Scientific Activity Report 2008-2012
SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
Research Group Title: Stochastic and Statistical Applications in Life Sciences (SSALS) - RGAlentejo-117-1418
Current group composition: 10 integrated PhDs Members: Group Coordinator -Russell Alpizar-Jara
(RAJ), Anabela Afonso (AA), Carlos Braumann (CB), Dulce Gomes (DG), Dulce Pereira (DP), Gonçalo
Jacinto (GJ), Manuel Minhoto (MM), Manuela Oliveira (MO), Paulo Infante (PIS), Patrícia Filipe (PF), 3
Collaborating PhD Members: Ana Cantarinha (AC), João Filipe Monteiro (JM)- Univ. of Brown, USA, and
Georgiy Bobashev (GB)- RTI USA, and 10 PhD Students Collaborating Members: Clara Carlos (CC) who
completed her PhD this year (2013), Manuela Larguinho (MLA) expecting to defend her PhD thesis this
year, Inês Sousa Dias (ID), Fernando Ceia (FC), Nuno Brites (NB), Mafalda Lira (MLI), Sandra Lagarto (SL),
Md. Abdus Salam Akanda (ASA) who is an ERASMUS MUNDUS PhD student at University of Évora and
lecturer from University of Dhaka in Bangladesh, Renata Teixeira (RT) and Manuel do Carmo (MC).
Research of SSALS group focused on Stochastic Processes and Statistical Modelling with Applications to
Life Sciences. New insights and cross-disciplinary research collaboration (projects), supervision of postgraduate students (20 PhD theses underway and also various masters theses), scientific communications
and related activities, organization of scientific activities, international publications, public awareness
dissemination, participation in scientific societies, editorial and refereeing activities, and integration of
international collaborators in group composition are also undergoing. Following previous
recommendations by the Advisory Board members, SSALS group made great efforts focusing on two
main lines of research with specific tasks:
A) Stochastic Processes and Applications
A1) Population and Individual modelling in random environments
A2) Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modelling
B) Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis
B1) Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation
B2) Multivariate Analysis and Experimental Designs
B3) Quality Control and Survival Analysis
During the period in consideration, the number of group members has increased, involving international
collaborators and more PhD students. Group members are also participating in various collaborative
research projects. This expansion and the proliferating participation in research activities have
necessarily brought new ideas, complementing and strengthening the current lines of research, and
promoting collaboration among group members. In parenthesis we indicate group members
participating in primary activity (but not exclusively) and related work on:
A1) Population and Individual modelling in random environments (CB, PF, CC, SL, NB) in collaboration
with C. Roquete from ICAAM-U.E.
-modelling individual growth in random environments: estimation, prediction and optimization.
- asymptotic optimization of profit per unit time for SDE fishing models;
-qualitative analysis of SDE population growth models with Allee effects;
-effect of model incorrect specification on extinction times of SDE pop. growth models;
-study of multivariate transversal SDE models of human mortality rates (with correlations) and
applications to Portuguese data;
-stochastic modelling on the effect of environmental variability in epidemiology;
-study of SDE epidemic models of dengue.
A2) Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modelling (GJ, DG, PF, MLA, CB) in
collaboration with J.C. Dias, ISCAC Business School, Coimbra, and with C. Nunes, ENSP, UNL.
-modelling telecommunication systems, internet traffic analysis with sampling, inversion problems in
queuing theory;
-integer-valued time series models, extreme value theory applications to sports data records;
Modelling tuberculosis control and their determinants, space-time clustering and HIV/AIDS
modelling
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Scientific Activity Report 2008-2012
SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
-option pricing and hedging for alternative models, computational methods for the option price,
hedging and the Greek measures
B1) Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation (RAJ, AA, JM, FC, MLI, ASA) in
collaboration with J. Jiménez, University of Jaén, Spain, T. Marques (FCUL and Univ. Saint Andrews,
Scotland), and G. Bobashev, RTI International, NC, USA.
