Cesar Zucco Jr.
Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV)
Brazilian School of Business and Public Administration (EBAPE)
Praia de Botafogo 190, Sala 532, Rio de Janeiro/RJ, 22250-900
Email: [email protected]
URL: http://www.fgv.br/professor/cesar.zucco/
Academic Appointments
• Professor:1 EBAPE, Fundação Getúlio Vargas (2013–present)
• Assistant Professor: Political Science Department, Rutgers University (2011–2013)
• Lecturer in Politics and International Affairs: Princeton University (2009–2011)
• Fellow: Program on Democracy, Yale University (Spring 2010)
• Visiting Professor: Rio de Janeiro Graduate Research Institute—IUPERJ (2008–2009)
• Fellow: Center for the Study of Democratic Politics, Princeton University (2007–2008)
Education
• Ph.D. in Political Science, University of California, Los Angeles (Sep 2007)
• Master in Political Science, Instituto Universitário de Pesquisas do Rio de Janeiro (Dec 2000)
• Bachelor of Laws, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (April 1999)
Peer Reviewed Articles
• “Presidential Success and the World Economy.” The Journal of Politics. (Forthcoming 2016,
with Daniela Campello)
• “Crafting Mass Partisanship at the Grass Roots, from the Top Down.” British Journal of
Political Science, 45(4):755–775. (2015, with David Samuels)
• “The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014).” Brazilian Political Science Review, 9(1):135–149. (2015)
• “Lulismo, Petismo, and the Future of Brazilian Politics.” Journal of Politics in Latin America.
6(3):129–158. (2014, with David Samuels)
• “The Strength of Party Labels in Brazil: Evidence from Survey Experiments.” American Journal of Political Science, 58(1):212–225. (2014, with David Samuels)
• “When Pay Outs Pay Off: Conditional Cash-Transfers and Voting Behavior in Brazil 2002–
2010.” American Journal of Political Science, 57(4):810–822. (2013)
• “Bolsa Famı́lia and the Shift in Lula’s Electoral Base, 2002–2006.” Latin American Research
Review, 48(2):3–24. (2013, with Timothy Power)
• “Legislative Coalitions in Presidential Systems: The Case of Uruguay.” Latin American Politics
and Society, 55(1):96–118. (2013)
• “Elite Preferences in a Consolidating Democracy: The Brazilian Legislative Surveys, 1990–
2009.” Latin American Politics and Society, 54(4):1–27. (2012, with Timothy Power)
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EBAPE does not currently have a tenure system
Cesar Zucco Jr.
• “Distinguishing Between Influences on Brazilian Legislative Behavior” Legislative Studies Quarterly, 36(3):363–396. (2011, with Benjamin Lauderdale)
• “Ideology or What? Legislative Behavior in Multiparty Presidential Settings” The Journal of
Politics, 71(3):1076–1092. (2009)
• “Estimating Ideology of Brazilian Legislative Parties, 1990–2005” Latin American Research Review, 44(1): 218–246. (2009, with Timothy Power)
• “The President’s ‘New’ Constituency: Lula and the Pragmatic Vote in Brazil’s 2006 Presidential
Election,” Journal of Latin American Studies, 40:29–49. (2008)
• “Where’s the Bias? A Reassessment of the Chilean Electoral System,” Electoral Studies, 26:303–
314. (2007)
Book Chapters and Other Publications
• “Party-Building in Brazil: The Rise of the PT in Perspective,” in Levitsky, S., J. Loxton, B.
Van Dyck, J. Dominguez (eds.) Challenges of Party-Building in Latin America. Cambridge
University Press. (Forthcoming 2015, with David Samuels)
• “Estabilidad Sin Raices: La Institucionalización del Sistema de Partidos Brasileño” In Mariano
Torcal (org.) Los problemas de la Institucionalizacion de los Sistemas de partidos en America
Latina, Ch. 3, Anthropos de Siglo XXI, Barcelona. (2015)
• “Understanding the Increasing Popularity of Brazilian Presidents,” In Needell, Jeffrey (org.)
Emergent Brazil: Key Perspectives on a New Global Power, University Press of Florida, Gainesville,
Ch.3. pp.51–67 (2015, with Daniela Campello).
• “Conjuntura desfavorável, estrutura nem tanto.” Valor Econômico, Jun/6/2014
• “O Congresso por ele mesmo.” UFMG Press, Belo Horizonte. (2011, co-edited with T. Power)
– “Introdução: Ouvindo os Próprios Parlamentares” p.11–36. (with Timothy Power)
– “Esquerda, Direita e Governo: A ideologia dos partidos polı́ticos brasileiros” p.37–60.
