PAPER REF # 8167 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 THE CONVERGENCE OF PATTERNS IN THE CITY: (Isolating) the effects of architectural morphology on movement and activity AUTHOR: Vinicius NETTO Universidade Federal Fluminense (NEPHU‐UFF), Brazil e‐mail: [email protected] KEYWORDS: Pattern Convergence, Dissonance, Street Networks, Architectural Typology, Urban Vitality THEME: Urban Structure and Spatial Distribution Renato SABOYA Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC), Brazil e‐mail: [email protected] Julio VARGA S Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Brazil Lucas FIGUEIREDO Universidade Federal da Paraíba (UFPB), Brazil e‐mail: [email protected] Cássio FREITAS Escola Nacional de Ciência Estatística (ENCE‐IBGE), Brazil e‐mail: [email protected] Maíra PINHEIRO Universidade Federal Fluminense (NEPHU‐UFF), Brazil e‐mail: [email protected] Abstract Our paper introduces the theoretical and methodological grounds for a new approach to problems of internal relations between urban patterns in the city creation process. The first problem relates to the conditions of convergence of patterns of accessibility, location, density and pedestrian movement – distinct material processes whose deep mutual implications seem to tie and mix them in the form of the city itself. Approaches to urban morphology and growth as different as space syntax and spatial economics are based on the central proposition that patterns overlap in time, an axiom that allows them to show, for instance, how accessibility affects location or movement. We challenge such teleological perspective, arguing that convergence is likely to always contain dissonance between patterns, deeply entrenched in the collisions of materialities and temporalities of distinct urban processes, among other contingencies. Furthermore, dissonance may help to explain recognizable differences in pattern correlations. We introduce a methodology to assess levels of convergence/dissonance in urban systems in time, or how patterns relate as cities grow and change. The second problem addresses a specific set of pattern relations. States of non‐complete convergence between street networks and movement may reveal potential roles played by other patterns such as architectural morphologies – a central but mostly unexamined question. The paper unfolds a method aimed at identifying the effects of architectural typologies on local socioeconomic processes with potential large‐ Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 scale effects independently from the effects of the street network. We apply the approach in an empirical study in twenty‐four areas in Rio de Janeiro. Such methodology allows to assess more precisely what has been defined, since Jacobs’ seminal work, as “urban vitality”, a set of social and microeconomic qualities in cities – and go back to a question that puzzles the architectural imagination: can buildings affect their urban surroundings? Would distinct architectural morphologies have distinct effects over local socioeconomic processes? Or, does architecture matter to urban vitality? 1 INTRODUCTION This paper introduces the theoretical and methodological foundations for a new approach to problems of internal relations of patterns in the city creation process – arguably some of the major problems in urban studies. The first one refers to the potential convergence between them, a theoretical axiom in approaches to urban form and growth as different as space syntax and spatial economics: the strong apparent overlapping of patterns of accessibility, location, density and pedestrian movement (emphasised in space syntax studies). These differentiated material processes have deep mutual implications that seem to synthesize them in the form of the city itself, a key theoretical finding that takes the form of a central axiom in these theories and allow them to explain, for instance, how accessibility patterns overlap with location or movement patterns. Theoretical definitions point to a strong convergence of distributions of activity location, architectural densities and accessibility levels in cities (either based on metrical distance, as in spatial economics, or geometrical properties of urban grids, as in space syntax). In fact, convergence seems taken to a point where whole dimensions (such as activity location or architectural densities) are seen as fully dependent on accessibility levels inherent to grid patterns, serving at best as multiplier effects. That is not necessarily the case. Rapidly growing cities – such as Rio de Janeiro, as we shall see below – may have fast shifts in their accessibility cores with slower changes in density patterns. Weaker densities in a particular area with high accessibility may reduce movement levels allowed by the grid; or specific architectural types could offer poor support for retail activities potentially demanded by pedestrians. In these scenarios, movement patterns may be biased by architectural morphology and activity location; accessibility levels may not correspond with agglomeration. Nevertheless, spatial economics shows us that economic activities are geared to agglomeration in the form of cities as a way to overcome distance. Space syntax works consistently pointed out that accessibility patterns overlap substantially with pedestrian movement patterns. But they seem to do so rendering the tensions between patterns unproblematic. We would like to challenge these theoretical positions arguing that a strong overlapping of urban patterns could only be the case in cities whose growth and dynamics already reached the point of full‐fledged convergence – and proposing a closer examination of how these materially distinct patterns interrelate. We devise here foundations for an approach to the convergence/dissonance of patterns of different materialities, and a method to investigate its level, recognizing that changes operate in different urban dimensions. These dimensions are all related in how we appropriate and produce cities and how they change, but not immediately so: they are mediated by human practice and distinct materialities at play. We hope to show that, despite a potential trend to alignment in such dimensions, taking the form of actual structures, dissonance – in different levels at different times – is always already at work, preventing full convergence and thereby rendering (assumptions of) a teleological, natural alignment problematic. However, such an idea poses further questions like, is that point reachable? If cities are always changing – as new activities are created and location patterns changed, densities transformed through new built forms – 2 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 how could it be reached? How would such city look like? Would older cities find stronger internal convergence? We introduce below a methodology to address this problem, and assess levels of convergence/dissonance in urban systems and its behaviour (rather than progression) in time. This first set of hypotheses is a condition for a second problem – a relation of specific patterns still poorly explored in theory and largely unconscious in practice: the possibility of identifiable effects of distinct architectural morphologies over local social processes, with potential large‐scale outputs. In fact, this problem is implied in the convergence of patterns at the heart of what Hillier (2001) calls “the city‐creation process”: how does architectural morphology relate to the vitality of public life in streets and the activities they support? Could it have effects over the appropriation of space – co‐presence, movement, social interaction and microeconomic exchange? These are not trivial questions: as we shall see below, relations between such phenomena – and the patterns emerging from their interaction – involve entirely different materialities. They also involve different temporalities: street networks take decades or centuries to reach stability, whereas movement patterns may take minutes to emerge. In other words, the hypothesis of convergence of patterns – the city as a system of systems of different materialities, a pattern emerging from the relation of emerging patterns – implies a relation of architectural form to patterns of use of space. Notwithstanding, this research is an attempt to respond to a timely problem in cities in the developing world, but also elsewhere: the progressive dissolution of parts of the urban fabric through the growing production of buildings more and more inward‐oriented – i.e. detached from the street, surrounded by fences and walls, impervious to public activities such as retail. Non‐systematic observations have led architects and planners to fear that dissolution of certain built form patterns would lead to a similar dissolution in the social use of streets (e.g. reasons for pedestrians to walk their neighbourhoods, or for microeconomic exchanges to come into being in different areas). It seems to be happening at an alarming pace, with potentially disastrous consequences to cities in general, and to the performance of morphology as a support for localized social action in particular. We present here the unfolding of a second methodology – this turn, developed to isolate the effects of distinct architectural typologies from the effects of other urban patterns, i.e. in a way to render the relations between spatial and social variables more fully identifiable. The paper brings initial results from an on‐going empirical study in twenty‐four areas in Rio de Janeiro. Such an approach is designed to address a classic question – perhaps one that has puzzled the architectural imagination more than any: can buildings affect what happens around them? Would distinct architectural morphologies have distinct effects over local social and economic processes? Or more broadly: does architecture matter to the vitality of streets and public life in the city? 2 THE CONVERGENCE AND DISSONANCE OF PATTERNS IN THE FORM OF CITIES We point out four patterns as simultaneous processes with different time frames – always in progress, consolidation and change in the history of a city (figure 1). a) The production, growth and structuration of street networks internally differentiated into hierarchies articulating blocks and buildings and the network of interaction among the activities they support in time – a highly durable and stable structure (temporality 4); 1 1 See the case of the City of London in the appendix to Hillier and Netto (2002). 