- assessment of distance sampling estimation methods, methods for uneven terrains; minimum
descriptive length principle for point transects;
-Bayesian estimation for combined sampling methods;
-generalized estimating equations in capture recapture models;
-applications to Epidemiology and Medical Sciences.
B2) Multivariate Analysis and Experimental Designs (MO, AC, DP, MM) in collaboration with Mª F.
Medeiros (CEGF-UA), S. Mejza & I. Mejza (Poznan Univ. Poland).
-optimization and risk theory models with applications (forestry, medicine, genetics, etc.)
-development of environmental indexes in agricultural zoning
-comparison of JRA and AMEMI models
B3) Quality Control and Survival Analysis (PIS, ID, MC, RT) in collaboration with G. Silva (IST-UTL,
Lisbon) and various colleagues from University of Évora.
- Quality Control and Risk Analysis, comparing sampling methods in quality control;
- Industrial and financial credit, risk modelling, data analyses various experimental designs;
- model development for spatio-temporal survival analysis, applications to healthcare and life
science studies.
Main Achievements
Global Indicators
Description
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
PhD theses under the supervision of integrated members
1
1
2
3
1
Publications in international peer reviewed journals
8
2
5
6
15
Publications in international edited book (peer reviewed articles)
17
Edited international book
1
Book chapters
1
1
1
Industry research contracts
4
1
1
Research contracts with government bodies
8
9
10
10
14
MSc theses under the supervision of integrated members
1
2
2
7
4
Undergraduate research training
3
5
1
Articles in national book chapters
1
6
Articles in national peer reviewed conference proceedings/journals
8
1
2
5
Books: (2010 is a national edited texbook)
1
2
1
Participation in international conferences
32
31
20
27
34
Participation in national conferences
14
19
13
23
38
Invited International (conference or seminars)
5
8
2
7
2
Invited National (conference or seminars)
2
8
2
2
7
Organization of conferences, workshops and related activities
4
7
4
12
8
1
1
Other research outputs
Software
2
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SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
Advanced training: PhD Thesis completed
1. Bravo, J. M. V. (2008) Tábuas de mortalidade comtemporâneas e prospectivas: modelos estocásticos,
aplicações actuariais e cobertura do risco de longevidade. Doctoral thesis, Universidade de Évora. (cosupervised by Carlos Pereira da Silva and Carlos A. Braumann). Currently Assistant Professor at University of
Évora, Department of Economics.
2. Anibal Areia. (2009) Indíce de Estrutura e Séries emparelhadas de Estudos. Doutoramento em Matemática,
Universidade de Évora. (Supervisor: Manuela Oliveira, Co-Supervisor: J. Tiago Mexia. Currently Adjunct
Professor at the Politechnical Institute of Setubal, Portugal.
3. Anabela Cristina Cavaco Afonso. (2010). Amostragem por distâncias: efeito da distribuição espacial e
adaptação para terrenos montanhosos. Doutoramento em Matemática, Universidade de Évora. Supervisor: R.
Alpizar-Jara. Currently Assistant Professor at University of Évora, Department of Mathematics.
4. Francisco Carvalho. (2010). Famílias Estruturadas de Modelos em Cummutative Orthogonal Block Structures.
Doutoramento em Matemática, Universidade de Évora. Co-Supervisors: M. Oliveira and J. T. Mexia
(FCT/UNL). Currently Adjunct Professor at the Politechnical Institute of Tomar, Portugal.
5. Gonçalo João Costa Jacinto. (2011). Modeling and Performance Evaluation of Mobile Ad Hoc Networks. UTLIST, 2011. (Currently tenured track Assistant Professor at U.E.) Supervisors: Pacheco (IST) & Antunes
(UAlg). Currently Assistant Professor at University of Évora, Department of Mathematics.