– “Conclusão: Avaliando o Congresso Brasileiro” p.305–308. (with Timothy Power)
• “A esquerda em um paı́s democrático, globalizado e desigual: Uma análise do Brasil de Lula”
In Moreira, Carlos et al (orgs.), La Nueva polı́tica en América Latina: rupturas y continuidades.
Trilice, Montevideo, p.97–124. (2008, with Daniela Campello)
• “O Eleitorado Governista.” O Globo, Nov/7/2006, p.7
Work in Progress
• “Trading Old Errors for New Errors? The Impact of Electronic Voting Technology on Party
Label Votes in Brazil” (with Jairo Nicolau, under review)
• “Chance, Competence, and the Limits of Democratic Accountability in Latin America” (with
Daniela Campello, book project)
• “Conditionality and Support for Redistributive Transfers: Results from Observational and
Survey-Experimental Studies” (with J.P. Luna & G. Baykal, working paper)
• “Partisans, Anti-Partisans and Voting Behavior in Brazil” (with David Samuels, working paper)
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Cesar Zucco Jr.
Recent Competitive Fellowships and Grants
• CNPq–Brazilian Ministry of Science and Technology. “Bolsa de Produtividade em Pesquisa”
2015–2018, Level 2 (R$ 39.6k)
• Global Development Network. “Global Research Competition” 2013 (with J.P. Luna and Gokce
Baykal). “Are conditional government transfers a politically acceptable form of redistribution?”
($ 37.5k)
• Inter-American Development Bank. Grant for collaborative panel survey project with Fabiana
Machado and Lucio Rennó. “Poverty, Inequality and the Political Prospects of Social Policies
in Brazil” 2014 ($ 60k)
• Institute for Advanced Study. Fellowship for Membership 2013–2014 (Declined )
• Rutgers University. Research Council Grant 2012–2013 ($ 3k)
• Rutgers University. Faculty Research Grant 2012–2013 ($ 23k)
• Inter-American Development Bank. Grant for collaborative panel survey project with Fabiana
Machado and Lucio Rennó. “Poverty, Inequality and the Political Prospects of Social Policies
in Brazil” Fall 2010 ($ 40k)
• Yale–MacMillan Center for International and Area Studies. Program on Democracy, Postdoctoral Fellowship Spring 2010
• CNPq–Brazilian Ministry of Science and Technology. Junior Postdoctoral Fellowship 2008–09
• Princeton University–Center for the Study of Democratic Politics. Postdoctoral Fellowship 2007–
08
• Oxford University–Nuffield College. Prize Postdoctoral Research Fellowship 2007 (Declined )
• UCLA–Graduate Division. Dissertation Year Fellowship 2006–07
• UCLA–Graduate Division. Mentored Teaching Fellowship 2005–06
• Social Sciences Research Council. International Dissertation Research Fellowship 2005–06
Recent Invited Talks
• “Presidential Success and the World Economy,” Political Science Department, University of
Miami, November 2015
• “Petismo e Antpetismo,” Seminar on Partidarismo, Militantismo e Comportamento Eleitoral no
Brasil, Graduate Program in Sociology and Politics, UFSC, March 2015.
• “Triangulating the Electoral Effects of Bolsa Famı́lia: A study of the last four Brazilian presidential elections,” II International Conference on Comparative Presidential Studies and Presidentialism, Graduate Program in Political Science, UFMG, Nov 2014.
• “Panorama Eleitoral para Outubro 2014,” Seminar on the Brazilian 2014 Presidential Election,
Instituto Brasileiro de Economia, July 2014
• “The Ideology of Brazilian Political Elites Since Redemocratization,” Workshop “The Brazilian
Political Elite: Ideology, Values and Policy Preferences, Oxford University, Jan 2014.
• “International economic conditions, presidential approval ratings, and electoral scenarios” Seminar “The Brazilian Outlook 2014: Elections, Economy and Mega-Events,” University of Notre
Dame London Global Gateway, Jan 2014.
• “Por que algumas formas de redistribuição são mais populares do que outras?”
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Cesar Zucco Jr.
