A.12 MERCADOS FINANCEIROS Fonte: Banco de Portugal, Banco Central Europeu, NYSE Euronext, Reuters e MSCI 2011 Mai Jun Jul Ago 2012 Set Out Nov Dez Jan Fev Mar Abr Mai (em percentagem) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Taxas de juro de curto prazo (3 meses) Média mensal 1 Euribor…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 1.43 1.49 1.60 1.55 1.54 1.58 1.49 1.43 1.22 1.05 0.86 0.75 0.69 2 Libor do USD………………………………………………..…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.29 0.35 0.41 0.48 0.56 0.57 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.47 Taxas de rendibilidade de obrigações do Tesouro (OT) (10 anos) Média mensal 3 Portugal………………………………………………….……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 9.63 10.86 12.15 10.93 11.34 11.72 11.89 13.08 13.85 12.81 13.01 12.01 11.59 4 (1) 3.12 2.98 2.79 2.26 1.87 2.04 1.94 2.01 1.86 Alemanha …………………………………………………………..…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 1.90 1.88 1.72 1.46 5 EUA………………………………………………………………..…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 3.16 2.99 2.98 2.29 1.96 2.13 2.01 1.97 1.94 1.96 2.16 2.03 1.80 4 513 (em índice) Índices de cotações de ações Fim de período 6 PSI 20………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 7 557 7 324 6 895 6 320 5 891 5 870 5 536 5 494 5 325 5 581 5 557 5 234 7 Euro Stoxx 50……………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………. 2 862 2 849 2 670 2 302 2 180 2 385 2 330 2 317 2 417 2 512 2 477 2 306 2 119 8 Dow Jones Industrial Average…………………………………..…………………………………………………………….……………………………. 12 570 12 414 12 143 11 614 10 913 11 955 12 046 12 218 12 633 12 952 13 212 13 214 12 394 9 Nikkei……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 9 694 9 816 9 833 8 955 8 700 8 836 8 435 8 399 8 803 9 723 10 084 9 521 8 543 362.3 357.4 350.3 321.6 285.8 320.7 304.2 302.3 325.9 MSCI BRIC ……………………………………………………………..…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 346.5 335.8 338.2 308.2 10 (2) (taxa de variação em cadeia - em percentagem) 11 PSI 20………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. -1.6 -3.1 -5.8 -8.3 -6.8 -0.4 -5.7 -0.8 -3.1 4.8 -0.4 -5.8 -13.8 12 Euro Stoxx 50…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. -5.0 -0.5 -6.3 -13.8 -5.3 9.4 -2.3 3.9 -1.4 -6.9 -8.1 -0.6 4.3 2011 Abr Mai Jun Jul 2012 Ago Set Out Nov Dez Jan Fev Mar Abr (taxa de variação homóloga - em percentagem) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.3 11 12 13 -1.3 Títulos de dívida denominados em euros emitidos por residentes Posições em fim de período 13 Portugal……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 15.8 19.6 16.4 15.1 12.6 11.1 9.5 6.5 2.5 1.3 -0.1 14 do qual: Sociedades não financeiras……………………………………………….…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 8.4 6.1 7.4 7.7 7.8 8.4 9.2 8.0 6.4 3.7 -0.1 2.7 2.9 -1.6 3.3 1.6 3.5 6.5 6.0 5.8 Bancos(3)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 16.9 9.3 14.8 12.9 10.6 Administrações públicas………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 13.4 18.3 13.1 11.3 5.2 2.9 0.1 -1.1 -6.6 -7.3 -8.2 -7.2 -7.7 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.4 2.6 4.1 4.1 Área do euro(4)………………………………………………………………………….…………………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………. 4.5 4.2 3.8 15 16 17 Taxas de juro de curto prazo (3 meses) - média mensal 6 4.9 Taxas de rendibilidade de OT (10 anos) - média mensal 15 em percentagem em percentagem 12 4 2 0 9 6 3 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Euribor 2012 2008 2009 Libor do USD 2010 Portugal 2011 Alemanha 2012 EUA Índices de cotações de ações - fim de período base: Dez-05=100 250 200 150 100 50 2008 2009 PSI 20 2010 Euro Stoxx 50 2011 2012 MSCI BRIC (1) Taxa de OT da Alemanha, usada vulgarmente como taxa de referência da área do euro. (2) Acrónimo que designa um conjunto de países formado por Brasil, Rússia, Índia e China. (3) Compreende os bancos, as caixas económicas e as caixas de crédito agrícola mútuo que, conjuntamente com os fundos do mercado monetário, constituem o subsetor outras instituições financeiras monetárias (OIFM). (4) Área do euro: composição de 17 países. Junho 2012 41 20 A A.12 FINANCIAL MARKETS Source: Banco de Portugal, European Central Bank, NYSE Euronext, Reuters and MSCI 2011 May Jun Jul Aug 2012 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May (in percentages) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 Euribor……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 1.43 1.49 1.60 1.55 1.54 1.58 1.49 1.43 1.22 1.05 0.86 0.75 0.69 2 USD Libor………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.29 0.35 0.41 0.48 0.56 0.57 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.47 13.85 Short-term interest rates (3 months) Monthly average Yield on treasury bonds (10 years) Monthly average 3 Portugal………………………………………………….……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 9.63 10.86 12.15 10.93 11.34 11.72 11.89 13.08 12.81 13.01 12.01 11.59 4 Germany 1.86 1.90 1.88 1.72 1.46 5 USA………………………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 3.16 2.99 2.98 2.29 1.96 2.13 2.01 1.97 1.94 1.96 2.16 2.03 1.80 4 513 (1) 3.12 2.98 2.79 2.26 1.87 2.04 1.94 2.01 ……………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… (in index) Share price indices End-of-month 6 PSI 20…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 7 557 7 324 6 895 6 320 5 891 5 870 5 536 5 494 5 325 5 581 5 557 5 234 7 Euro Stoxx 50……………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 2 862 2 849 2 670 2 302 2 180 2 385 2 330 2 317 2 417 2 512 2 477 2 306 2 119 8 Dow Jones Industrial Average…………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………… 12 570 12 414 12 143 11 614 10 913 11 955 12 046 12 633 12 952 13 212 13 214 12 394 9 Nikkei………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 9 694 9 816 9 833 8 955 8 700 8 836 8 435 8 399 8 803 9 723 10 084 9 521 8 543 346.5 335.8 338.2 308.2 10 12 218 (2) 362.3 357.4 350.3 321.6 285.8 320.7 304.2 302.3 325.9 MSCI BRIC ……………………………………………………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… (chain rate of change - in percentages) 11 PSI 20…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… -1.6 -3.1 -5.8 -8.3 -6.8 -0.4 -5.7 -0.8 -3.1 4.8 -0.4 -5.8 -13.8 12 Euro Stoxx 50…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… -5.0 -0.5 -6.3 -13.8 -5.3 9.4 -2.3 3.9 -1.4 -6.9 -8.1 -0.6 4.3 2011 Apr May Jun Jul 2012 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr (year-on-year rate of change - in percentages) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.3 11 12 13 -1.3 Euro debt securities issued by resident entities End of period outstanding amounts 13 Portugal………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 15.8 19.6 16.4 15.1 12.6 11.1 9.5 6.5 2.5 1.3 -0.1 14 of which: Non-financial corporations……………………………………………….……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 8.4 6.1 7.4 7.7 7.8 8.4 9.2 8.0 6.4 3.7 -0.1 2.7 2.9 -1.6 3.3 1.6 3.5 6.5 6.0 5.8 4.9 Banks(3)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 15 16 17 16.9 9.3 14.8 12.9 10.6 General government………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 13.4 18.3 13.1 11.3 5.2 2.9 0.1 -1.1 -6.6 -7.3 -8.2 -7.2 -7.7 4.1 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.4 2.6 Euro Area(4)………………………………………………………………………….……………………………………………………………………………………………… Short-term interest rates (3 months) - monthly average 6 4.1 Yield on treasury bonds (10 years) - monthly average 15 in percentages in percentages 12 4 2 0 9 6 3 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Euribor 2012 2008 2009 USD Libor 2010 Portugal 2011 Germany Share price indices - end of period base: Dec-05=100 250 200 150 100 50 2008 2009 PSI 20 2010 Euro Stoxx 50 2011 2012 MSCI BRIC (1) Yield on Germany treasury bonds, usually used as Euro Area reference rate. (2) A grouping acronym that refers to the countries of Brazil, Russia, India and China. (3) Includes universal banks, savings banks and mutual agricultural credit banks which, along with money market funds, are the subsector of Other monetary financial institutions (OMFIs). (4) Euro Area: fixed composition 17 countries. A 21 42 BANCO DE PORTUGAL | Boletim Estatístico 2012 USA