3 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 b) The progressive production and substitution of built forms, up until the emergence of a pattern of distribution of architectural densities (see Wheaton, 1982) and potential dominance of particular typologies. The temporality of built form production and replacement is slow (temporality 3). Built form densities are largely dependent on systemic urban tensions and socioeconomic processes and demands, which in turn express and support a plethora of activities; c) The occupation of such architectural hardware finds its own pattern of distribution, or location. Activities have a variable stability, lasting from days to years, even centuries. Most activities vanish in time or change location. Nevertheless, the temporality of emergence of a large‐scale location pattern is slow (temporality 2); d) The use of streets and public open spaces for socioeconomic interaction has to do with the interface with buildings and their activities, including retail and services. Patterns of actions and interactions unfolding in a city are recognizable as movement patterns connecting activity places and allowing actions to emerge as social action. The temporality of emergence is fast – similar patterns of pedestrian movement come up everyday and adapt quickly and fluidly to changes in location or in the street network (temporality 1). Figure 1 – Relations of urban patterns of different materialities, roles and temporalities. Each pattern may be seen as an emergence in its own right. They have distinct roles, from the material conditions of the daily continuity of actions in the flux of social reproduction to spatial production. As such, they have a dual relation to each other, being influenced by them on the one hand, and changing and shaping them on the other. The relation of accessibility to architectural density and location is nearly self‐ evident: distance would stimulate agglomeration, shaping urban growth as people flow into activity places producing location and density patterns, expanding the urban grid as reflections of their needs to overcome distance in order to produce and interact. This is shown by a remarkably large number of spatial economic studies, from Von Thünen and Alfred Weber to Paul Krugman. Such approaches show the convergence of 4 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 accessibility patterns assessed through metric distances with location and spatial concentration. Of course the influence of spatial structure on accessibility and movement was further clarified by space syntax studies. Works in this field show the convergence of accessibility and movement patterns assessed through graph‐based topological and geometric measures (with correlations around 0.6 – see Hillier et al, 1993; Hillier and Iida, 2005). Some works pointed out the influence of the grid on activity location (Hillier et al, 1993; Hillier, 2001). A few works in configurational studies reinforce the complex convergence of centrality and land value with impressive results (correlations up to 0.9 – see Krafta, 1994; Spinelli and Krafta, 1998). The mutual influence between patterns would be already active in urban peripheral growth, as they seem to shape each other into recognizable urban structures. Thus, the idea of urban systems made out of relations of (materially and temporally) different processes certainly finds support. We suggest that these processes come into being both as recognizable individual patterns mutually related in some level of convergence: a meta‐pattern emerging in the form of the city itself. Convergence implies alignment between processes and their specific components, materialities and temporalities in internal implications that feed from each other and lead them into recognizable structures. By “convergence” we do not mean an equilibrium state. Tensions are at play – but we would be better equipped to assess them once pattern relations are objectified. By “alignment” we mean a tendency of certain states in one pattern to match specific states in other pattern(s). The most obvious meta‐pattern includes high accessibility areas (temporality 4), high‐density areas (temporality 3), intense retail and diversified activities (temporality 2) and high rates of pedestrian movement (temporality 1). Far from being a one‐way set of influences, spreading from temporality 4 through 1, though, these patterns interact in more complex ways. Areas with high co‐presence of pedestrians, for instance, tend to attract retail, which then force land prices up and consequently force developers to intensify the land use, if possible. High intensity of land use and movement may be a driving force to modifications in the grid, despite its more stable nature.2 Figure 2 – Hypothesis of convergence of recognizable patterns in the city: interrelations and mutual dependences would lead to progressive convergence in time. First phase shows a theoretical distinction; phase two shows urban processes shaping each other in time; phase three shows pattern alignment already visible. 2 See Sasskia’s (1998) findings regarding the evolution of urban layouts based on originally large rectangular blocks. 5 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Let us have a critical look at how these relations have been portrayed in theory – more specifically in space syntax. The idea that the morphology of street networks would have effects on movement patterns is a central proposition. The grid is seen as the “strong force” in generating and shaping movement patterns in the city (Hillier et al, 1993). Such relationship is extended to a point where an assumption arises and takes the form of a theoretical axiom. According to the theory, location and growth would be driven by the extension of the grid and not by the location of new activities. However, growth and location are deeply relational processes potentially active in shaping the extension of streets themselves. A step further, the idea of the grid as the original force shaping urban dynamics also assumes that distinct patterns such as the distribution of built form and location converge almost in an unproblematic alignment with that of the grid, their effects reduced to multiplier effects of the latter. Behind this assumption lie risks of a non‐dynamic understanding of the different materialities and processes at play in the city creation process. Assuming that the effects of convergence belong to a particular material realm or process renders the role of other realms or processes invisible, and reduces the complexity of urban dynamics. The complex tension of mutual dependence and conflict between patterns with different materialities is downplayed. Furthermore, contingency is not addressed as a key substantive issue, as the emphasis on the grid assumes that urban patterns relate unproblematically to one another. Of course similar critical observations may be drawn to works in spatial economics. An active relation described in these terms looks indeed like a teleological process: cities seem geared to pattern. In this sense, we certainly acknowledge that urban processes are deeply intertwined, and thereby should shape each other to a considerable extent. If they emerge as related processes produced by actions materially accumulated, the idea of cities geared to a certain level of visible convergence of patterns does make sense. Changes in one pattern may indeed lead to changes in others. As we have seen, that is both a general finding and an underlying axiom in configurational studies and spatial economics alike, and the basis for any hypothesis of effects of urban form on social processes. If that is the case, we would like to further explore here the complexities involved in the emergence of a generalized pattern – the city – made of materially and temporally distinct patterns, and the conditions of any alignment. Cities as material processes are results of convergence – at least partially, as they imply one another – but to which extent? Convergence, if it were to happen, is a process that takes a long time to become recognizable – decades of production of a spatial hardware aligned with a social software of activities and actions and use of built forms and public spaces. But what would count as forces of convergence and dissonance? What are the contingencies at play? A specific urban process cannot fully project itself into others, however intrinsically related in urbanization and, more broadly, in social reproduction. The passage from action and movement to change in location and built form patterns is mediated by difficulties in social organization (the emergence from individual actions to arrangements or sets of institutionalized activities) and material production (from new activities to new built forms). The passage from the social software of organized action and activity to the hardware of built forms means not only economic effort, but the production of rigid, durable structures which take long time to take part in the urban system and, once there, are likely to remain. Furthermore, materially distinct processes are also independent: actions change constantly, and spatial decisions in daily life such as places to go and how to get there change with them. Access to spatial information is partial and depends on actors’ socially differentiated capabilities. Spatial production is also subject to similar issues: individual decisions like finding the most interesting locations to produce new buildings based on partial information and misinterpretation of potentials of location in terms of density and architectural choices (say, either benefiting poorly from location or overestimating it) shape urbanization. Urban processes get apart all the time in dissonance and tension only to tie over and over again by the socioeconomic and material 6 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 requirements of convergence. There