Land Planning by Default: the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Cerrado Fabiano Toni Third Lemann Dialogue Agricultural and Environmental Issues in Brazil November 7-8, 2013 University of Illinois Universidade de Brasília Centro de Desenvolvimento Sustentável Two Dimensions – Scale and Access • Where • Amazonia vs Cerrado • • • • Who Land use in the Cerrado Modernization Conflicts Protected Areas and Indigenous Lands in Amazonia and the Cerrado PA (km2) IL (km²) Biome Area (%) Amazonia 593,438 1,028,643 4,199,000 38,6 Cerrado 60,712 96,416 2,040,040 7,7 Deforestation in Amazonia and Cerrado Km2/Year % of Biome/Year 30000 0.70 0.60 25000 0.50 20000 0.40 Amazônia 15000 Cerrado 0.30 10000 0.20 5000 0.10 0 0.00 Ano 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: INPE, MMA, ICMBIO 2007 2008 2009 Ano 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Protected Areas in Amazonia and Cerrado (Ha) Cerrado Amazonia Before 2005 2005-2013 5,881,907 189,329 96,88% 3,12% 36,243,581 23,100,261 61,07% 38,93% Traditional Farming Systems in the Cerrado Cattle ranching Extractivism Swidden agriculture Chapadas High mobility Source: ELOY (2013), adapted from Galizoni (2005) Flood plain agriculture “Modernization” • 1980s: Agricultural modernization, land privatization • 2000s: Environmental regulation, PAs • 2010s: Compensation; payments for env. services? Eucaliptus Soybean Charcoal Traditional System ‘surrounded’ Irrigated agriculture Land planning policy • • • • Market-driven Exclusionary Increases inequality Undemocratic