CURRENT MACROECONOMICS AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY Professor Philip Arestis University of Cambridge, UK Plano do Curso Horário Atividade Aula 1 - Emergence of New Consensus Macroeconomics Dia 18/08 10:00-12:00 12:00 Dia 21/08 10:00-12:00 12:00 Aula 2 – New Consensus Macroeconomics 10:00-12:00 12:00 Aula 3 - Assessing the New Consensus Macroeconomics Dia 25/08 9:00-11:00 11:00 Aula 4 - Implementing the Specific Policy Implications of New Consensus Macroeconomics: the UK Case 11:00-13:00 13:00 Aula 5 Implementing the Specific Policy Implications of New Consensus Macroeconomics: the EMU Case 9:00-11:00 11:00 Aula 6 - Origins of the Current Crisis and Economic Policy of the New Consensus Macroeconomics 11:00-13:00 13:00 Aula 7 - Economic Policy Implications in view of the Current Crisis Dia 28/08 Dia 01/09 Dia 04/09 10:00-12:00 12:00 Aula 8 - Future Economic Policies in view of the Current Crisis • Obs • No dia 03/09, às 14h,, o Prof. Arestis irá ir proferir palestra aberta ao público pú acadêmico em geral, dentro do programa de Seminários Permanentes do Instituto de Economia da Unicamp Estão previstos dois períodos para atendimento individual a professores e grupos de pesquisa da pós-graduação pós Bibliografia LECTURE 1:: Emergence of New Consensus Macroeconomics READING: Arestis, P. (1992), The Post-Keynesian Post Keynesian Approach to Economics: An Alternative Analysis of Economic Theory and Policy, Edward Elgar Publishing Limited. Carlin, W. and Soskice, D. (2006), Macroeconomics: Imperfections, Institutions and Policies,, Oxford University Press LECTURE 2:: New Consensus Macroeconomics READING: Arestis, P. (2007), Is There a New Consensus in Macroeconomics?, Macroeconomics? Palgrave Macmillan. Angeriz, A. and Arestis, P. (2009), “The The Consensus View on Interest Rates and Inflation: In Reality or Innocent Fraud?”, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics,, Vol. 31, No. 4, (Summer) Bernanke, B., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F. and Posen, A. (1999), Inflation Targeting. Lessons from the International Experience, Experience Princeton University Press Carlin, rlin, W. and Soskice, D. (2005), “The 3-Equation 3 Equation New Keynesian Model – A Graphical Exposition”, Contributions to Macroeconomics, Macroeconomics, Vol. 5, No. 1, Article 13 Carlin, W. and Soskice, D. (2009), “A “A New Keynesian Open Economy Model for Policy Analysis”, Mimeo Galí, J. (2008), Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework, Framework Princeton University Press Goodfriend, M. (2002), “Monetary Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis: A Primer”, International Finance, Vol. l. 5, No. 2, (Summer) Woodford, M. (2003), Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, Princeton University Press LECTURE 3:: Assessing the New Consensus Macroeconomics READING: Angeriz, A. and Arestis, P. (2006), “Has Inflation Targeting Targeting Had Any Impact on Inflation?”, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Economics, Vol. 28, No. 4, (Summer) Angeriz, A. and Arestis, P. (2007), “Assessing Assessing the Performance of ‘Inflation Targeting Lite’ Countries”, The World Economy, Economy Vol. 30, No. 11, (November) Angeriz, A. and Arestis, P. (2008), “Assessing Inflation Targeting Through Intervention Analysis”, Oxford Economic Papers, Papers Vol. 60, No. 2, (April) Arestis, P. (2009), “New Consensus Macroeconomics and Keynesian Critique”, in E. Hein, T. Niechoj and E. Stockhammer Sto (eds.), Macroeconomic Policies on Shaky Foundations: Wither Mainstream Macroeconomics?, Macroeconomics? Metropolis Arestis, P. (2009), “The New Consensus in Macroeconomics: A Critical Appraisal”, in G. Fontana and M. Setterfield (eds.), Macroeconomic Theory and Macroeconomic Pedagogy,, Palgrave Macmillan Ball, L. and Sheridan, N. (2003), “Does Inflation Targeting Matter?”, NBER Working Paper Series,, No. 9577, National Bureau of Economic Research: Cambridge, MA. Casares, M. and McCallum, B. T. (2006), “An Optimizing Optimiz IS-LM LM Framework with Endogenous Investment”, Journal of Macroeconomics, Macroeconomics, Vol. 28, No. 4, (December) Orphanides, A. (2003), “The Quest for Prosperity without Inflation", Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 50 (April). LECTURE 4:: Implementing the Specific Policy Implications of New Consensus Macroeconomics: the UK Case READING: Allsopp, C., Kara, A. and Nelson, E. (2006), “United Kingdom Inflation Targeting and the Exchange Rate”, Economic Journal, Journal Vol. 116, No. 512 Cobham, D. (2006), “The Overvaluation of Sterling Since 1996: