of deepwater, namely Africa, the Gulf of Mexico and Brazil, will account for nearly 75% of global expenditure. Ivens Consult 11 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook Latin American activity ( investments of US$ 29 billion) is dominated by Brazil and, given the potential of the country’s presalt reserves, this is likely to remain the case for some time. Ivens Consult 12 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook E & P investments: Ivens Consult 13 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook Royal Dutch Shell Ivens Consult 14 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook Shell portfolio: BC-10 field to start production operations in 2009 BS-4 field in exploration Royal Dutch Shell Ivens Consult 15 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook Ivens Consult 16 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook Frade oilfield in Brazil to produce first oil in 2nd Q 2009 Chevron’s first subsea development in Brazil and FMC's most complete scope for an overall subsea system in Brazil Ivens Consult 17 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook BG Group developing oil & gas fields at the Santos basin Ivens Consult 18 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook BG Group: three discoveries within the BM-S-11 concession area. Iara Tupi Tupi Sul Concession stakeholders: BG Group = 25% Petrobras = 65% Galp Energia = 10% Ivens Consult 19 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian offshore outlook OGX: Four basins, 22 blocks. Four drilling rigs hired to start exploration in 2009. Drilling program: 51 wells up to 2013 Appraisal of exploration blocks: 4.8 billions barrels of oil equivalent (boe) of net risked prospective resources, assuming an average success probability of 27%; Ivens Consult 20 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Petrobras Business Plan 2009 - 2013 Petrobras Global E&P scene Ivens Consult 21 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Petrobras Business Plan 2009 - 2013 Investments of US$ 47.9 billions are 77% in E & P Ivens Consult 22 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Petrobras Business Plan 2009 - 2013 Petrobras local content policy Ivens Consult 23 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Petrobras Business Plan 2009 - 2013 Ivens Consult 24 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market Program order Tankers for Transpetro Quant. / type TWD millions status Promef I 23 tankers 2.7 Promef II 23 tankers 1.3 Hiring in process 46 tankers 4.0 Total Ivens Consult Hired 25 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market E&P equipments for Petrobras Order Quant. / type Operation field Production 2 semi-subs Campos Basin platform P-55 P-55 – Roncador P-56 P-56 – Marlim Sul Platform 1 fixed Mexilhão platform for gas production Total 3 Ivens Consult status Hired Hired 26 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market E&P equipments for Petrobras Order Quant. / type Operation field Platforms 8 new P-57 – Jubarte & FPSOs platforms P-61 and P 63 – planned Papa-Terra P-62 – Roncador other four on design Drill-ships 28 Depths over 2,000 m Total 36 Ivens Consult status Ready to start bids Planned Bids on 2013 27 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market Ships for contract service for Petrobras Order Quant. TWB status VLCC tankers 2 ships 600,000 Hired / under (300,000 TDW construction each) Supply 146 ships 292,000 Hiring in vessels (2,000 TWB process each) Total 148 ships 892,000 Ivens Consult 28 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market Promef I – tankers for Transpetro (hired) Shipyard Type of construction EAS – Estaleiro Atlântico Sul 10 Suezmax EAS 5 Aframax November 2008 EISA 4 Panamax December 2008 Mauá 4 products November 2007 Ivens Consult Contract date January 2007 29 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding market Promef II – tankers for Transpetro (hiring) Lot A – 20 ships Type of construction Lot 1 4 Suezmax (DP – Dinamic Positioning) Lot 2 3 Aframax (DP) Lot 3 3 light products ships (45,000 metric tons) Lot 4 5 ships (3 light, 2 dark products - 30,000 metric tons) Lot 5 2 semi-pressure and gas tankers (12,000 m3) Lot 6 3 pressure gas tankers (4,000 m3) Lot B – 3 ships 3 bunker ships Ivens Consult 30 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Conclusions Brazilian Economy • Sound macroeconomic practices. • International trade is only 15% of GDP – room for growth and expand merchant fleet. • High International reserves assure financing for main projetcts. Ivens Consult 31 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Conclusions Brazilian shipbuilding market Financing is assured: Marine Merchant Fund (FMM), under the Ministry of Transports, assures financing for shipbulding. US$ 10.5 billions financing alocations since 2003. Ivens Consult 32 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Conclusions Brazilian shipbuilding market Shipyards orderbook (hired and planned): 4.8 millions TDW up to 2015. Ivens Consult 33 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Conclusions Brazilian