6. João Filipe Gonçalves Monteiro. (2011). “Captura-Recaptura e Transectos Lineares: Uma Abordagem
Bayesiana”. Doctoral Program in Mathematics. Universidade de Évora, Evora, Portugal. Supervisor: AlpizarJara. (Currently Statistical Consultant, MA, USA, and Pos-doc at University of Brown, Department of
Epidemiology)
7. Patrícia Andreia da Silva Filipe. (2011). “Equações diferenciais estocásticas na modelação do crescimento
individual em ambiente aleatório”, Doctoral Program in Mathematics, Universidade de Évora. (Currently
tenured track Assistant Professor at U.E.) Supervisor: Braumann. Currently Assistant Professor at University
of Évora, Department of Mathematics.
8. Ana Cantarinha. (2012). Modelação dos incêndios florestais através dos modelos colectivos da teoria do
risco. Doutoramento: Matemática na Universidade de Évora. Co-supervised: João T. Mexia, FCT/UL e José G.
Borges, ISA. and M. Oliveira, U.E.
Group members have participated in the following Government/Organization contract research.
We note that some of these research contracts also involve Industry Participation as indicated below.
2008
CRUP - Acções Integradas Luso-Espanholas, E-100/07 (2007, 2008) - Distance sampling in mountain
ungulate populations. Team members: Russell Alpizar-Jara (coordinator for Portugal) and Anabela
Afonso. € 1500 euros (exclusively for travel).
2008
CRUP - Acções Integradas Luso-Francesas F-43/06 (2006, 2008): Taking individual heterogeneity in
mortality risks into account in demographic studies of wild animal populations. Coordinator (Portugal):
Russell Alpizar-Jara. Team member: João Monteiro. € 1500 euros (exclusively for travel).
2008
POSC/EIA/60061/2004, IntM2S, Internet traffic measurements, modelling and statistical analysis
(Instituto de Telecomunicações and Instituto Superior Técnico), financed by FCT, 2005-08. Team
member: Gonçalo Jacinto.
2008
Research network Euro-FGI, Design and engineering of the future generation internet (Instituto de
Telecomunicações and Instituto Superior Técnico), financed by VI Framework Program European
Union, 2006-08. Team member: Gonçalo Jacinto.
2008-10 PTDC/AGR CFL/64146/2006 - Decision support tools for integrating fire and forest management
planning.€ 123123, 2007-10. PI: José Guilherme Borges (ISA-UTL)., Team member: Manuela Oliveira.
€ 2000 (total for 3 years), 2007-2010.
2008-10 PTDC/MAT/64297/2006 (in 2010: €14700) - FCOMP-01-0124-FEDER-007388) – Stochastic differential
equation modelling of the growth of individual organisms in a random environment. Team members:
Carlos A. Braumann (PI) and Patrícia Filipe. Other members: Nuno Brites (BI). €49000 (total for 3
years), 2007-2010.
2008-10 PTDC/MAT/69850/2006 – Linear mixed models. Tm: M. Oliveira. PI: JT Mexia (UNL). €40000, 2007-10.
2008-10 PTDC/SDE/68126/2006 – Forecasting Portuguese population: the special and spatial contribution of
mortality and migration. PI: Mendes (CIDEHUS-UE), Team member: Dulce Gomes. € 58342 (total for 3
years), 2007-2010.
2009-10 PTDC/CED/66574/2006 - From Quality Teaching to the Academic Sucess: a longitudinal study about
the student's perspectives on the relationships between effective quality teaching and academic
success. PI: Jorge Bonito, Team member: Manuela Oliveira. € 94476 (total for 3 years), 2007-2010.
2009-10 PTDC/CED/69529/2006 - Implementation and Dissemination of Active and Cooperative Learning in
Engineering Education. Tm: C. Carlos. PI: I. Carvalho da Fonseca (ISEL/IPL). €82.584, 2007-10.