How the Policy Makers Responded and Why”, Economic Journal, Vol. 116, No. 512 Angeriz, A. and Arestis, P. (2007), “Monetary Policy in the UK”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 31, No. 6, (November) (N LECTURE 5:: Implementing the Specific Policy Implications of New Consensus Macroeconomics: the EMU Case READING: Arestis, P. Brown, A. and Sawyer, M. (2001), The Euro: Evolution and Prospects, Prospects Edward Elgar Publishing Limited Arestis, P., Ferrari, i, F. and de Paula, L.F. (2003), Monetary Union in South America: Lessons from EMU,, Edward Elgar Publishing Limited Arestis, P. and Sawyer, M. (2006), Alternative Perspectives on Economic Policies in the European Union, Palgrave Macmillan Baker, D. Glyn, A., Howell, D and J. Schmitt (2005), "Labor Market Institutions and Unemployment: A Critical Assessment of the Cross-Country Cross Country Evidence", Chapter 3 in David R. Howell (ed.), Fighting Unemployment: The Limits of Free Market Orthodoxy, Orthodoxy Oxford University Press De Grauwe, P. and Costa Storti, C. (2008), “Monetary Policy and the Real Economy”, in R. Schettkat and J. Langkau (eds.), Economic Policy Proposals for Germany and Europe,, Routledge Publishers De Grauwe, P. and Costa Storti, C. (2005), “Is Monetary Policy in the Euro Zone Less Effective than in the US?”, CESifo Working Paper No. 1606,, November. Issing, O. (2003), “Evaluation of the ECB’s Monetary Policy Strategy”, ECB Press Conference and Press Seminar, Seminar 8 May, Frankfurt: Germany LECTURE 6: Origins of the Current Crisis and Economic Policy of the New Consensus Macroeconomics READING: Arestis, P., Mooslechner, P. and Wagner, K. (2010), “Introduction: Housing Market Challenges in Europe and the United States”, in P. Arestis, P. Mooslechner and K. Wagner (eds.), Housing Market Challenges in Europe and the United States, States Palgrave Macmillan. Arestis, P. and Karakitsos, E. (2010), “Subprime Mortgage Market and Current Financial Crisis”, in P. Arestis, P. Mooslechner and K. Wagner (eds.), Housing Market Challenges hallenges in Europe and the United States, States Palgrave Macmillan Bernanke, B. (2005), “The Global Saving Glutand the U.S. Current Account Deficit”, The Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economics, Richmond, Virginia. Lecture available at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2005/200503102/default.htm Calomiiris, C.W. (2008), “The Subprime Turmoil: What’s Old, What’s New, and What’s Next”, presented resented at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Symposium, 21 August, Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Available at: http://www.lcc.frb.org/publicat/sympos/2008/calomiris.10.02.08.p http://www.lcc.frb.org/publicat/sympos/2008/calomiris.10.02.08.pdf Greenspan, A. (2010), “The Crisis”. Available at: http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/Programs/ES/BPEA/2010_spring_bpea_paper s/spring2010_greenspan.pdf ing2010_greenspan.pdf LECTURE 7: Economic Policy Implications in view of the Current Crisis READING: Claessens, S., Dell’Ariccia, G. Igan, D. and Laeven, L. (2010), “Lessons and Policy Implications from the Global Financial Crisis”, IMF Working Paper WP/10/44, WP February, Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund, Research Department. ECB (2010), “The ECB’s Monetary Policy Stance During the Financial Crisis”, ECB Monhly Bulletin,, (January) Goodhart, C.A.E. (2009), The Regulatory Response to the Financial Crisis, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited Mizen, P. (2008), “The Credit Crunch of 2007-2008. 2007 2008. A Discussion of the Background, Market reflections and Policy responses”, Federal Reserve of St. Louis Review, Review September/October, tember/October, 90(5), 531-567 531 Borio, C. and Disyatat, P. (2009), “Unconventional Monetary Policies: An Appraisal”, BIS Working Paper No. 292, Monetary and Economic Department, November, Basel, Switzerland: Bank for International Settlements. LECTURE 8: Future Economic Policies in view of the Current Crisis READING: Arestis, P. and Sawyer, M. (2010), “21st Century Keynesian Economic Policies”, in P. Arestis and M. Sawyer (eds.), 21st Century Keynesian Economics,, International Papers in Political Economyy Series, Palgrave Macmillan Eggerston, G. B. (2006), “Fiscal multipliers and policy coordination”, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, Reports, No. 241, New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Ferguson, R. (2005), “Monetary Monetary Credibility, Inflation, and Economic Growth”, Speech at the Cato Institute 23rd Annual Monetary