SATELLITE RAINFALL RETRIEVAL s VALIDATION: Spatial distribution OF statistical parameters during winter and summer season Wagner Flauber A. Lima1 ; Éder Paulo Vendrasco1 ; Daniel Alejandro Vila1,2 1Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – CPTEC/INPE 2CICS/ESSIC-NOAA, University of Maryland College Park [email protected] ABSTRACT This work examines different methods for estimating rainfall over South America during winter and summer season for the period 2009-2011. The algorithms analyzed in this study are: Hidroestimator, 3B42RT, CMORPH, and GSMAP. The evaluation of the algorithms was performed by comparing them with rain gauges data. The analysis showed that 3B42RT and CMORPH methodologies got better performance than others for the studied period. Another important observation was the poor performance in estimating precipitation in northeastern Brazil. RESULTS INTRODUCTION Modelos Correlação - Verão Precipitation is one of the most important atmospheric components of the earth-atmosphere system as it affects the environment in various ways and thus society. It is among the most difficult parameters to measure, due to its high variability in time and space. One of the main ways to get information about the precipitation on a global scale is using satellite-based rainfall retrieval techniques. Correlação - Inverno The aim of this study is to evaluate different methods for estimating daily rainfall obtained from different sources: Hidroestimador (Vicente, 1998), 3B42RT (Huffman et al., 2003), CMORPH (Joyce et al., 2004) and GSMAP (Aonashi et al ., 2009) over South America for the summer and winter seasons of the period 2009-2011. Figura 1 - Distribuição espacial da correlação entre a precipitação observada e a estimada para o inverno (base) e verão (topo) dos anos de 2009, 2010 e 2011. Modelos POD - Verão DATA AND METHODOLOGY For the development of this work, we use daily totals from different regional networks and synoptic stations reported regularly by the "Global Telecommunication System" (GTS), interpolated on a grid of 0.25 ° latitude and longitude over South America and daily accumulated precipitation from four rainfall estimation models: POD - Inverno 3B42RT, CMORPH, GSMAPT e HIDROESTIMADOR; Winter and summer season for the period 2009-2011. Typical parameters for assessing rainfall retrievals are: Probability of Figura 2 - Distribuição espacial da Probabilidade de detecção (POD) dos modelos de estimativa de precipitação para o inverno e verão dos anos de 2009, 2010 e 2011. Detection (POD), False Alarm Ration(FAR) and correlation (COR). Assuming Modelos FAR - Verão N the total number of cases and a, b, c and d set for two data sets A (model) and B (gauge) as follows: a a POD = a+c ; Positive hit Precipitation in A & B b False Alarme Precipitation in A only c Surprise Precipitation in B only d Positive Negative No precipitation b FAR = a+c ; COR = FAR - Inverno ∑( A − A ).( B − B ) ∑( A − A ) .∑( B − B ) i i 2 i Figura 3 - Distribuição espacial do Falso Alarme (FAR) dos modelos de estimativa de precipitação para o inverno e verão dos anos de 2009, 2010 e 2011. i RESULTS 2 The models showed that the best performances were for 3B42RT and CMORPH, mainly to the Southern and Southeastern Brazil. Another important fact was the poor performance of the modelsin the northeastern region, in both seasons. Analyzing the fields of correlation (Fig. 1) for the four models, the best performances were obtained for the winter season, especially in the South and Southeast of Brazil. References It is observed that the best values of POD (Fig. 2) are obtained for the summer season mainly in northern Brazil for all models. However, the best results were obtained for the model 3B42RT. Joyce J.,J. Janoviak,P. Arkin,P. Xie: CMORPH:A Method that Produces Global Precipitation Estimates from Passive Microwave and Infrared Data at High Spatial and Temporal Resolution. J.Hydrom.,5,487–503,2004. The models showed low values for FAR (fig. 3) during the summer season, especially in Southern and Southeastern Brazil. In general, rainfall retrieval models show similar results in both seasons for FAR index. Vicente, G. A.: The operational GOES infrared rainfall estimation technique. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79(9), 1883-1898, 1998. Huffman, G.J., R.F. Adler, E.F. Stocker, D.T. Bolvin, and E.J. Nelkin, 2003: Analysis of TRMM 3-Hourly MultiSatellite Precipitation Estimates Computed in Both Real and Post-Real Time. Combined Preprints CD-ROM, 83rd AMS Annual Meeting, Poster P4.11 in: 12th Conf. on Sat. Meteor. and Oceanog., 9-13 February, Long Beach, CA, 6pp, 2003. K. Aonashi, J. Awaka, M. Hirose, T. Kozu, T. Kubota, G. Liu, S. Shige, S. Kida, S. Seto, N. Takahashi, and Y. N. Takayabu, 2009: GSMaP passive, microwave precipitation retrieval algorithm: Algorithm description and validation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 87A, 119-136. The authors acknowledge Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPQ) for financial assistance (Process nº 476599/2010-5).