2009-10 Funding by the General Direction for International Cooperation of Cape Verde, General Direction of
Planning of Cape Verde and United Nations - Análise socio-económica das familias que vivem da
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Scientific Activity Report 2008-2012
2010
2010-12
2009-12
2009-12
2011
2011-12
2011-12
2011-12
2011-12
2011-12
2011-12
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
apanha e extracção de inertes nas regiões costeiras da Praia, Ribeira Grande, São Domingos, Santa
Cruz, São Miguel Tarrafal, São Salvador do Mundo, São Lourenço e Santa Catarina. Team member:
Manuela Oliveira
FCT-CAPES - Análise bayesiana de sistemas estocásticos complexos: aspectos metodológicos e
aplicações. Tm: I. Dias. PI: C. Paulino and D. Gamerman (CEAUL-IST and UFRJ). 2010-11.
PTDC/EIA-EIA/115988/2009 - Traffic analysis, modelling and measurements for the management of
the future Internet (AWARE2). Tm: G. Jacinto. PI: R. Valadas (IT). € 93873. 2010-12.
PTDC/BIA-BEC/105110/2008 - PERSIST - The role of matrix permeability for metapopulation
PERSISTence in complex agricultural landscapes. The cases of Cabrera (Microtus cabrerae) and
southern water voles (Arvicola sapidus). (ICAAM-U.E.) €190714. 2010-13. PI: António Mira. Team
member: Russell Alpizar-Jara.
PTDC/CPE-CED/104884/2008 - RED Rendimento Escolar e Desenvolvimento: um estudo longitudinal
sobre os efeitos das transições em alunos Portugueses. PI: António Neto, Team member: Manuela
Oliveira. €126535 (total for 3 years), 2010-2013.
PIHM/GC/0073/2008- Towards the improvement of women's skills in the tourism sector. Profiting from
the vertical mobility for ethic and economic purposes. Tm: Brites. PI: C. Costa (UA). € 90000, 20082011.
Automated acoustic identification of bat species, Bat Conservation International, Inc. (BCI), PI: Jacinto
(U.E.) € 2232,92, 2011-2012.
Convénio/Acordo FCT–Bilateral Action Between Portugal and Slovak, Cooperação Científica e
tecnológica FCT/Eslováquia, 2011/2012–Processo 441.00 Eslováquia. Oportunidade de implementação
de ferramentas de Sistemas de Apoio à Decisão na gestão florestal, Tm: Oliveira. PI: Borges (ISA). €
4000, 2011-2012
FAPESP Thematic Project- Assessing control of epidemics using mathematical and computer models. :
UNICAMP – IMEC /15098-0 project Campinas University, Brazil. €158000, 2011-16. PI: Hyun M. Yang.
TM: Braumann, Alpizar-Jara.
FP7-PEOPLE-2010-IRSES/269257. ForEAdapt-Knowledge exchange between Europe and America on
forest growth models and optimization for adaptive forestry. Marie Curie International Staff Exchange
Scheme. Tm: Oliveira. PI: Garcia (ISA). € 516600, 2011-2014.
PTDC/MAT/115168/2009- Dynamics of epidemiological spreading- €36584 ($5400 for CIMA), 2011-13.
PI: Nico Stollenwerg (CMAF,U. Lisboa) + U. Évora (FCT project). TM: Braumann.
PTDC/SAU-ESA/81240/2006- Modelos de Classes Latentes em Saúde Tropical. Tm: Brites. PI:
Gonçalves (IHMTl-UNL). €66544, 2008-2012.
PTDC/SAU-SAP/116950/2010. Controlo da Tuberculose Pulmonar em Portugal numa perspectiva
espácio-temporal: determinantes, tendências e previsões da incidência em unidades geográficas.
Contributo para um programa optimizado. 118 564€, 2012-2014. TM: Dulce Gomes e Patrícia Filipe. PI:
Carla Nunes (ENSP-UNL).