Conference on Monetary Institutions and Economic Development, Development, Washington, D.C. November 3 Ghosh, A. and Phillips, S. (1998), “Warning: Inflation May be be Harmful to Your Growth”, IMF Staff Papers, Papers 45(4), 672-710 Biografia Resumida - Professor Philip Arestis O Prof. Philip Arestis é professor da Universidade de Cambridge, Inglaterra; diretor de pesquisa do Centro de Economia e Políticas Públicas de Cambridge (CCEPP); professor da Universidade do País Basco, Espanha; Pesquisador Associado do Levy Economics Institute, Nova York, Estados Estados Unidos; professor Adjunto da Universidade de Utah, tah, Estados Unidos; Professor Visitante da Universidade de Leeds, Inglaterra; e Pesquisador Associado da Escola de Estudos Orientais e Africanos (SOAS), da Universidade de Londres, Inglaterra. Philip publicou blicou como autor ou editor, bem como co-autor co autor e co-editor, co em diversos livros, desde Introducing Macroeconomic Modelling: An Econometric Study of the United Kingdom (Macmillan, 1982) até Money, Pricing Distribution and Economic Integration (Macmillan, 1997), e The Euro: Evolution and Prospects (Edward Elgar Publishers, 2001). Livros mais recentes incluem Re-Examining Examining Monetary and Fiscal Policies in the Twenty First Century (Edward Elgar Publishers, 2004), The Post-Bubble US Economy: Implications ications for Financial Markets and the Economy (Palgrave Macmillan, 2004), Is There a New Consensus in Macroeconomics? (Palgrave Macmillan, 2004), The Post ‘Great Recession’ US Economy: Implications for Financial Markets and the Economy (Palgrave Macmillan, 2010); The Financial Crisis: Origins and Implications, (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011); An Assessment of the Global Impact of the Financial Crisis,, (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011); New Economics as Mainstream Economics, Economics (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011); Microeconomics, mics, Macroeconomics and Economic Policy: Essays in Honour of Malcolm Sawyer, (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011); The Euro Crisis, (Palgrave Macmillan, 2012). Contribuiu na forma de convidado em diversos capítulos de livros e produziu diversos relatórios de pesquisa pesqu para institutos de pesquisa. Tem publicado diversos artigos em revistas acadêmicas como American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Sociology Applied Economics, Applied Economic Letters, Applied Financial Economics, Banca Nazionale Del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Bulletin of Economic Research, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Eastern Economic Journal, Economie Applique, Economic Journal, Economic Inquiry, Economics Letters, Empirica, Ensayos Económicos, Greek Economic Economic Review, History of Economic Ideas, International Journal of Finance and Economics, International Journal of Public Policy, International Papers in Public Policy International Review of Applied Economics, Intervention, European Journal of Economics Economics and Economic Policies, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Journal of Economic Analysis, Journal of Economic Issues, Journal of Macroeconomics, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Journal of Public Policy, Journal of Economic Surveys,Journal of Contemporary Contemporary European Studies, Kredit und Kapital, Manchester School of Economic and Social Research, Mathematical Modelling, Metroeconomica, Panoeconomicus, Public Finance, Review of Economic Issues, Review of Political Economy, Review of Radical Political Economy, Review of Social Economy, RFEC Feminist Economics, Revista Venezolana de Análisis de Coyuntura/IIES- UCVScottish Journal of Political Economy, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Weltwirschaftiches Archiv, World Economy and Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie. Nationalokonomie Atualmente, faz parte do corpo editorial do International Review of Applied Economics, the Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, the Journal of Finance and Economics, the Eastern Economic Journal, the Review of Social Economy, the International Internat Journal of Public Policy; Applied Economics: Systematic Research; European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention (EJEEP); e Frontiers in Finance and Economics. Economics É coeditor do International Papers in Political Economy, Economy e foi editor convidado da edição especial do Manchester School of Economic and Social Research, Research, bem como do Eastern Economic Journal.