is noise in every step. Urban dynamics are full of contingencies embedded in how social systems relate to spatialities: oligopolistic decisions over new areas for urban expansion; the stability of materialities of street networks and built forms in time followed by criticality and phase transitions (Krafta, Netto and Lima, 2011); top‐down decisions in planning adding new transportation systems or containing trends in land use, fixing built forms or misunderstanding potentials in their relation with other urban processes; and so on. A key issue here is how to assess contingency and mutual influence or causality in the convergence/divergence of urban patterns synthesized in the city itself. Thus, full convergence could be never completely achievable: complex interactions and different materialities and their distinct levels of stability will both entail convergence and prevent full convergence. One of the key tasks at hand here is how to assess what is there in between patterns, preventing full convergence, a major issue right at the heart of urbanization – one based on very essential material conditions for societies to emerge through joint action in spite of dissonance forces. Time is clearly an issue: cities, as autopoietic systems, seem to take a rather long time to emerge and reach minimal levels of internal structuration able to cope with relations both in location and collective action. A proper investigation of this problem, however, requires spatial and historical analysis of a large number of urban areas and cities. Figure 3 – Rio de Janeiro: residential densities and accessibility (integration RR). Convergence is likely to always contain dissonance between patterns, deeply entrenched in the collisions of materialities and temporalities of distinct urban processes and the plurality of decisions and tensions between actors appropriating spaces that mediate them. Complete convergence would only be possible in an open horizon of time or in an ideal world. If such hypothesis makes sense, this conceptual framework suggests possibilities for a methodology able to indicate the stage of convergence of patterns in different areas or cities and allow the analysis of their behaviour in time. Convergence would generally imply a progressive alignment observable in different stages in different urban areas or cities. In other words, areas or cities with different times of urbanization may be in different stages along the path of convergence between those four urban processes. For example, a two hundred years neighbourhood may have its density distribution aligned with the accessibility hierarchy across the area, whereas a much more recent area with similar accessibility levels may have dissonance in such relation. If that would be the case, dissonances in pattern relations could be explained historically – at least in part. Also, fast changes in one particular pattern (like accessibility) may reverberate throughout the urban system in cycles of dissonance. 7 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 We explore below a thought experiment on convergence bringing the relation between time of urbanization and patterns of accessibility, location, density and movement in different areas in a theoretical city. The hypothesis of urban convergence may be examined through sets of correlations between the distributions of levels of accessibility (Acc), densities (Dens), pedestrian movement (PM), and the numbers and diversity of activities on the street level (Act), along with time of urbanization (Age) in different areas. Such correlations could help clarifying states of pattern convergence. Coefficients of determination relate pairs of variables representing the four processes in six separate areas with urbanization times ranging from 30 to 440 years old. Pairs may be put together in a matrix in order to show explicitly convergence states (figure 4, left). Data may be synthesized in a correlation of previous correlations in order to show convergence levels for every area (figure 4, right). In both cases, the evolutionary character of these interrelated processes may require a non‐linear adjustment, as they possibly adapt to changes in one or more patterns. Adaptation levels may be grasped in distinct curves, generating a meta‐score through multiple regressions, showing the overall convergence behaviour of patterns of distinct materialities. Figure 4 – Urban convergence in time: comparison in pairs between levels of accessibility, density, activity and movement (normalized) in six hypothetical areas within a same city with urbanization ranging from 30 to 440 years. Figure 5 shows the level of accessibility, activity, density and movement in a number of axial lines in an urban system (adjusted to the same scale), allowing a comparison of their variation and the assessment of their convergence and dissonance. Figure 6 emulates the convergence state for a whole city in time, synthesizing states of convergence measured for a number of decades. It also shows what would happen if a single pattern changed much faster than others (as Rio de Janeiro’s expansion in the 1950s, changing its accessibility core), or if densities changed quickly in certain areas as urban systems reach periods of rapid change combining outer (expansion) and inner (density) growth, throwing the urban system in dissonance. The process may happen in waves or cycles, consistent with descriptions of self‐organized criticality. Data is of course the problem here – especially on movement – since accessibility may be assessed through axial maps of different periods, and density and land use through census or recorded data. Results may show whether convergence is or is not an evolutionary process. 8 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Figure 5 – A strongly convergent system: levels of accessibility, density, activity and movement (normalized) distributed in axial lines, plotted from the most to the least accessible line, showing the convergence scenario in a theoretical urban system in a given point in time. Figure 6 – Convergence and dissonance interplay in time as a hypothetical urban system oscillates – say, in rapid expansion around 1950, shifting its accessibility core while other patterns take longer to change and adapt. Challenging the convergence of patterns frequently seen as unproblematic and teleological, our hypothesis is that convergence is likely to increase and fall in cycles in time, without ever becoming complete, due to bifurcations between patterns as they change motivated by others, and according to their own materialities and specific times of production and how they imply and intertwine with one another. An Empirical Study We analysed the distribution of components that operate as systems in their own right, but whose emergence depends on mutual relations, in an empirical study of 24 areas randomly selected in Rio de Janeiro (further addressed in the second part of this paper). We assess the distribution of (a) location, represented by retail activities (in principle sensitive to locational differences and hungry for locational advantages), (b) density, broken in two: architectural density (built area per plot area) and density of economic units (number of families and microeconomic activities occupying the ground levels of buildings, measured as the proportion of retail regarding residential, services and institutional activities in units per 100m segment); (c) pedestrian movement (number of pedestrians passing through); while keeping their variations against (d) accessibility (measured in 250 segments of axial lines through integration), sliced in 20 levels from which we chose three different and nearly constant levels (high, medium and low) in Rio. Intensities were normalized in indexes, and plotted in a chart. The chart is a graphic representation of the varying intensities of urban components in every segment, ordered as a function of decreasing accessibility in those three levels (figures 7‐9). 9 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Figure 7 – Segments within a fixed, high accessibility level (near to 1) showing low density levels. Intensities vary and peaks have some overlapping. (Areas in north Rio: Madureira, Riachuelo, Pilares and Meier). Figure 8 – Segments with medium accessibility and higher densities of retail, economic units, built area and pedestrian movement (PM). Intensities seem to frequently peak together, but also with different levels. [Areas: Porto (downtown), Humaitá, Flamengo, Botafogo (south), Barra, Recreio (west), Tijuca, Grajaú, Taquara and Pechincha (north Rio)]. We may observe the different intensities and distributions of other urban components, displaying a somewhat similar behaviour in distributions already visible in accessibility level 11. However, if there is a certain convergence in the peaks and lows, there is also dissonance in the intensity of peaks and peaks that do not overlap. Areas in the high accessibility level (figure 9) show more convergence regarding variations and intensities. Figure 9 – Low accessibility level (range 7, from 0 to 20) contrasts with higher densities of retail, economic units, built area and pedestrians, with closer variations albeit with some strong discrepancies (such as between architectural density and other patterns in segment 55). [Areas mainly in south Rio: Urca, Gávea, Leblon, Ipanema and Copacabana; Santa Tereza (downtown); Joá (west); and Anil, Freguesia I and II (north Rio)]. As implied above, we call such less than perfect relations between distinct urban phenomenal layers “dissonance”. There are some visible forms of dissonance: 10 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Variations in intensities do not follow each, with distinct directions in their curves of distribution, amounting into visibly different patterns and indicating that the intensities of distinct components do not reflect each other. Differences of intensities, when layers or patterns have similar variations in their curve of distribution, but differences in how high are their peaks. Qualitative differences that bring distortion to their relation to other patterns – say, non‐reflected proportions between residential and retail