Article title: Impact of projected climate change on hydrologic regime of the Upper Paraguay River basin.
Journal name: Climatic Change.
Author names: Juan Martín Bravo*; Walter Collischonn; Adriano Rolim da Paz; Daniel Allasia; Federico Domecq.
*Corresponding author. Instituto de Pesquisas Hidráulicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Av. Bento Gonçalves, 9500, Caixa
postal 15029, CEP 91501-970, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil. Phone:+555133086680. Fax:+555133086565. Email address: [email protected].
Table Comparison between current mean annual flow and projected mean annual flow anomalies of models
ensemble 10th and 90th percentiles for scenarios A2-ASF and B2-MES and 30-years time interval A (centered at
2030) and B (centered at 2070).
Current
Mean
Anomalies
Anomalies Anomalies Anomalies
th
th
Control point
River
annual
10 / 90
10th / 90th
10th / 90th
10th / 90th
flow
percentiles
percentiles percentiles percentiles
(m3/s)
A2-THA (%)
A2-THB (%) B2-THA (%) B2-THB (%)
P. Ciríaco
Aquidauana
130.17
-11.1 / 7.1
-18 / 24.1
-11.6 / 7.6 -18.3 / 18.7
Aquidauana
Aquidauana
137.72
-16.6 / 12.5 -25.8 / 51.5 -17.3 / 13.4 -25.2 / 37.2
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
370.84
-12.4 / 9.4 -24.6 / 32.5 -12.9 / 9.9 -20.2 / 24.4
B. Melgaço
Cuiabá
373.84
-13 / 8.2
-24.9 / 31.3 -13.6 / 8.7 -20.5 / 23.2
S. Roque
Cuiabá
278.04
-9.4 / 4.1
-18.1 / 15.5 -9.8 / 4.3 -14.5 / 11.9
P. Alegre
Cuiabá
737.93
-7.9 / 2.8
-13.6 / 11.5
-8.2 / 3
-11.7 / 8.5
Estrada MT-738 Miranda
85.24
-23.4 / 21
-40 / 86.9 -24.4 / 22.3 -36.6 / 61.7
Miranda
Miranda
92.42
-22.9 / 21.3 -38.2 / 80.4 -23.8 / 22.6 -34.3 / 60.2
Tição de Fogo
Miranda
86.5
-16 / 11.6
-25.5 / 41.5 -16.6 / 12.4 -24.3 / 32.1
Cáceres
Paraguay
522.21
-9.7 / 7.5
-18.3 / 26.2 -10.2 / 7.9
-16 / 19.3
Descalvados
Paraguay
632.29
-8 / 4
-14.2 / 17.1 -8.4 / 4.2 -12.7 / 12.4
P. Conceição
Paraguay
464.53
-5.5 / 2.5
-9.5 / 9.9
-5.7 / 2.7
-8.8 / 7.2
Amolar
Paraguay
1291.13
-6.6 / 3.3
-13.2 / 12.8
-7 / 3.5
-11.6 / 8.7
P. Manga
Paraguay
1885.93
-8 / 4
-17.4 / 16.8 -8.4 / 4.3 -15.1 / 11.9
P. Murtinho
Paraguay
2845.9
-10.1 / 7.2 -19.2 / 27.4 -10.5 / 7.7 -17.4 / 20.1
S. Jerônimo
Piquiri
270.59
-10.6 / 5.3
-18 / 22.3
-11 / 5.6
-16.3 / 15.6
S. J. Piquirí
Piquiri
331.78
-13.6 / 7.6 -24.5 / 33.4 -14.1 / 8.1 -22.1 / 21.7
Rondonópolis
Vermelho
202.72
-14.2 / 7.2 -24.8 / 30.5 -14.8 / 7.6 -23.3 / 21.4
S. José
S. Lourenço
263.41
-9.3 / 3.8
-16.1 / 15.9
-9.6 / 4
-14.7 / 10.8
Coxim
Taquari
364.85
-12.8 / 6.3
-23 / 31.8
-13.3 / 6.6 -20.3 / 23.8
São Goçalo
Taquari
364.73
-11.7 / 7.5 -23.3 / 31.7 -12.3 / 7.9 -20.3 / 23.7