– Graduate program in Sociology, UFRGS, Nov. 2013
– Graduate program in Social Sciences, UNICAMP, Nov. 2013
• “O que explica o sucesso (reeleição e popularidade) de presidentes?” FGV-CEO, Nov. 2013
• “A Influência do Cenário Econômico Externo na Eleições Presidenciais,” Roundtable on the
Brazilian Presidential Election of 2014, Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, Oct. 2013
• “International Determinants of Presidential Performance in Latin America,” Inter-American
Development Bank, June 2013
• “The World Economy and the Popularity of Brazilian Presidents,” Emergent Brazil Conference,
University of Florida, Feb. 2013
• “On Redistribution and Backlash”
– Columbia University, SIPA Brazil Seminar, April 2012
– Cornell University, LASP, Feb 2012
– Senarc—MDS, Brazilian Social Development Ministry, July 2011
– IADB, Brazilian Electoral Panel Study Workshop, May 2011
– Columbia University, ILAS Workshop “Beyond Poverty Alleviation?: Evolving Welfare
Regimes And Declining Inequality in Post-Neoliberal Latin America,” April 2011
• “The Crafting of Mass Partisanship in Brazil,” University of Oxford, Workshop “PT from Lula
to Dilma,” Jan 2012
• “Conditional Cash Transfers and Voting Behavior”
– Princeton University, CSDP, Feb 2011
– Rutgers University, Dec 2010
– Claremont Graduate University, Nov 2010
– Columbia University, Comparative Politics Seminar, Oct 2010
– University of New Orleans, Sep 2010
Recent Conference Papers
• APSA — American Political Science Association, San Francisco, Sep 2015:
– “Exogenous Shocks and Misattribution of Responsibility for Economic Performance: Results From Survey Experiments” (with Daniela Campello)
– “Partisans, Anti-Partisans and Voting Behavior in Brazil” (with David Samuels)
• ECPR — European Consortium for Political Research, Glasgow, Sep 2014: “Conditionality and
Support for Government Transfers: Results from Observational and Experimental Studies”
• APSA — American Political Science Association, Washington, Aug 2014: “Conditionality and
Support for Government Transfers: Results from Observational and Experimental Studies”
• ABCP — Brazilian Political Studies Association, Brası́lia, Aug 2014: “The New Meaning of Left
and Right in Brazil: An Analysis of the Ideology of Political Elites since Redemocratization”
• IPES — International Political Economy Society, Claremont, Oct 2013: “Merit, Luck, and
the Exogenous Determinants of Government Success” (non-presenting author, with Daniela
Campello)
• ECPR — European Consortium for Political Research, Bordeaux, Sep 2013: “The Power of
Partisanship in Brazil: Observational and Experimental Evidence” (with David Samuels)
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Cesar Zucco Jr.
• IPES — International Political Economy Society, Charlottesville, Nov 2012: “It’s the (World)
Economy, Stupid! International Economic Cycles and Presidents’ Popularity” (non-presenting
author, with Daniela Campello)
• APSA — American Political Science Association, New Orleans, Sep 2012: “Does Conditionality
Increase Support for Redistributive Transfers?” (cancelled due to hurricane Isaac)
Recent Teaching
• Fundação Getúlio Vargas: Statistics 1B—Intro to Causal Analysis (Graduate, 2014-2, 2015-2);
Comparative Political Institutions (Graduate, 2014-2, 2015-1); The Politics of Inequality and
Poverty Reduction (Graduate, 2014-1, 2015-1)
• Rutgers University: Introduction to Causal Analysis (Graduate, Spring 2012); Comparative
Political Institutions (Undergraduate, Fall 2011 & 2012); and The Politics of Inequality and
Poverty Reduction (Undergraduate, Fall 2011 & 2012)
• Princeton University: WWS-501 The Politics of Public Policy (Team taught, Graduate, Fall
2009 & 2010); POL-350 Research Methods in Political Science (Undergraduate, Fall 2009 &
2010)
• IUPERJ (Graduate Level Teaching): Short course on “Research Design in Political Science”
(2011); Latin-American Politics (2009);
• Mini-course on “Empirical Research Designs in Political Science” (Graduate): Federal University
of Rio Grande do Sul (Graduate, Nov 2013); CEFOR, Câmara dos Deputados (April 2013);
Instituto de Estudos Sociais e Polı́ticos (July 2011); Federal University of Piauı́ (April 2007)
Languages
• Portuguese: Native Speaker
• English: Highly Proficient
• Spanish: Proficient
Service
• Referee for American Journal of Political Science (5), American Political Science Review (2),
Análise Social, Brazilian Political Science Review (2), British Journal of Political Science, Comparative Political Studies (2), Comparative Politics (2), Dados (4), Economic Journal, Electoral
Studies, Journal of Latin American Studies (4), Journal of Politics, Journal of Politics in Latin
America, Latin American Politics and Society (3), Latin American Research Review (2), Legislative Studies Quarterly (2), Party Politics, Polı́tica y Gobierno, Political Analysis, Political
Behavior, Revista de Estudios Sociales, Revista de Sociologia e Polı́tica, Opinião Pública (5), Revista Uruguaya de Ciéncia Polı́tica, Studies in Comparative International Development, World
Development, and World Politics (2)
Academic References
• Prof. Barbara Geddes (UCLA)
[email protected]
• Prof. Octavio Amorim Neto (FVG-RJ/Brazil)
[email protected]
• Prof. Robert Kaufman (Rutgers)
[email protected]
Last updated: November 10, 2015
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