offshore market Douglas Westford sees Brazil pre-salt discoveries as the largest in the world, now. All major oil & gas companies are engaged in E&P investiments. Ivens Consult 34 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Conclusions Brazilian domestic oil production 2007 2008 2009 2013 2020 3.9 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.8 source: Petrobras - millions b/day Ivens Consult 35 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity 28 Shipyards in Brazil - largest yards Ivens Consult 570,000 tons / year Steel throughput 4.7 millions of m² Total area 19 Dry or floating docks 22 Slipways 43 Outfitting quays 36 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Projects types Shipyards FPSO, semisubmersible, modules and drill-ships BrasFels; Mauá; Atlântico Sul; Rio Grande; QUIP; UTC; SRD; Setal; Mac Laren; Estaleiro da Bahia Oil tankers, products and gas carriers Eisa; Atlântico Sul; Mauá; Sermetal; Itajaí; Rio Nave; Renave-Enavi Container ships and bulk carriers Eisa; Atlântico Sul; Mauá; Rio Naval; Itajaí; Rio Nave; Renave-Enavi Platform supply vessels, towboats, barges, flatboats, etc. STX; Aliança; Wilson, Sons; Navship; TWB; Detroit; Inace; Rio Maguari; Superpesa; Cassinú; Transnave; São Miguel; Estaleiro da Bahia Ivens Consult 37 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Shipyards State Steel (thousand tons / year) Area (thousand m²) Docks Slipways Quay side BrasFels RJ 50 410 1 3 2 Eisa RJ 50 150 - 2 1 Mauá RJ 40 334 1 1 4 Sermetal RJ 60 400 1 - 4 Atlântico Sul PE 160 1,500 1 2 2 Rio Grande RS 30 100 1 1 1 Aker RJ 15 120 1 1 1 Aliança RJ 10 61 - 1 2 Ivens Consult 38 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Shipyards State Steel (thousand tons / year) Area (thousand m²) Docks Slipways Quay side Wilson, Sons SP 10 22 1 1 1 UTC RJ - 112 -- - 2 Renave-Enavi RJ 40 200 4 - 1 Inace CE 15 180 - 1 1 Itajaí SC 15 177 - 1 1 SRD RJ 15 85 1 1 2 Superpesa RJ 10 96 - - 1 São Miguel RJ 5 21 - 1 2 Transnave RJ 6 15 - 1 1 Ivens Consult 39 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Shipyards State Steel (thousand tons / year) Area (thousand m²) Docks Slipways Quay side Rio Nave RJ 50 150 - 2 4 Navship SC 15 175 -- 1 2 TWB SC 10 78 - 1 1 Detroit SC 10 90 - 1 1 Rio Maguari PA 6 120 2 - - Cassinú RJ 6 30 2 - 1 Mac Laren RJ 6 30 - - 1 Estaleiro da Bahia BA 110 750 1 1 2 QUIP RS - 70 - - 1 40 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity BrasFels shipyard Rio de Janeiro – RJ Ships up to 600,000 TDW Semi-submersible platforms FPSO integration Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 50,000 tons / year Total area: 410,000m² 3 Slipways 1 Dry dock 1 Gantry crane for 660 tons 7 Cranes 2 Outfitting quays Ivens Consult 41 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity EISA - Ilha S/A shipyard Rio de Janeiro – RJ Ships up to 200,000 TDW Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 52,000 tons / year Total area: 150,000m² 2 Side slipway 15 Rolling bridges 2 Gantry cranes for 50 tons 6 Cranes 3 Outfitting quays Ivens Consult 42 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Mauá shipyard Niterói – RJ Ships up to 100,000 TDW Semi-submersible platforms FPSO integration Platform supply vessels Total area: 334,000m² (3 units) 1 Slipway 1 Modules site 1 Yard / load-out quay 1 Dry dock 1 Sheerlegs for 2,000 tons 6 Cranes 4 Outfitting quays Ivens Consult Steel throughput : 36,000 tons / year 43 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Sermetal shipyard Rio de Janeiro – RJ Steel throughput : 60,000 tons / year Ships up to 400,000 TDW FPSO integration Total area: 400,000m² 2 Dry dock (1 with 350m) 6 Cranes 4 Outfitting quays Ivens Consult 44 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Atlântico Sul shipyard Suape – PE Ships up to 500,000 TDW Semi-submersible platforms FPSO integration Platform supply vessels Total area: 1,500,000m² 1 Dry dock of 400m 2 Slipways 4 Cranes 2 horizontal transporters blocks – 300 tons 2 Goliath Gantry cranes (1,500 tons) 2 Outfitting quays (700m) Ivens Consult Steel throughput : 160,000 tons / year 45 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Setal Óleo & Gás Niterói – RJ Platforms modules construction and integration Ivens Consult 46 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity BAHIA shipyard (OAS, SETAL and Piemont) Maragogipe - BA Semi-submersible platforms FPSO integration Offshore vessels (PSV & AHTS ) Steel throughput : 110,000 tons/ year Total area: 1,000,000m² Gantry crane of 1,300 tons Dry dock with two floating gates Several port cranes (75 to 150 tons) Horizontal transport of loads with 600 tons of capacity. Outfitting quays : 700m and 350m (water depth: 12m). 