movimentos migratórios regionais do interior
português: quem saiu e quem entrou?
Ana Rita Jacinto !"#$%&'#'(!'(!)$*+*,-#!'#!.+-/(01-'#'(!'(!2*-,30#! !!) ,#-&4!#+# 5#$-+6*7$&-89:6
Pedro Nogueira Ramos !"#$%&'#'(!'(!)$*+*,-#!'#!.+-/(01-'#'(!'(!2*-,30#! !) ,#-&4!:+0#,*17;(9%$9:6
Resumo:
Abstract:
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JEL Codes4!ZKK
população
Códigos JEL4!ZKK
71
estudos regionais | nº 24
Introdução
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1. Metodologia
1. 1 Dados utilizados
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movimentos migratórios regionais do interior português: quem saiu e quem entrou?
1.2. Métodos de cálculo indirecto do saldo
migratório regional existentes na literatura
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73
estudos regionais | nº 24
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74
movimentos migratórios regionais do interior português: quem saiu e quem entrou?
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2. A estrutura do saldo migratório por
sexo e grupos etários: resultados,
análise e discussão
2.1. Análise do saldo migratório global
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quadro 1
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Região
População em 1991
População em 2001
Saldo Migratório
235241
238695
127902
81015
282462
139413
50801
94371
54042
128687
173216
143020
1748865
223333
221853
115325
78123
286313
138535
44803
93579
49895
127026
173646
135105
1687536
-2545
-13233
1717
2959
7094
6660
-1232
3830
-1235
1382
5292
1357
12046
Alto Trás-os-Montes
Douro
Beira Int. Norte
Beira Int. Sul
Dão-Lafões
Pinhal Interior Norte
Pinhal Interior Sul
Cova da Beira
Serra da Estrela
Alto Alentejo
Alentejo Central
Baixo Alentejo
Total
% da população *
-1,08
-5,54
1,34
3,65
2,51
4,78
-2,43
4,06
-2,28
1,07
3,05
0,95
0,69
u(,!0(&#?@*!R!:*:%&#?@*!'(!KLLK
Fonte: Censos 1991 e 2001, INE e elaboração própria
75
estudos regionais | nº 24
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76
2.2. Estrutura do saldo migratório
por grupos etários e sexo
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movimentos migratórios regionais do interior português: quem saiu e quem entrou?
quadro 2
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Região
0_4
5_9
10_14
15_19
20_24
25_29
30_34
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
Alto Trás-os-Montes
-336,6
-218,7
-258,9
-111,1
340,7
473,9
72,8
38,4
-2404
-2157
-3738,5
-3306,6
-2413,5
-1200,2
Douro
-335,5
-259,9
-448,3
-309,4
-52,9
-91,6
-245
-377,2
-1959,7
-2225,8
-3542,6
-3400,6
-2991,9
-1730
-68,6
-49
-8,5
-5,5
260,2
232
306,4
131,4
-295,6
-466,1
-936,9
-847,6
-549,3
-345,4
Beira Int. Norte
Beira Int. Sul
-113,9
-59,9
-33,4
-8,8
185,4
174
131,1
215,5
-91,1
-62,6
-320,5
-337,4
-122,2
-109,3
Dão-Lafões
-343,6
-128,6
-155,4
12,9
568,9
599,2
317,4
524
-1337,3
-1128,3
-2548
-1987,1
-1387,4
-336,2
Pinhal Int. Norte
54,1
59,9
82,9
167,2
347,8
236,5
228,9
153,7
-434,8
-293,2
-566,7
-439,6
-51,4
70,8
Pinhal Int. Sul
15,5
8,5
15,5
57,2
-2,2
27,2
42,4
-33,7
-191,4
-329,6
-509,7
-497,7
-475,1
-232,3
-127,3
Cova da Beira
10,3
40,9
-47,4
-41,4
246
153,6
51,4
187,9
-109,3
-50,9
-388,2
-393,6
-309,3
Serra da Estrela
-23,6
17,7
-19,9
25,9
12
3,5
-45,9
-4
-435
-377,8
-655,9
-635,1
-410,9
-235,2
Alto Alentejo
-60,5
-42,1
-4,5
67,7
72,3
105,1
-26,4
83,3
-158,7
-363,4