densities. The association of certain components may also bring effects over patterns, implying “more than proportional differences” between patterns – say, why pedestrian movement would vary with higher or lower levels than expected. The extension of dissonance: how many patterns show evident differences in distribution. Ruptures in the relation of patterns – say, as residential densities that should be reflected in the intensification of retail, but find other forces getting in the way, like tendencies to residential segregation apparent in walled façades and controlled access to ground levels in buildings. Now let us return to the graphic depiction of intensities of urban components. Overall, there is a strong dissonance between accessibility and other patterns (figure 10). Areas within the accessibility range 17 have a higher dissonance, with low densities and high accessibility, reversing in the lower accessibility level, with high densities and low accessibility. What could explain such extraordinary difference? Convergence / Dissonance of Urban Pa erns 1 ACC RETAIL ECON DENS ARCH DENS PM 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 50 100 150 200 Figure 10 – The set of segments analysed in 3 of 20 ranges of accessibility, showing extraordinary differences to distributions in other patterns. Fixing accessibility levels, patterns of built form, activity and pedestrian movement reveal similarities – but also differences that seem to elude theoretical attention and resist usual explanation. This clear‐cut approach throws light on the complexities in the relation of patterns in the city, brought about by their specificities. First, we cannot consider accessibility patterns as a dimension capable of providing sufficient explanations to the complexities of the urban. Second, a common axiom in spatial theories is based on the assumption that proximity and accessibility are major forces shaping urban patterns (emphases vary from location to pedestrian movement). Convergence is assumed as visible patterns, such as densities (spatial economics) or the grid itself (space syntax). Some form of temporal evolution – as distinct urban components relate to each other and shape emergent, visible patterns – of course would be implied (figure 11). If that were the case, would the different times of urbanization of different cities or areas reveal different levels of convergence? Would older areas display more convergence of patterns? Third, contextual 11 250 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 conditions are key issues, meaning possible contingencies, from local practices to their spatialities. In Rio, geography actively shapes urban patterns. Amenities such as proximity to the sea have brought extraordinary densities to quite segregated areas in the first half of the Sec. XX (areas in the 7th range); recent radical suburbanization has drawn the accessibility core in its direction mainly in the 1980s (areas in the 17th range). Figure 11 – Pearson’s correlations between pairs of urban patterns show a complex tendency to increase, starting with 20 years (areas like Barra in west Rio and Pechincha in the north). Correlations peak in Copacabana, with interesting decrease in areas around 120 years old (Harbour and Santa Tereza) seem to be going through dissonance, perhaps due to higher accessibility than density (in case of stabilized built form), being under transformation or approaching criticality. It follows a new increase in the oldest areas analysed (Botafogo and Flamengo). So dissonance and convergence relate in time, as the complex interplay of intraurban densification through built form substitution and peripheral growth, while certain areas reach stability and others decay. Areas or whole cities may go through fast change. Criticality may bring the system to convergence, as built forms begin to be substituted in chain reactions up to higher density and activity potentials (see Krafta, Netto and Lima, 2011). Dissonance is expected also as differences in the intensities of distribution of urban components. A perfect overlapping of patterns would only be possible in a liquid world, where materially different systems could shape one another all the time. It would demand constant change in spaces and in the arrangements of organized practice as sets of urban activities performed in buildings and places, which would constantly need to change location and densities, in turn dependent on a perfect diffusion of information and optimal distribution in urban space. That would only be possible if agents were omniscient and capable of complete coordination of their collective actions, and capable of shaping the physical world accordingly. Of course each one of these conditions is ontologically impossible. These distinct urban processes fail to fully project themselves into each other – inexorably. The unfinished condition of convergence to which urban systems are tied to explain why the grid pattern cannot correlate completely with movement or any other structure: material and organizational differences in other patterns (dissonances) are at work affecting movement levels. And here we reach a second major question. If, among contingencies, bifurcations of patterns or collisions of materialities, there were causal relations leading to convergence, densities or architectural morphologies should have effects over other patterns (as well as being an accumulated projection of their effects). The effects of architecture could help to explain dissonance. If we could find and isolate them, we could get closer to an answer to the question of 12 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 what is the role of architecture in urban processes in general, and in materially fragile patterns of the social software in particular. We suggest that, rather than seen unproblematically, the relationship between patterns in the city creating process should be held as a key theoretical problem. This section offered the grounds of a theory of such relationship. We have argued that the possibility of a strong relation between configuration and socioeconomic processes depends on the level of convergence/ dissonance of a number of different urban patterns in time. The hypothesis of convergence of patterns in the form of the city allows an investigation into the effects and role played by architecture in local socioeconomic processes – another key question in the study of society‐space relations. But only if we were able to distinguish them from the actual effects of the grid. 3. BEYOND STREET NETWORKS: THE EFFECTS OF ARCHITECTURAL MORPHOLOGY A methodology developed to identify the effects of architectural morphology leads to what has been defined, since Jacobs’ seminal work, as “urban vitality”, a set of qualities that would lead to proper levels of disposition of social and microeconomic qualities. Of course we must define precisely what is urban vitality. We approach it through notions of “sociality” and “microeconomic life”, and take levels of static and pedestrian use and interaction in public spaces, and the numbers of retail and commercial activities as their proxies (figure 12). Figure 12 – Relations between variables in the hypothesis of effects of architectural morphologies The hypothesis of distinct effects of distinct architectural patterns over social processes around them has in fact been a rather intuitive notion shared by many architects and planners for decades. It is latent there in Jacobs’ criticism of modernist architecture and its detachment from the channels of streets. We explore this possibility addressing architectural characteristics on an analytical basis: differences in the position of buildings, continuity of façades in blocks and distance from pedestrian lanes (figure 13). Other variables include activities (especially those which rely heavily on accessibility and movement), density (number of 13 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 units per area) and so on. We addressed such urban elements and modelled their relations in a way to find out whether architectural differences matter or not in urban vitality – i.e. either confirm the possibility of effects and verify their extent, or reject usual intuitions that buildings may have to do with what happens in their urban surroundings. Either way, that would mean helping to solve a central puzzle in architectural practice and in the urban performance debate. Figure 13 – Different morphologies in Rio de Janeiro: the CBD, Jardim Oceanico and Barra da Tijuca, respectively. (Images: Google Street View and Google Earth) 14 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 We defined three types of buildings based on usual morphological variations and planning prescriptions: (a) “contiguous buildings” with no setbacks on the sides of the plot; (b) “detached buildings” with large setbacks in relation to the plot’s boundaries; (c) “hybrid types” or buildings with no setbacks in the first one or two floors and detached upper floors (figure 8). We also assess other aspects of building morphology in relation to dependent socioeconomic variables. Figure 14 – Three architectural types: a) “contiguous buildings”; (b) “detached buildings”; (c) “hybrid types”. Independent spatial variables: building and plot ARCHITECTURAL TYPE CONTIG PLOT: FRONT BOUNDARY DETACHED HYBRID FENCE WALL OPEN BUILDING AND PLOT PLOT WIDTH FAÇADE WIDTH FRONTAL SETBACK UPPER FLOORS AREA [m2] PLOT [m2] AREA FAÇADE | HEIGHT | DENSITY GARAGE ENTRANCES DOOR DENSITY [GROUND] WINDOW DENSITY [GROUND] WINDOWS DENSITY [UPPER] 15 STOREYS UNITS Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Independent and dependent socioeconomic variables: building and plot ACTIVITY: GROUND AND UPPER LEVELS RESIDENTIAL RETAIL SERVICE RETAIL + SERV INSTITUT Dependent social variables: pedestrian behaviour PEDESTRIAN MOVEMENT INTERACTING GROUPS MOVING STATIC STATIC INDIVIDUALS Our hypothesis is that, properties like accessibility and density being equal, type (a) would respond more adequately to both sociality and microeconomic life in the local scale, as they respond directly to public spaces and allow an intense relation between activities and pedestrians through contiguous façades. Our hypothesis also points to the possibility that type (b) would have opposite effects to (a) as a function of how large are the setbacks from the plot’s limits, distances between buildings and from buildings to pedestrian lanes. These factors would affect pedestrian levels and bring difficulties to retail activities, with potential large‐scale effects regarding urban performance, including car‐dependence. The more dominant (b) is in an urban area, the less pedestrians and retail activities would be found. Type (c) would have slighter positive performance than (a), as its configuration and façades have mixed characteristics. 