47 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Rio Grande shipyard Rio Grande – RS Platforms (FPSO, semi-submersible and Spar) Steel throughput : 30,000 tons / year Total area: 100,000m² 1 Dry dock (130x140m) 1 Slipway 1 Gantry crane for 600 tons 1 Outfitting quay Hydraulic carts of 400 tons Intermediate flood-gate Ivens Consult 48 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity STX Offshore shipyard Niterói - RJ Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 15,000 tons / year Total area: 120,000m² 1 Flotation dock (150m x 24.7m) Cranes (up to 250 tons) 1 Slipway 1 Outfitting quay (300m) Ivens Consult 49 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Aliança shipyard Niterói - RJ Steel throughput : 10,000 tons / year Platform supply vessel Total area: 61,000m² Cranes (up to 60 tons) 2 Outfitting quays (100m each) 1 Slipway (3,000 tons /10,000 TDW) Ivens Consult 50 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Wilson, Sons shipyard Guarujá - SP Steel throughput : 10,000 tons / year Platform supply vessels Total area: 22,000m² Cranes and Gantry crane 1 Outfitting quay 1 Slipway 1 Dry dock (205m x16m) Ivens Consult 51 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity UTC shipyard Niterói - RJ Assembly and integration of platform modules Total area: 112,000m² Cranes 2 Load-out quays Ivens Consult 52 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Renave-Enavi shipyard Niterói - RJ Ships up to 80,000 DWT. Steel throughput : 40,000 tons / year Total area: 200,000m² Cranes Outfitting quays 2 Flotation docks “Almirante Alexandrino” (215m ) “José Rebelo” (70m) 2 Dry docks “Henrique Lage” (184m ) “Orlando Barbosa” (136m) Ivens Consult 53 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Inace shipyard Fortaleza - CE Steel throughput : 15,000 tons / year Fishing ships Patrol ships for Navy Yatches Platform supply vessels Area: 180,000m² 1 Slipway / platform embarkation elevation (80m) 1 Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 54 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Itajaí shipyard Itajaí - SC Steel throughput : 15,000 tons / year Ships (up to 30,000 TDW) Platform supply vessels Total area: 177,000m² Cranes Rolling bridges Slipway (200m) Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 55 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 SRD shipyard Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Angra dos Reis - RJ Steel throughput : 15,000 tons / year Semi-submersible platforms Integration and load-out Platform supply vessels Total area: 85,000m² Cranes Rolling bridges Slipway Floating dock (76m x 29m) 2 Outfitting quays Ivens Consult 56 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Superpesa shipyard Rio de Janeiro - RJ Steel throughput : 10,000 tons / year Platform supply vessels Area: 96,000m² 1 Slipway 1 Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 57 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Transnave shipyard Rio de Janeiro - RJ Steel throughput : 6,000 tons / year Platform supply vessels Total area: 15,000m² Slipway Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 58 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Rio Nave shipyard Rio de Janeiro - RJ Merchant ships (up to 100,000 TDW) Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 48,000 tons / year Total area: 95,000m² 2 slipways 4 Outfitting quays 2 Piers 15 Cranes Ivens Consult 59 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Navship shipyard Itajaí - SC Merchant ships (up to 100,000 TDW) Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 15,000 tons/ year Total area: 175,000m² 1 Slipway 2 Outfitting quays Cranes and Gantry crane Ivens Consult 60 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 TWB shipyard Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Itajaí - SC Platform supply vessels Towboats (port support) Fishing ships Ferry-boats Steel throughput : 10,000 tons / year Total area: 78,000m² 1 Slipway 1 Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 61 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Detroit shipyard Itajaí - SC Platform supply vessels Towboats (port support) Fishing ships Ferry-boats Steel throughput : 10,000 tons / year Total area: 90,000m² 1 Elevatory dock Outfitting quay 3 Cranes 2 Transfer cars Ivens Consult 62 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Rio Maguari shipyard Belém – PA Ships for waterway navigation, utility offshore tugs and barges Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 6,000 tons / year Total area: 120,000m² 2 Dry docks Ivens Consult 63 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Cassinú shipyard São Gonçalo – RJ Platform supply vessels Steel throughput : 6,000 tons / year Total area: 30,000m² 1 Dry dock 1 Flotation dock 1 Outfitting quay Ivens Consult 64 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity Mac Laren shipyard Niterói – RJ Steel throughput : 6,000 tons / year Platforms integration Total area: 30,000m² 1 Outfitting quay 1 Dry dock (planned) Ivens Consult 65 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL – Scene 2009 Brazilian shipbuilding capacity QUIP Rio Grande – RS Platforms modules construction and integration Total area: 70,000m² Ivens Consult 66 Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry SINAVAL Av. Churchill, 94, 2º andar – Conj. 210 a 215 – CEP 20020-050 – Rio de Janeiro, RJ Tel.: (21) 2532-4878/2533-4568 – Fax: (21) 2532-4705/2533-5310 www.sinaval.org.br Contact: [email protected] / [email protected] Strategic Communication Consultancy Ivens Consult / Ivan Leão – www.ivens.inf.br 67