GesPe: PI: Manuela Azevedo, Instituto Português do Mar e Atmosfera. TM: Brites.
NETPERSIST. Análise de redes na identificação de limiares críticos de conectividade para a persistência
de metapopulações em paisagens agrícolas complexas. FCT funded. PI. António Mira. University of
Évora. TM: Alpizar-Jara.
Oportunidade de implementação de ferramentas de Sistemas de Apoio à Decisão na gestão florestal”
apresentado no âmbito do Convénio de Cooperação entre a Slovak Research and Development Agency
e a Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia. Investigador Responsável: José Guilherme Borges.
Coordenação: Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Technical University of Zvolen, Eslováquia. TM:
Oliveira.
Violência, abuso, negligência e condição de saúde dos idosos, PI: Manuel Lopes (UE) – Direção Geral
da Saúde (Alto Comissário da Saúde) Portugal. TM: Pereira.
Industry contract research
-Cooperation Agreement between Univ. Évora and RAIZ – Instituto de Investigação da Floresta e Papel.
Population dynamics modelling of Gonipterus scutellatus and Anaphes nitens interaction. Coordinator: Russell
Alpizar-Jara. Two master students were involved. (2005-2008)
-Research network Euro-FGI, Design and engineering of the future generation internet (Instituto de
Telecomunicações and Instituto Superior Técnico), financed by VI Framework Program European Union, 200608. Team member: Gonçalo Jacinto.
-Project POSC/EIA/60061/2004, IntM2S, Internet traffic measurements, modelling and statistical analysis
(Instituto de Telecomunicações and Instituto Superior Técnico), financed by FCT, 2005-08. Team member:
Gonçalo Jacinto.
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FCT project PTDC/AGR CFL/64146/2006, described above, involves collaboration with the following industrial
entities (2008-2010):
Fundação para a Faculdade da Ciências; Autoridade Florestal Nacional, Raiz - Instituto de Investigação da
Floresta e do papel, Portucel; Associação Florestal Vale do Sousa; ALTRI-Silvicaima
Organization of conferences, workshops and related activities
In addition to the regular research seminar series organized jointly between the Research Centre and the
Department of Mathematics, our group members have organized the following scientific events:
International scientific conferences
2010 Computational and Mathematical Population Dynamics 3 (Bordeaux, France, May 31-Jun 4, 2010, joint
DESTOBIO 5, Mathematical Population Dynamics 9) – CB: Organizing Committee.
2011 XXV Asepelt 2011- Congreso Internacional de Economia Aplicada, Santander, Spain, June 8-11, 2011,
CB: Scientific Committee.
2011 8th European Conference on Mathematical and Theoretical Biology (Krakow, Poland, Jun 28-Jul 2, 2011,
joint with Annual Meeting of the Society of Mathematical Biology) – CB: Scientific Committee.
2012 CIM International Conferences Mathematics of Planet Earth 2013- CB: Scientific Committee.
International workshops
2008 Workshop Day on Dynamical Systems in Biology (Évora, March 7, 2008). CB: Organizer.
2008 Workshop "Estimating Animal Abundance" (WEAA), Évora, Portugal, July 7-9 2008 (sponsored by Centro
Internacional de Matemática). RAJ: President, AA and JM: Organizing Committee.
2009 4th Workshop on Statistics, Mathematics and Computation (Lisbon, 2009): Carlos Braumann: Scientific
Committee
2011 AGORA- Advancing Mediterranean Forest Research Capacities. Workshop related to project FP7 REGPOT-2009-2 / 245482, 30th September to 3rd October, 2010. Hammamet, Tunisia. MO co-organizer.
2011 Forest management planning in Slovakia with advanced decision support tools. Workshop 27th, October
2011. MO co-organizer.
2011 Predictive and simulation modelling by Georgiy Bobashev from RTI International, Durham, NC USA.
University of Évora, 4-5 November 2011, MM & RAJ organizers.