3.1. Paths into the effects of architecture The research into the effect of a particular urban pattern requires a methodological experiment into possibilities of isolating them from others’. Aware of the central hypothesis of space syntax theory – the grid as the strong force – we have put the theory to use in a rather reversed way, i.e. in a way to address exactly what it deals with unproblematically (convergence/dissonance, multiplier effects, and the effects of architecture). We look for “more than proportional differences” between variations of dependent, socioeconomic variables and independent spatial variables, as in them may be found effects of architectural morphologies. We discuss now a number of paths into their identification. (a) Differential of accessibility (b) Analysis of aggregated effects (c) Accessibility ranges (d) Statistical variance a. Differential of accessibility (DAc) A first possibility is a form of compensating differences in accessibility levels. The way to do so would be finding the average accessibility levels in areas under study and redistribute differences over dependent variables such as pedestrian movement (PM), generating proxies. Proxies are compensated variables; if the grid was the only active force in shaping other patterns, i.e. if there was perfect projection of one pattern into another, these proxies should be perfectly equal (of course that could hardly be the case). Variation in proxies would show effects of other patterns, such as the distribution of architectural densities and 16 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 typologies. Such method depends on a causal relation between grid and movement, and implies interfering with dependent variables collected empirically and converting them into proxies, which would eliminate the validity of results, serving at best as a sign of effects of patterns other than the grid. b. Analysis of aggregated effects The effects of architectural morphology over local socioeconomic processes may be recognizable only as aggregated effects emerging from scale. The intensities of socioeconomic variables in urban areas with dominance of different types could be compared. Comparative studies could show whether the dominance of a type coincides with consistent intensities in socioeconomic variables. Of course accessibility and densities are still issues, so areas should either have same or similar levels or be monitored statistically, in order to achieve proper comparisons. If variations are consistent, factors of relation between them could be found as strong signals of socio‐spatial relation and urban convergence – one potentially useful for further research and planning. c. Accessibility ranges A third way into assessing impacts of architectural typology on urban vitality is based on the definition of ranges of accessibility found in a number of areas in a city. Within every range, the variation in built form types and socioeconomic variables would be statistically monitored. d. Statistical variance A final alternative was to build a regression equation for each dependent variable using our independent variables as its terms. This method has the advantage of simplifying the sample selection and allowing for the inclusion of as many independent variables as considered theoretically relevant. These variables (along with accessibility proxies and density) can then be tested for their significance in explaining the variations in the dependent variables. However, using all the urban system as population – from the most integrated to the most segregated streets – tends to bring a greater variance in dependent variables. Differences in vitality tend to be very high in these situations. This variance, in turn, requires a very large sample if results are to be statistically significant. From these methodological possibilities, we explore below the third path, in connection with statistical techniques pointed out above – the simpler and apparently most effective way to verify our hypotheses, but not free from methodological challenges. We discuss now a number of dilemmas, starting with difficulties in isolating a particular ratio of accessibility since accessibility is a relational property operating at a number of scales and ratios simultaneously. Other problems include choosing between different measures of accessibility (integration or choice); the entity of representation of street morphology (axial lines, continuity lines or segments); accessibility ratios, and how to isolate typology from density. 4. ISOLATING ARCHITECTURAL VARIABLES: ACCESSIBILITY RANGES In order to test our hypotheses, we devised a method to select samples of spaces based on similar accessibility levels, allowing us to assess variations in architectural morphology and their potential influence on movement and other features related to urban vitality (static use of streets, interaction levels in public spaces, diversity in activities) in these areas. The idea is quite simple: supposing we have a typical linear relationship between accessibility and movement, we can see that not all variation in movement is 17 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 explained by accessibility (figure 15). That would only be true if we had perfect correlation between the two variables, which a large number of studies have consistently shown not to be the case. Thus, if we select a narrow range of accessibility values, we see that it corresponds to a not so narrow range of movement values. Differences in accessibility and movement are more than proportional. This greater variation in movement is not explained by accessibility alone, thus suggesting that (a) dissonances between patterns are at work, and (b) other urban features may play a role in explaining them. Therefore, if we analyse streets and their morphologies from the particular set within such narrow accessibility range, we can assume that differences in movement are nearly accessibility‐free – limited, of course, by the efficacy of the method employed to describe accessibility. That way, we can compare the variations in movement rates with variations in typological characteristics and examine if a correlation can be found, while minimizing the effects of street configuration. Movement Figure 15 – Concept scheme for accessibility ranges as a method for isolating the effects of the grid on movement, one a key feature of urban vitality. In other words, we are trying to maintain key independent variables constant (namely accessibility, but also density levels, as we shall see below) while examining variations in typology and vitality in order to see if any pattern of correlation emerges. While the overall logic of this method is simple, other important methodological questions must be addressed so the problem can be adequately handled. These questions are discussed below. How to describe – and neutralize – accessibility? Controlling methodologically the influence of accessibility in urban vitality features is of course not an easy task, since it is pervasive, potentially combined with other urban patterns and partially immersed in contingencies. Space syntax measures seemed to be particularly adequate tools here, since they have been successful in providing a detailed account of spatial differentiation in a variety of situations, and at the fine scale we were interested in. But this led to a dilemma: which measure should be used? A survey of the literature does not show obvious advantages for neither integration nor choice, measures most used to represent accessibility, in what regards their ability to post‐dict movement. Hillier and Iida (2005) show a 18 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 slight advantage to the first, but the best correlations were achieved by various integration radii, making it impossible to know beforehand which of them would yield the best results. Having similar correlations to movement patterns, the problem turned to substantive and operational implications to our research problem. To examine these aspects, several maps were produced using the two measures and their variations (radii and spatial units – axial line or segments). A striking difference between integration and choice measures became immediately apparent when they were classified in ranges. While integration ranges tend to manifest themselves as clusters of lines, choice ranges are scattered all over the urban system (figure 16). This makes sense when we examine each measure in detail. Integration is concerned with proximity, represented as the mean topological depth of a node to all other nodes of the system. Thus, two lines connected to each other cannot have mean depths differing by more than 1 step. So, even in an extreme situation where we have a dead end line connected to a highly integrated one, the first will not be much deeper than the latter and, therefore, it will be almost as close as the more integrated one in relation to all other lines. Choice, on the other hand, is concerned with through movement, since a line with high choice value indicates that this line falls in a great number of shortest paths between all pairs of lines in the system. Thus, the dead end street cited above would have a very low choice value, because it does not fall in any shortest path. The more integrated line it is connected to, on the other hand, is more likely to fall on many shortest paths, and therefore have a high choice value. Differences in choice values between two adjacent lines can be – and often are – much higher than the difference between integration values for the same lines. Figure 16 – Integration or choice? Maps a, b, c show top 5% quantiles for high, medium and low choice values; d, e, f show top 5% quantiles for high, medium and low integration values – in Rio de Janeiro. The lines with highest choice measures cover most of the urban system, whereas the integration core is much more concentrated on a particular area. When we look at the medium and low levels, the difference remains the same: lines lose continuity and are distributed throughout the system, while integration keeps clusters of lines together. 