-607,3
-683
-438,4
-307,8
Alentejo Central
-36,7
43,6
49,9
58,6
243,9
238,5
357,9
260,4
62,4
59,9
-368,1
-568
85,2
102,7
Baixo Alentejo
-85,3
-70,6
-111,6
-120,3
115,8
76,6
-27,2
-25,5
-356,4
-515,8
-585,5
-877,5
-346,7
-411
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
Alto Trás-os-Montes
142,5
681
832,2
676,2
854,9
664,7
796,7
660,4
691,4
680,3
951,6
879,4
985
653,1
Douro
-342,2
-27,6
285,5
218,6
308
147
369,9
243,5
399,6
449,7
584,5
346,6
656,7
433,9
Beira Int. Norte
286,8
238,1
387,2
317,9
328,4
189,9
212,2
230,5
227,2
263,7
451
410,1
453,8
473,9
Beira Int. Sul
288,4
188,6
162,2
145,1
212,5
118,7
183,6
123,9
162,5
207,7
365,1
387,3
461,1
297,4
Dão-Lafões
802,6
944,9
1308,7
1052,3
936,6
766,8
718,1
602,8
788,2
700,4
852,5
728,9
1107,1
737,9
404
446,7
401,7
284,2
335,8
307,9
312,7
272,3
404,8
474,7
539,8
429,1
665,5
480,3
Pinhal Int. Sul
-128,9
-47,1
-4,7
14,9
31,8
26,6
108,1
47
107,3
111,7
157,4
154,8
191,6
193,6
Cova da Beira
255,3
203,6
277,8
146,4
307,4
230,2
273,7
234,3
269
237,8
305,2
269,5
355,5
262,3
Serra da Estrela
-64,9
-30,3
14,5
41,2
105,1
60,8
65,5
81,4
154,5
104,1
155,4
163
132
113,3
Alto Alentejo
74,5
97,8
73,9
34,1
98,8
56,1
100
125
225,4
225,8
287,3
242,8
528,8
445,2
Alentejo Central
449,9
365,1
369,2
246,4
293,7
253,8
236,3
245
248,5
188,3
210,8
341,5
465,9
253,3
Baixo Alentejo
136,1
82,3
211,5
120,2
212,6
92,9
256,1
202,4
246,2
182,9
356,9
363,8
471,5
337,4
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
H
M
588,3
226,3
238,4
86
147,3
121,3
205,8
141,9
173,8
206,4
103
170,4
26,8
83,1
60,5
Região
Pinhal Int. Norte
Região
Alto Trás-os-Montes
35_39
40_44
70_74
45_49
75_79
50_54
80_84
55_59
85_89
60_64
90_94
65_69
95_100
> de 100
Douro
157,9
-49,9
104,1
-223,9
86,3
-228,9
126,9
68,6
127,4
180,4
59,2
168,3
18,3
Beira Int. Norte
285,7
126,6
36,1
-59,3
-78,3
-108,8
-109,8
-116,8
-33,2
-112,5
-5,5
38
20,9
5
Beira Int. Sul
165,5
4,9
56
-101,1
0,6
-105,7
13,9
-106,7
44,5
3,4
42,5
107,9
34,9
44,9
Dão-Lafões
424,7
168,7
197
-16,3
155
41,6
255,5
214,1
239,3
249,2
90,2
218,4
36,3
98,8
Pinhal Int. Norte
334,4
188,1
118,9
11
11,6
-128,2
67,7
50,4
125,2
124,3
79,7
160,9
41,6
101,2
Pinhal Int. Sul
69,6
-50,7
16,9
-67,1
-37,9
-76,2
17,7
-90,9
-4,1
7,3
17,6
36,2
24,2
46,5
Cova da Beira
148,8
113,6
117,9
45
77,3
-5
88,2
76
54,7
81
58,5
81,4
13,2
28,2
Serra da Estrela
117,2
65,7
20
-26,9
6,1
-29
38,3
39,9
42,7
63,3
22,8
60,5
13,7
19,6
Alto Alentejo
349,6
188,1
210,4
-5,3
104,2
-87,7
112,7
-42,3
45,5
23,3
29,8
106,8
27,9
67,5
Alentejo Central
180,8
140,3
155,1
-168,8
26
-71,5
-28,1
-166,2
93
130,6
74,3
83
23,8
62,3
Baixo Alentejo
339,3
126,4
169,9
-19,5
137,4
38,5
118,8
19,5
146,7
90
91,3
91,8
16,5
57,1
Fonte: elaboração própria
gráfico 1
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estudos regionais | nº 24
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estudos regionais | nº 24
2.3. Implicações destes resultados para o Interior
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83
estudos regionais | nº 24
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References
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!2!3$!&-!3%+' 4!/&5' (&' 6&7#%&89+:' /!$*5%&(+$' (!13#%#"+$,
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<+$(!'+%" #"A-4+4&-4($+1"S(-:!+
p+*=+'#'1" Q#7/+" +' " I+''*" Y#70!" TUVVUW" q=!" 5!0#-" 4!"
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85