Brazilian
Monthly
Overview
ELECTRICITY MARKET
Year IV
::
Number 41
::
2011 February
January
Electricity Consumption
Brazil
Total Consumption
2011
TWh
Non-captive
Var.%
TWh
Var.%
In January
▲
35,8
6,5
▲
9,3
14,2
12 months
▲
421,3
7,6
▲
110,7
17,2
In January, total electricity consumption increased by 6.5%
In January 2011 Brazilian national electricity consumption (on the national grid) reached
35.812 GWh, 6.5% higher than the same month of
the previous year. Over the last 12 months, the
growth rate was 7.6%.
Indeed, high 12-month growth rates, more than
5.5%, were observed in all (relevant) consumption
sectors, as showed in the graph. Nevertheless, the
performance of industrial electricity consumption
suggests stabilization of its growth rate, mainly
due to the fact that the momentum of strong industrial production after the crisis has already ended.
It is worthwhile to mention as well that electricity
consumption in the residential and the commercial
sectors are still showing significant 12-month
growth rates, around 6.5%, which shows that domestic demand continues to be an important drive
for the evolution of total electricity consumption.
Brazil. Consumption by class. Growth rate over
the last 12 months
Industrial Sector. In January 2011, industrial
electricity consumption reached 14.6 TWh – an
increase of 6.6% over the same month of the last
year. This result supports the argument that the
growth rate of industrial production has converged to the same levels of the other sectors after increasing at higher growth rates in 2010.
By region, the highest growth rate of industrial
consumption occurred in the Southeast region
(+9.6%), with an overwhelming 26% increase in
Rio de Janeiro. Over the last 12 months, industrial
electricity consumption in the region increased
by 12.7%. Only in the Northeast region, consumption fell in January, partially explained by a temporary shutdown of industrial plants of the
chemical sector and one aluminum plant in Bahia.
As a result, the industrial electricity consumption
decreased by 11.3% in the region.
Residential Sector. Household electricity consumption reached 9.8 TWh in January 2011, being
6.5% higher over the same month of the previous
year. Over the last 12 months, electricity consumption in the residential sector has increased
over 6.3% and 2.1 million of new houses have
been connected to the grid, which represents, on
average, 172 thousand new residential consumers by month.
Sustained expansion of residential electricity consumption in Brazil is consistent with higher sales
of “furniture and appliances” (+18.3%, according
to IBGE) and personal computers (23.0%, according to International Data Corporation) in 2010.
By region, the biggest growth is occurring at the
North and Northeast Regions, where the expansion of new residential connections has been relevant in the last years. In particular, the state of
Bahia, which represents 30% of Northeast electricity residential consumption, the consumption
increased by 16.2%.
Commercial Sector. Electricity consumption in
the commercial sector reached 6.2 TWh in January 2011, rising 7.0% over January 2010. Accordingly, in 2010, the commercial economic activity
grew 10.9% and sales of “offices devices and materials, informatics and communication” increased by 24.1% (IBGE). Furthermore, passenger use of Brazilian airports (a good indicator of
tourism and business activities) increased 20.4%
in 2010, according to Infraero.
By region, it should be highlighted the increase of
almost 11% in energy consumption by commercial consumers in Brasilia and in Bahia.
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION STATISTICS (GWh)
REGION/CLASS
IN JANUARY
2011
35.812
2010
33.640
RESIDENTIAL
9.834
9.237
INDUSTRIAL
14.632
13.726
COMMERCIAL
6.254
OTHERS
NORTH
12 MONTHS
6,5
2011
421.254
2010
391.401
6,5
107.758
101.408
6,3
6,6
184.715
167.722
10,1
5.847
7,0
69.493
65.734
5,7
5.091
4.830
5,4
59.288
56.536
4,9
2.199
2.049
7,3
26.094
24.150
8,0
494
460
7,4
5.952
5.279
12,7
1.138
1.053
8,0
13.183
12.385
6,4
COMMERCIAL
287
267
7,5
3.509
3.162
11,0
OTHERS
281
269
4,3
3.449
3.323
3,8
NORTHEAST
5.987
5.734
4,4
71.276
65.638
8,6
RESIDENTIAL
1.756
1.577
11,3
19.459
17.350
12,2
INDUSTRIAL
2.300
2.388
-3,7
29.365
27.688
6,1
901
834
8,1
10.353
9.506
8,9
1.030
935
10,2
12.099
11.094
9,1
SOUTHEAST
19.216
17.876
7,5
226.444
209.295
8,2
RESIDENTIAL
5.256
4.941
6,4
57.096
54.708
4,4
INDUSTRIAL
8.273
7.550
9,6
104.450
92.641
12,7
COMMERCIAL
3.483
3.263
6,7
38.337
36.655
4,6
OTHERS
2.204
2.122
3,9
26.560
25.290
5,0
SOUTH
6.222
5.911
5,3
71.114
67.293
5,7
RESIDENTIAL
1.603
1.573
1,9
17.108
16.464
3,9
INDUSTRIAL
2.382
2.222
7,2
31.045
28.500
8,9
COMMERCIAL
1.111
1.048
6,1
11.786
11.200
5,2
OTHERS
1.125
1.068
5,4
11.175
11.129
0,4
MIDWEST
2.188
2.070
5,7
26.326
25.026
5,2
RESIDENTIAL
726
685
6,0
8.143
7.607
7,0
INDUSTRIAL
539
514
4,9
6.672
6.508
2,5
COMMERCIAL
472
436
8,4
5.507
5.211
5,7
OTHERS
450
436
3,3
6.004
5.700
5,3
BRAZIL
RESIDENTIAL
INDUSTRIAL
COMMERCIAL
OTHERS
%
%
7,6
Publicação da Diretoria de Estudos Econômico-Energéticos e Ambientais da
Empresa de Pesquisa Energética— EPE
Coordenação Geral
Empresa pública, vinculada ao Ministério de Minas e Energia,
criada nos termos da Lei nº 10.847, de 15 de março de 2004. A
EPE tem por finalidade desenvolver estudos e pesquisas destinados a subsidiar o planejamento do setor energético brasileiro, envolvendo energia elétrica, petróleo, gás natural e seus
derivados, carvão mineral, fontes energéticas renováveis e
eficiência energética, dentre outros temas. Esta resenha
mensal se insere nas atividades de monitoramento e análise
de mercado de energia elétrica.
Mauricio Tiomno Tolmasquim
Amílcar Gonçalves Guerreiro
Coordenação Executiva
Ricardo Gorini de Oliveira
Equipe Técnica
Carla Achão (coordenação de economia e estatística)
Gustavo Naciff de Andrade
Inah Rosa Borges de Holanda
Luiz Claudio Orleans
Assessoria de Comunicação e Imprensa
Sede: SAUN—Quadra 1—Bloco B
Sala 100-A
CEP 70041 903
Brasilia—DF Brasil
Escritório Central: Av.Rio Branco, 1 11º andar
CEP 20090 003—Rio de Janeiro—RJ Brasil
www.epe.gov.br
Sede: SAUN—Quadra 1—Bloco B Sala 100-A
CEP 70041 903
Brasilia—DF—Brasil
OldonComissão
Machado
Fonte:
Permanente de Análise e Acompanhamento do Mercado de Energia Elétrica—Copam/EPE. Dados preliminares.
Esta Resenha pode ser obtida em www.epe.gov.br/mercado
Esta Resenha pode ser obtida em www.epe.gov.br/mercado