19 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 The use of different radii in integration measures had similar results. Local integration ranges were more scattered over the system than more global ones (figure 17). Moreover, this concern about the radius to be adopted raised a new aspect of the problem: analysis showed that no single radius would be able to fully account for configurational influences on movement rates, since at every location there is always the influence of multiple accessibility radii acting simultaneously. If we were to minimize properly the effects of grid‐related accessibility patterns, we should examine more than one radius and one accessibility level. Figure 17 – The problem of accessibility radii: (a) Integration RR; and (b) R3. The third dilemma concerned the selection of the spatial entity – axial lines, continuity lines or segments (figure 18). Although continuity lines are powerful in detecting the more global structure of the system, they are less adequate to capture the local patchworks we are interested in. The other two spatial entities are more closely related, with segments bringing slightly more fragmented results. Figure 1 –The problem of spatial entities: differences in clustering based on axial lines, segments and continuity lines, respectively (integration RR) So, we have three dilemmas sharing a same underlying issue: the degree of clustering or scattering of spatial units analysed within a same accessibility range. This could lead to two methodological approaches. On the 20 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 one hand, we could have populations (and samples, consequently) closer to each other, in a way that resembles a neighbourhood‐like pattern of locations. On the other hand, we would have a scattered set of locations from which to draw the sample, and thus would end up with a disperse set of streets to be analysed quite independently from its neighbourhood. In this sense, our concern with typological influences on urban vitality involves a degree of synergy among adjacent locations in motivating the appropriation of public spaces, both for movement‐related and static pedestrian use and activities. Our hypothesis is that architectural morphologies in general, and typological dominance in particular, may play a role in stimulating both to/from and through movement by offering more destination points and a path with more vibrant and diversified sets of activities and interactions in public spaces. Therefore, our set of proxies to accessibility includes integration as measure, axial lines as spatial entities, and a radius equivalent to the mean depth of the most integrated axial line in an urban system (RR integration – see Hillier 1996). Local accessibility radii must be explicitly considered as an independent variable and its influence on dependent variables can be tested statistically as degrees of significance in the regression equation. This way, accessibility patterns are held as constant as possible within a number of ranges, allowing us to focus on local characteristics in architectural and urban morphologies. Which accessibility ranges? In order to study the effects of architectural morphology on urban vitality, we selected three RR integration ranges from which to draw the samples, representing high, medium and low accessibility sets of streets. The precise range may be chosen according to the presence of architectural typologies of interest in their sets, as long as the associated range of values is kept narrow, in order to avoind harming the validity of results and allow comparisons. If, on the one hand, it seems clear that highly integrated areas have the property of establishing a synergy with certain types of buildings to create and sustain vitality, on the other hand it is unclear whether low integration areas can reach urban vitality even if they have supposedly adequate typologies. In other words, there may be a threshold of integration above which the typology may create vitality. However, the opposite may also prove to be the case: architectural types may not materialize potential for vitality generated by accessibility as far as support for activities is concerned. This seems to be a growing problem in Brazilian cities now. If this complementary hypothesis is correct, the potential for vitality latent in the grid may or may not emerge, depending on typological characteristics. The selected ranges in our study of Rio de Janeiro can be seen on figures 19 and 20. 21 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Figure 19 – High (red), Medium (blue) and Low (green) integration axial lines. Figure 20 – Histogram for the distribution of streets according to integration values: percentiles were defined in ranges of 5% in values, generating 20 categories based on natural breaks. Rio de Janeiro has a long tail of segregated streets, which led to choose the seventh range to represent low integration. This method should allow us to examine whether the overall accessibility of an area may interfere with the potential of architectural types and their morphological characteristics to foster urban vitality. The final definition of the set of axial lines to be included dealt with other independent variables: other things being equal, denser environments tend to have higher movement rates, as it implies more potential users, pedestrians and activities for the same amount of public space. We opted for a method statistically able to 22 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 relate accessibility ranges with factorial design, enabling the selection of axial lines tied simultaneously with density ranges as guides for sampling areas for empirical study (figure 21). Figures 21 – Density variation: red [high]; orange [medium]; yellow [low density] in sectors from the 2010 Census (source: IBGE). 4. RIO DE JANEIRO: ASSESSING THE EFFECTS OF ARCHITECTURAL FORM ON URBAN VITALITY In order to define the set of axial lines to be analysed empirically, we divided areas defined through accessibility ranges in sectors with a minimum number of segments, and picked randomly a sample statistically appropriate. Although we opted for axial lines for measuring accessibility, our unit of information is broken down to segments, allowing us to relate them to density sectors. Our study involves twenty‐four areas in Rio de Janeiro. A number of segments should be analysed in each combination of accessibility and density ranges (figure 22). Figure 22 – Areas in Rio de Janeiro arranged in combinations of density and integration (RR) levels. 23 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Figure 23 – Selected accessibility ranges (axial lines) overlapping residential density patterns (underlying census tracts). On the right, the twenty‐four randomly selected areas for empirical study. Sampled areas should also contain the architectural types under analysis, leading us to exclude some of the areas. Low densities meet a large number of low integration segments in the sample areas, just as medium densities meet medium integration – they are signs of natural convergence. The fact that we could find within our accessibility ranges only nine segments with high density and high integration show dissonance between patterns – especially in newer areas in north Rio, where the accessibility core has moved to due to fast urban expansion. A final map (figure 23) depicts the intersection of all three variables. We present now preliminary results from these twenty‐four areas, with 250 segments. We analysed 1574 plots within the accessibility range 7 (1121 contiguous, 310 detached, 24 hybrid types, with 248, 21 and 9 retail or service activities on their ground level, respectively); 1772 plots within range 11 (1358 contiguous, 225 detached, 51 hybrid types, with 230, 34 and 9 retail or service activities); 828 plots within range 17 (580 contiguous, 200 detached and 3 hybrid types, with 115, 13 and 0 retail and service activities). Considering the possibility of differences in dissonance levels active in different accessibility ranges, we kept the statistical analysis in ranges and also considered the data set as a whole. Data is still raw at the moment we submit this paper. Nevertheless, our analysis shows interesting trends of urban vitality variables regarding architectural types and their features. Table 1 summarizes the matrix of 43 architectural and socioeconomic variables analysed for range 7. 