CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD
12 October 2011
OECD Conference Centre, Paris
Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report:
What well-being and sustainability measures?
Towards New Well-Being and Sustainability Measures
Initiatives taken by National Statistical Offices
Eduardo Pereira Nunes
[email protected]
Economist, Professor at PUC-Rio University and at MBA of Fundação Getúlio Vargas
Former President of Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE)
Paris, 12 October 2011
Brazilian GDP
1st Youth Wave
2nd Youth Wave
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
2
Economic and Demographic Evolution
2009
1973
1948
GDP 1947/2010
1963
1981
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
1986
3
Private housing units distribution by classes of monthly nominal
income per capita (in real minimum wage of July 2010)
Brazil – 2000/2010
35.0
%
30.0
28.7
25.3
25.0
21.9
20.0
20.0
18.5
16.7
17.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
9.2
7.0
4.6
6.0
4.3
5.3
5.2
5.1
5.1
0.0
Minimum Wage
2000
2010
Source: IBGE. 2010 Population Census. (Preliminary Results of the Universe)
(1) Including housing units that received only benefits.
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
4
Minimum wage and inflation 2000-2010
(July 2000 = 100)
400
IPCA
350
Minimum Wage
337.7
300
250
200
189.6
150
100
50
0
jul-00
jul-01
jul-02
jul-03
jul-04
jul-05
jul-06
jul-07
jul-08
jul-09
jul-10
Months
Source: IBGE and Ministry of Labour.
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
5
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
Selic Anual
20
IPCA 12 Meses
Jan/11
24
Aug/10
Mar/10
Oct/09
May/09
Dec/08
Jul/08
Feb/08
Sep/07
Apr/07
Nov/06
Jun/06
Jan/06
Aug/05
Mar/05
Oct/04
May/04
Dec/03
Jul/03
Feb/03
Sep/02
Apr/02
Nov/01
Jun/01
Jan/01
28
Interest Rate and ICP - 12 Months - %
16
12
8
4
0
6
GINI Index and Inflation
(1981 a 2010)
0.70
215
0.68
250.0
242
0.66
200.0
0.64
164
0.62
0.60
0.58
0.56
0.54
105
0.58
96
0.54
0.63
0.60
0.59 0.59
80
150.0
0.60
0.59
0.58
100.0
0.57
0.55
0.57
0.54
0.53
0.56
0.52
22 10
6 8 13
8 6 3
6 4 6
50.0
0.0
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.50
5
0.52
Gini
Inflação
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
7
Unemployment rate (%)
Espanha
18
15
12
9
Espanha
França
Brasil
França
Itália
Itália
6
Brasil
3
0
2000
2001
2002
Brasil
2003
2004
França
2005
2006
2007
Itália
2008
2009
2010
Espanha
Source: IMF
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
8
Public Debt (% of GDP)
50.0
43.9
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
38.4
42.8
40.4
2010
51.5
2009
51.7
Source: Central Bank.
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
9
Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units
by housing income per capita – Brazil – 2010
Brasil
100
Homens
Mulheres
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0.02
0.015
de 0 a 1/4 sm
0.01
0.005
mais de 1/4 até 1 sm
Fonte: IBGE. Censos Demográficos 2000 e 2010 .
0.
mais de 1 até 2 sm
0.005
mais de 2 até 3 sm
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
0.01
0.015
mais de 3 até 5 sm
0.02
mais de 5 sm
10
Brasil
Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units
by housing income per capita – 2010
100
Homens
Mulheres
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0.
0.005
de 0 a 1/4 sm
Fonte: IBGE. Censos Demográficos 2000 e 2010 .
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
0.01
0.015
0.02
mais de 5 sm
11
Piauí
Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units
by housing income per capita – 2010
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
12
Regional economy, population, poverty
and environmental data
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
13
Municipality of Tailândia – Pará state (2000 – 2010)
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after
the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
14
Municipality of Tailândia - wood extracted between 2001/2006
2001
2006
Forest area: 3,117.82 Km2 = 70.37%
Anthropical area: 1,312.49 Km2 = 29.63%
Forest area: 2,544.83 Km2 = 57.44%
Anthropical area: 1,885.48 Km2 = 42.56%
Using forest inventory data - an average of 262.37 m3/h - one can estimate the volume of wood
harvested in the municipality between 2002/2006 as 15 million m3.
Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report
15