Top 5 Forecasting Institutions – December
January 13, 2010
The Investor Relations Group (Gerin) has announced the Top 5 forecasting institutions for
December 2009.
Table 1
Top 5 Forecasting Institutions – Short-Run
December 2009
IPCA
Deviation
Banco JBS S.A.
0.0117
Funcef - Fund. Economiários Federais
0.0400
Banco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A. 0.0467
Banco BNP Paribas Brasil S.A.
0.0467
Brasilprev Seguros e Previdência S.A.
0.0467
IGP-DI
Deviation
IGP-M
Deviation
Concórdia S.A. CVMCC
0.1650
1 Concórdia S.A. CVMCC
0.1150
SLW Adm. & Gestora de Recursos Ltda.
0.1750
2 GAP AM
0.1267
UBS Pactual S.A.
0.1800
3 Banco JP Morgan S.A.
0.1400
Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse
0.1883
4 Link S.A. CCTVM
0.1483
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
0.1917
5 MCM Consultores
0.1500
Over Selic
Deviation
Exchange Rate
Deviation
1 CM Capital Markets
0.0000
Banco BNP Paribas Brasil S.A.
0.0244
GAP AM
0.0358
2 Banco Schahin S.A.
0.0208
Votorantim Asset
0.0371
2 Goldman Sachs do Brasil Bco. Multiplo S.A. 0.0208
Mauá Consult. Invest. & Econômica Ltda.
0.0378
2 Banco Fator S.A.
0.0208
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
0.0392
5 BB DTVM S.A.
0.0417
5 Deutsche Bank - Banco Alemão S.A.
0.0417
5 Banco Fibra S.A.
0.0417
5 GAP AM
0.0417
5 MCM Consultores
0.0417
5 Nobel AM S/C Ltda.
0.0417
5 Tendências Consultoria Integrada
0.0417
5 Votorantim Asset
0.0417
5 Banco West LB do Brasil S.A.
0.0417
5 Concórdia S.A. CVMCC
0.0417
5 Mauá Consult. Invest. & Econômica Ltda.
0.0417
5 Kondor Adm. Gest. Rec. Financeiros Ltda.
0.0417
1
2
3
3
3
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
Table 2
Top 5 Forecasting Institutions – Medium-Run
December 2009
1
2
3
4
5
IPCA
Deviation
LCA Consultores S/C Ltda.
0.0277
Banco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A. 0.0283
Modal AM Ltda.
0.0290
Opus Gestão de Recursos Ltda.
0.0317
Banco Votorantim S.A.
0.0323
Information for unrestricted disclosure. It is not intended to bind Banco Central do Brasil in its monetary or foreign
exchange policy actions. Questions and comments to [email protected]
1
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
IGP-DI
Banco Fibra S.A.
Modal AM Ltda.
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
Bradesco Corretora Tít.&Val.Mobiliários
Ideias Consultoria Ltda.
Exchange Rate
SLW Adm. & Gestora de Recursos Ltda.
Banco BNP Paribas Brasil S.A.
BNP Paribas AM Brasil Ltda.
Banco Safra S.A.
HSBC Bank Brasil S.A.
Deviation
0.1847
0.1883
0.1983
0.2050
0.2153
Deviation
0.0408
0.0479
0.0520
0.0565
0.0625
1
2
3
4
5
1
1
1
4
4
IGP-M
Ideias Consultoria Ltda.
Banco Fibra S.A.
Bradesco Corretora Tít.&Val.Mobiliários
Banco Safra S.A.
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
Over Selic
Banco Fibra S.A.
Banco West LB do Brasil S.A.
Mauá Consult. Invest. & Econômica Ltda.
Banco Safra S.A.
CM Capital Markets
Deviation
0.1900
0.2193
0.2237
0.2375
0.2503
Deviation
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0333
0.0333
Table 3
Top 5 Forecasting Institutions – Long-Run
2009
IPCA
Deviation
Banco CR2 S.A.
0.0900
Petros Fund. de Segurid. Social - Petrobrás
0.0955
Mauá Consult. Invest. & Econômica Ltda.
0.1065
Banco do Brasil S.A.
0.1147
ING Bank N.V.
0.1159
IGP-M
IGP-DI
Deviation
1 Tendências Consultoria Integrada
Modal AM Ltda.
2.2158
2 Modal AM Ltda.
Ideias Consultoria Ltda.
2.5867
3 Concórdia S.A. CVMCC
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
2.6360
4 BB DTVM S.A.
Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse
2.6386
5 Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse
Concórdia S.A. CVMCC
2.6715
Exchange Rate
Deviation
Over Selic
Banco BNP Paribas Brasil S.A.
0.1946
1 Bradesco Corretora Tít.&Val.Mobiliários
Tendências Consultoria Integrada
0.2053
2 Mauá Consult. Invest. & Econômica Ltda.
Deutsche Bank - Banco Alemão S.A.
0.2914
3 Banco Schahin S.A.
Banco West LB do Brasil S.A.
0.2954
4 Banco Bradesco S.A.
Banco Espírito Santo de Investimento S.A.
0.2991
4 GAP AM
Deviation
2.7731
2.8404
2.9523
3.0827
3.0885
Deviation
0.6875
0.7431
0.7535
0.7917
0.7917
Information for unrestricted disclosure. It is not intended to bind Banco Central do Brasil in its monetary or foreign
exchange policy actions. Questions and comments to [email protected]
2
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5