24 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Contig Detach Hybrid Façade Continuity Frontsetback Wall Fence Open Door dens Plot: front boundary Doors and windows Densities Pedestrian variables Window dens Arch dens Econ dens PM Static groups Static indiv Activity 0.321 ‐0.336 0.098 0.411 Static groups 0.321 ‐0.462 0.145 0.421 Static indie 0.406 ‐0.414 0.061 0.462 ‐0.418 ‐0.472 ‐0.190 0.623 0.680 0.723 ‐0.384 ‐0.501 ‐0.087 0.582 0.437 0.501 0.468 0.648 1 0.548 0.628 0.355 0.356 0.548 1 0.776 Resid1 Architectural type Retail + Service1 0.414 ‐0.442 0.169 0.368 Diversity Contig Detach Hybrid ‐0.405 0.439 ‐0.205 ‐0.305 Retail1 0.291 ‐0.316 0.147 0.351 0.419 ‐0.449 0.179 0.262 1 ‐0.983 ‐0.051 0.453 ‐0.983 1 ‐0.132 ‐0.453 ‐0.051 ‐0.132 1 0.021 ‐0.394 ‐0.460 ‐0.111 0.555 0.500 0.683 0.264 0.467 0.142 ‐0.584 ‐0.525 ‐0.453 ‐0.385 ‐0.453 ‐0.271 0.659 0.611 0.487 ‐0.278 ‐0.491 ‐0.190 0.642 0.568 0.511 ‐0.204 ‐0.442 0.092 0.397 0.395 0.338 ‐0.309 ‐0.423 0.237 0.276 0.545 0.285 0.331 0.418 ‐0.217 ‐0.285 ‐0.562 ‐0.289 ‐0.134 0.010 ‐0.102 0.060 0.112 0.035 0.376 0.500 0.628 0.776 1 ‐0.280 ‐0.346 ‐0.678 ‐0.640 ‐0.564 0.372 0.390 0.796 0.671 0.598 0.341 0.413 0.736 0.652 0.618 0.221 0.236 0.326 0.500 0.459 0.059 0.158 0.321 0.439 0.406 ‐0.075 ‐0.158 ‐0.336 ‐0.462 ‐0.414 0.092 0.008 0.098 0.145 0.061 Table 1: Accessibility range 7 (low integration values) – Pearson’s correlation coefficient for 101 segments. The eleven areas in this range are mostly in south Rio, including the iconic Copacabana, Ipanema and Leblon, but also four newer areas in the west. It is very interesting to notice that detached and contiguous buildings have a nearly symmetrical and inverse correlation with pedestrian variables and microeconomic activities, contiguous types being systematically coincident with socially positive distributions. Other features like façade continuity, smaller frontal setbacks, open front boundaries, door and window densities, along with architectural density (built area per plot area) and economic units density (number of families and businesses per 100m segment) also tend to coincide systematically with PM variables and activities. Also, activities such as retail and retail plus service on the ground level (proportion of presence per segment, measured in percentages) have interesting relations with PM variables (0.796 for retail and PM; 0.671 for static interacting groups and retail), whereas residential activities on the ground level show negative correlations. A measure of microeconomic diversity3 applied shows similar behaviour in the segments analysed (0.326 with PM; 0.5 with static interacting groups and 0.459 with static individuals). Architectural types seem to show consistent behaviour with architectural features – namely, contiguous buildings correlate positively with door density (0.545), and negatively with frontal setbacks (‐0.309) and frontal wall (‐0.423). Detached buildings show inverse correlations with the same features, whereas the hybrid type shows a nearly neutral behaviour. Most importantly, architectural features show interesting correlations with pedestrian and activity variables (0.723 for window density and PM; 0.680 for door density and PM; 0.659 for open plots and retail; 0.623 and 0.582 for open plots, PM and static interacting groups respectively; 0.683 for window density and static individuals). In turn, frontal walls show negative correlations with these variables. As we have seen, areas within this accessibility range also display a strong convergence of urban patterns. We were now able to assess it more in detail. 3 We used an “entropy index”, a measure of heterogeneity regarding the proportion of different types of activity, varying from 0 (full homogeneity – only one type of activity in the segment under analysis) to 1 (full heterogeneity, where the segment is occupied by all types of activities in the same proportion). 25 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 There are interesting differences from now on: higher accessibility levels coincide with lower correlation levels regarding architectural types and features. Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Static groups Activity Static indiv Resid1 Retail1 Retail + Service1 Architectural type Diversity Contig Detach Hybrid Contig ‐0.037 0.198 ‐0.087 0.231 ‐0.262 ‐0.209 0.005 1 ‐0.938 ‐0.358 Detached ‐0.063 ‐0.241 ‐0.046 ‐0.132 0.115 0.120 ‐0.084 ‐0.938 1 0.012 Hybrid 0.275 0.222 0.374 ‐0.309 0.446 0.278 0.212 ‐0.358 0.012 1 Façade Continuity 0.061 0.172 ‐0.084 0.217 ‐0.288 ‐0.226 0.047 0.620 ‐0.511 ‐0.410 Frontsetback ‐0.191 ‐0.244 ‐0.004 ‐0.245 0.306 0.305 ‐0.155 ‐0.567 0.502 0.283 Plot: front boundary Wall ‐0.413 ‐0.426 ‐0.321 0.473 ‐0.346 ‐0.453 ‐0.414 ‐0.190 0.282 ‐0.214 Fence 0.216 ‐0.013 0.158 0.059 0.081 ‐0.117 ‐0.068 ‐0.202 0.091 0.339 Open 0.164 0.372 0.137 ‐0.452 0.225 0.486 0.409 0.336 ‐0.318 ‐0.110 Doors and windows Door dens 0.225 0.368 0.081 ‐0.144 0.001 0.102 0.268 0.337 ‐0.322 ‐0.104 Windowdens 0.354 0.271 0.425 ‐0.020 0.024 ‐0.067 0.070 0.148 ‐0.210 0.138 Densities Arch dens 0.239 0.263 0.319 0.031 0.078 ‐0.029 0.147 0.291 ‐0.371 0.160 Econ dens 0.571 0.278 0.406 ‐0.238 0.327 0.188 0.260 0.066 ‐0.180 0.296 1 0.412 0.464 ‐0.484 0.440 0.413 0.528 ‐0.037 ‐0.063 0.275 Pedestrian variables PM Static groups 0.412 1 0.509 ‐0.286 0.157 0.268 0.378 0.198 ‐0.241 0.222 Static indiv 0.464 0.509 1 ‐0.362 0.319 0.367 0.385 ‐0.087 ‐0.046 0.374 Table 2: Accessibility range 11 (medium integration values) – Pearson’s correlation coefficient for 104 segments in 10 areas, mainly in west and northwest Rio, but also two in the south. Architectural types have not found significant correlations with PM variables in areas within range 11, with an exception for the hybrid type; correlations with activity variables decreased, as did architectural features such as door and window densities. These areas have stronger differences, possibly related to dissonances found between its patterns or sets of urban components. Areas in the last accessibility range examined, 17, show somewhat similar results, with the exception of architectural and economic unit densities, which show significant relations with activities. 26 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Façade Plot: front boundary Doors and windows Densities Pedestrian variables Static groups Activity Static indiv Resid1 Retail1 Retail + Service1 Architectural type Diversity Contig Detach Hybrid Contig 0.061 0.284 0.202 ‐0.255 0.245 0.333 0.302 1 ‐0.963 ‐0.442 Detached ‐0.40 ‐0.284 ‐0.218 0.259 ‐0.268 ‐0.344 ‐0.302 ‐0.963 1 0.188 Hybrid ‐0.115 ‐0.110 ‐0.025 0.094 ‐0.020 ‐0.089 ‐0.119 ‐0.442 0.188 1 ‐0.076 Continuity 0.203 0.317 0.411 ‐0.349 0.254 0.391 0.257 0.379 ‐0.396 Frontsetback ‐0.105 ‐0.392 ‐0.245 0.187 ‐0.164 ‐0.181 ‐0.168 ‐0.316 0.320 0.073 Wall ‐0.459 ‐0.322 ‐0.352 0.541 ‐0.444 ‐0.559 ‐0.524 ‐0.273 0.284 0.083 Fence 0.144 ‐0.128 0.046 ‐0.088 0.199 0.118 0.072 ‐0.165 0.166 0.027 Open 0.387 0.490 0.446 ‐0.534 0.317 0.526 0.530 0.469 ‐0.483 ‐0.120 Door dens 0.173 0.139 0.423 ‐0.287 0.158 0.306 0.338 0.469 ‐0.427 ‐0.268 Windowdens 0.178 0.280 0.038 ‐0.095 0.134 0.074 0.072 0.199 ‐0.182 ‐0.134 Arch dens 0.271 0.187 0.076 ‐0.154 0.023 0.071 0.109 0.339 ‐0.333 ‐0.130 Econ dens 0.282 0.090 ‐0.001 ‐0.068 0.101 0.061 0.090 0.317 ‐0.331 ‐0.066 ‐0.115 PM 1 0.403 0.511 ‐0.684 0.565 0.652 0.598 0.061 ‐0.40 Static groups 0.403 1 0.581 ‐0.356 0.315 0.375 0.312 0.284 ‐0.284 ‐0.110 Static indiv 0.511 0.581 1 ‐0.529 0.384 0.533 0.501 0.202 ‐0.218 ‐0.025 4 Table 3: Accessibility range 17 (high integration values) – Pearson’s correlation coefficient for 44 segments in north Rio. These areas have high integration values which are incompatible with their density levels,5 a sign of dissonance in these recently expanded areas already captured in our pattern analysis. Considering 250 segments in the three ranges as a whole, however, results still hold interesting relations. Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Static groups Activity Static indie Resid1 Retail1 Retail + Service1 Architectural type Diversity Contig Detach Hybrid Contig 0.189 0.338 0.229 ‐0.132 0.074 0.153 0.233 1 ‐0.9644 ‐0.216 Detached ‐0.234 ‐0.363 ‐0.269 0.201 ‐0.174 ‐0.214 ‐0.282 ‐0.964 1 ‐0.049 Hybrid 0.149 0.061 0.128 ‐0.243 0.268 0.214 0.160 ‐0.216 ‐0.049 1 Façade Continuity 0.268 0.317 0.266 ‐0.062 0.067 0.091 0.160 0.517 ‐0.469 ‐0.222 Frontsetback ‐0.279 ‐0.321 ‐0.222 0.040 ‐0.067 ‐0.022 ‐0.165 ‐0.368 0.368 0.097 Plot: front boundary Wall ‐0.431 ‐0.420 ‐0.352 0.479 ‐0.392 ‐0.482 ‐0.426 ‐0.338 0.380 ‐0.124 Fence ‐0.041 ‐0.092 ‐0.067 0.070 ‐0.072 ‐0.122 0.026 0.023 ‐0.076 0.195 Open 0.454 0.484 0.399 ‐0.524 0.441 0.569 0.394 0.312 ‐0.310 ‐0.036 Doors and windows Door dens 0.407 0.343 0.282 ‐0.301 0.272 0.298 0.334 0.438 ‐0.433 ‐0.050 Windowdens 0.592 0.393 0.548 ‐0.256 0.268 0.251 0.176 0.226 ‐0.257 0.094 Densities Arch dens 0.440 0.323 0.374 ‐0.168 0.249 0.208 0.140 0.122 ‐0.151 0.096 Econ dens 0.622 0.311 0.443 ‐0.297 0.342 0.313 0.216 0.128 ‐0.174 0.157 1 0.495 0.587 ‐0.578 0.642 0.592 0.363 0.189 ‐0.234 0.149 Pedestrian variables PM Static groups 0.495 1 0.698 ‐0.465 0.470 0.473 0.402 0.338 ‐0.363 0.061 Static indiv 0.587 0.698 1 ‐0.449 0.485 0.488 0.370 0.229 ‐0.269 0.128 Table 4: Pearson’s correlation coefficient for 24 areas and 250 segments in Rio de Janeiro. 4 Some correlations (especially involving the hybrid type) have p‐values higher than 0.05. Average architectural densities: 40.38 (accessibility range 7); 38.72 (range 11) 19.95 (range 17). Average economic unit density: 1.04; 0.96; 0.44; building height: 4.39 floors; 3.65; 1.79. Average activity diversity: 0.37; 0.43; 0.43. Average window density: 1.26; 1.30; 0.50. Average PM: 16.50; 13.68; 7.19 pedestrians/2.5min. 5 27 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 We also analysed the sample using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, a non‐parametric measure where X and Y are related by any monotonic function. Not surprisingly, correlations increase. Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Static groups Activity Static indiv Resid1 Retail1 Retail + Service1 Architectural type Diversity Coting Detach Hybrid Contig 0.289 0.397 0.230 ‐0.242 0.178 0.260 0.246 1 0.962 ‐0.105 Detached ‐0.364 ‐0.435 ‐0.285 0.304 ‐0.226 ‐0.318 ‐0.306 0.962 1 ‐0.128 Hybrid 0.277 0.117 0.170 ‐0.227 0.174 0.217 0.214 ‐0.105 ‐0.128 1 Façade Continuity 0.424 0.420 0.316 ‐0.203 0.181 0.245 0.207 0.590 ‐0.575 ‐0.028 Frontsetback ‐0.467 ‐0.485 ‐0.346 0.248 ‐0.210 ‐0.241 ‐0.244 ‐0.519 0.536 ‐0.083 Plot: front boundary Wall ‐0.641 ‐0.506 ‐0.458 0.508 ‐0.386 ‐0.512 ‐0.414 ‐0.435 0.486 ‐0.181 Doors and windows Densities Pedestrian variables Fence 0.114 0.003 ‐0.057 0.019 ‐0.035 ‐0.060 0.049 ‐0.027 ‐0.007 0.154 Open 0.573 0.534 0.482 ‐0.550 0.445 0.586 0.485 0.474 ‐0.505 0.115 Door dens 0.408 0.336 0.321 ‐0.314 0.303 0.333 0.348 0.400 ‐0.404 0.141 Windowdens 0.500 0.410 0.276 ‐0.212 0.183 0.200 0.212 0.347 ‐0.460 0.235 Arch dens 0.485 0.371 0.237 ‐0.174 0.157 0.185 0.601 0.409 ‐0.459 0.279 Econ dens 0.550 0.370 0.294 ‐0.248 0.264 0.261 0.260 0.248 ‐0.318 0.290 1 0.626 0.578 ‐0.620 0.506 0.621 0.601 0.289 ‐0.364 0.277 PM Static groups 0.626 1 0.683 ‐0.507 0.424 0.484 0.495 0.397 ‐0.435 0.117 Static indiv 0.578 0.683 1 ‐0.546 0.493 0.567 0.468 0.230 ‐0.285 0.170 Table 5: Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient across different accessibility ranges. Spearman’s correlations reveal significant correlations also for areas in accessibility range 7, with the highest level of pattern convergence in Rio. Within this range, architectural types seem to respond well to pedestrian distribution, apparently operating in the dissonances of accessibility to other urban patterns. Pedestrian variables PM Arch type Contig Detached Hybrid 0.543 ‐0.568 0.104 Static groups 0.556 ‐0.577 0.159 Static indiv 0.550 ‐0.569 0.118 Activity Resid1 ‐0.535 0.579 ‐0.190 Retail1 0.446 ‐0.467 0.151 Retail + Service1 0.521 ‐0.572 0.208 Diversity 0.505 ‐0.530 0.132 th Table 6: Spearman’s coefficient for the 7 accessibility range. A stronger convergence of patterns is visible in these areas (among others, Copacabana, Ipanema, Leblon, in the south; Joá, Anil and Freguesisa in the northwest). What data tells us about correlations between urban structure and local dynamics in different accessibility ranges? Firstly, one could understand that correlations decrease as architectural morphologies matter less in higher accessibility levels. However, there is the problem of time and dissonance: the fact that, in Rio, the core of higher accessibility changed due to recent expansion towards north and west. So we can neither assert that distinct levels of accessibility are forces at play in reducing the effects of architecture, nor that dissonance is an exclusive factor in lowering correlations. We need to analyse more cities. 28 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 We also have started experimentations with multiple linear regression analysis, with preliminary results pointing out to combinations of urban variables, extracting 8 components, with R2=0.75 and R2 (pred)=0.67 in relation to pedestrian movement values. From this preliminary analysis, three variables seem to contribute most positively with movement, namely retail on the ground level, window density and integration R3 (also tested as monitoring variable, since we based our method on integration RR as preferred accessibility measure) – 14th, 27th and 4th columns in figure 24, respectively. Other strong variables are retail plus services, economic unit density, building height and diversity in upper floors (16th, 30th, 28th and 24th columns). The most negative variables in relation to movement are choice RR, residential activity on the ground level and garage door density (6th, 13th and 25th columns). As it seems, segments with high choice RR values in Rio are not so apropriate for pedestrians. Figure 25 plots all 43 variables analysed, aggregating those with negative and positive effects over movement. Figures 24 and 25 – Preliminary results from multiple linear regression analysis. However, we must reaffirm that these are initial analyses.6 We expect to further explore data from Rio de Janeiro, and study other three cities in Brazil – Porto Alegre, Florianópolis (south Brazil) and João Pessoa (northeast Brazil) in order to reach more consistent and precise conclusions. 5. CONCLUSION This paper investigated the nature of relations of patterns in the city. First, it intended to raise questions about major axioms of spatial approaches such as urban economics and space syntax, which correctly assume that cities are patterns of patterns – outputs of converging subsystems. Looking at the empty spaces in between visibly convergent patterns, we suggest that dissonances are as constitutive of urban dynamics as the unproblematically assumed telos of convergence. They are not mere anomalies waiting to be fixed and accommodated into patterns, but key parts of the process – as changes in direction free from ties or 6 Previous results show a strong relation between retail and commercial activities and contiguous buildings. In Barra da Tijuca, iconic area with strong dominance of detached high‐rise buildings (87.5%), only 17.2% of them support retail and commercial activities in their ground levels. In turn, only 12.5% of Barra’s are contiguous buildings, which support 42.1% of all retail activities in the area, despite the strong dominance of detached buildings. Retail and service are strong proxies for microeconomic life in the city. In this sense, detached buildings seem to coincide with the decreasing local public activities. 29 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 telos; variations at play, inherent to the relation of materialities and distinct temporalities of production involved in the emergence of urban structures and dynamics. They are always there, part and counterpart of the very same substance of pattern and dynamics of convergence. They are expressions of the differences in entities which find the status of systems in their own right; expressions of the impossibility of full synchronization, full passage from action to completely cooperated joint action, and from every event in the realm of practice to its manifestation in the physical realm of space. Second, we studied more closely certain empty spaces in between these relations – namely, between architectural form, urban structure and social dynamics – through a methodological principle derived from a well‐known theory (the apparently causal relation of accessibility and movement in space syntax), used here in a reversed way: to somehow neutralize the effects of the grid. Our study, still in an early stage, aims at investigating precisely the extension of “the social effects of architecture”, and the levels of causality and contingency involved. Results asserting or not a role for architecture in local socioeconomic processes are equally important in clarifying a challenging problem still poorly addressed on a systematic basis. We attempted to “collide” methodologically – through statistics – a large number of urban components in order to see what combinations may correspond to the chemistry of urban vitality. Although analysis is still ongoing, preliminary results seem to point to consistencies in the relation of certain architectural features and local socioeconomic variables. It also shows nearly reversed relations between different architectural types and such variables – the type more traditionally produced in cities, frequently contiguous, and architectural types that resulted from modernist morphological experimentation. Results suggest that the contiguous type is not an exclusive factor of urban vitality, as it may support both residential and commercial activities (which lower correlations with dependent variables), but is either intimately associated with or a condition for other architectural features that seem to correlate well with urban vitality – such as retail and services located close to the streets, diversity in activities, density of windows and doors, absence of frontal walls, architectural and economic unit densities. A next stage in our research is to examine distributions of variables “from within” these sets – say, within the collection of buildings with commercial activities facing the street. The study of combinations of variables may reveal complexes of associated features that could be closer to urban vitality. We search more than incidental effects possibly related to combinations of spatial features, perhaps as latent causalities only emergent through chains of associations and contexts as complexes of urban entities and properties. That would be a step towards the identification of “strings of partial causality” in the web of contingency and dissonance: answers to questions like why certain spatialities seem frequently associated with certain local social dynamics, a form of feedback more likely to be active in certain combinations than others. This work also intended to explore methodological possibilities in modelling urban processes in a way to isolate specific patterns and features, and support the diagnosis of problems in urban performance concerned with buildings, i.e. the relation between urban processes and architectural form, or what types are more efficient in supporting the diversity of activities and uses of public spaces, supporting pedestrian movement and reducing car‐dependence in cities – key issues in the urban sustainability debate. There are severe implications that would follow a study along these lines in relation to the observation of current trends in cities in Brazil and elsewhere, where types of architecture unrelated to the openness of urban life become dominating over the fabric that holds the connections of our actions together through encounter and communication. Whole areas in our cities become less and less walkable due to difficulties imposed by growing distances and the progressive disappearance of local activities that support daily life. Perhaps blinded by the visuality of architecture, architects and planners have unconsciously reproduced 30 Proceedings: Eighth International Space Syntax Symposium Santiago, PUC, 2012 spatially the perverse social logic of prejudice and fear while ignoring the systemic effects of architecture. We are concerned with forms of architecture responsible to their built environment and the public realm – beyond visuality, and aware of the vitality of their own presence in urban space and role in social life. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We would like to thank Renato Remiro, our most reliable research assistant; Hetecliphe Neto, Nathalia Gonçalves, Luisa Seixas, Paula Moreira, Taiana Milward, Thiago da Costa and Samuel Jachetti – undergraduate students from Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) and dedicated observers in our empirical study. We thank CNPq for supporting this research, and Romulo Krafta for our sustained debate. Finally, we thank Larissa Suguri, Vinicius Philot, Bruno Hoelz, Felipe Nascimento, João Folie, Marina Paganotti, Daniela Manfredi, Tainá Canivelo, Andreia Henrique, Carolina Targino, Michelle Torres, Francisco Meyer, Julia Benayon, Lais Valente, Elenice Lessa, Guilherme Siqueira, Ana Carolina Menescal, Mercedes Leal, Joana Ferreira, Lucas Faulhaber, Clara Buckley, Leonardo David, Camila Cardoso and Rafael Alves, undergraduate students who took part in a pilot study in 2010, part of a course in UFF. This work is dedicated to Bill Hillier. REFERENCES Hillier, B. 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