2011 Sampling Elusive Wildlife Species: Accounting for Detection Probability, Murdoch University, July 11-13,
2011, RAJ co-organizer.
2011 5th Workshop on statistics, mathematics and computation: Methods and applications. July11-12,
Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal. MO – Member of Scientific Committee.
2012 Occupancy Modeling and Estimation (Short-course), lectured by Professor William Gould Applied Statistics
Program, New Mexico State University, USA, May 12, 2012. (Organizer: Alpizar-Jara)
2012 Workshop SEDA2012: Sampling and Experimental Designs with Applications / Universidade de Évora.
June 26th, 2012. http://www.seda2012.uevora.pt (Organizers: Pereira, Afonso, Alpizar-Jara)
2012 Workshop “Linear Statistical Inference, Operations Research and its Applications”. Universidade de Évora.
13 February. (MO: member organizer)
2012 Workshop “Statistical Inference in Linear Models”. Universidade de Évora. April 27th. (MO: member
organizer)
2012 6th Workshop on statistics, mathematics and computation and 3rd Portuguese. Polish workshop on
honour of Professor Dinis Pestana. July 3-4, Universidade da Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal. (MO:
Scientific committee: Oliveira).
National scientific conferences
2008 XVI Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, Vila Real, Portugal, Oct. 2008. CB:
Congress President; Scientific and Executive Committee; Proceedings Editorial Committee.
2009
XVII Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (Sesimbra, 2009) - CB: Conference
President, Scientific Comittee President, Co-editor of Selected Papers by Springer
2010 XVIII Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (S. Pedro do Sul, Sep 29-Oct 2, 2010) –
CB: Congress President, Scientific Comittee President.
2011 XIX Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (Nazaré, Sep 28-Oct 1, 2011). CB: Congress
President and Scientific Committee President.
2012
XX Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, September 26-29, 2012, Porto. (CB:
Member of the Scientific Committee)
2009 23º Encontro do Seminário Nacional de História da Matemática (University of Évora, 2010) - PIS:
Organizing Committee
2008 XV Jornadas de Classificação e Análise de Dados, Lisboa, Portugal, Mar 2008. CB: Scientific Committee.
2009 XVI Jornadas de Classificação e Análise de Dados (Faro, 2009) - CB: Scientific Committee.
2010 XVII Jornadas de Classificação e Análise de Dados - JOCLAD 2010 (Lisboa, Mar 25-27, 2010) – CB:
Scientific Committee.
2011 XVIII Jornadas de Classificação e Análise de Dados JOCLAD 2011, Vila Real, Apr 6-9, 2011, CB: Scientific
Committee.
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Scientific Activity Report 2008-2012
2012
2010
Other
2009
2009
2009
2011
2011
2011
SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
IV Congresso da Associação Portuguesa de Demografia, 12 to 13 September. (PIS: Member of
Organizing Committee)
XI Congresso da Associação da Educação Pluridimensional e da Escola Cultural. Integrado em “DA
EXCLUSÃO À EXCELÊNCIA: CAMINHOS ORGANIZACIONAIS PARA A QUALIDADE DA EDUCAÇÃO.
Universidade de Évora. Évora 16 a 18 de Setembro25 de Novembro. – MO: Organizing committee.
Formação pedagógica dos docentes no Ensino Superior (Évora, 2009) - MO: Organizing Committee
A Qualidade no Ensino Superior exigências e limitações (Évora, 2009) – MO: Organizing Committee
Recreational Mathematics Colloquium I (University of Évora, 2009) - PIS: Organizing Committee
2º Campeonato de Ouri de Évora, University of Évora, 25-05-2011, PIS: Organizing Committee.
Risk and multicriteria analysis. An application to natural resources management. University of Évora. 15
March 2011. MO organizer.
Game C.S.I in Serious Games - Ferramentas lúdicas ou pedagógicas?, University of Évora, 12-05-2011,
PIS & DG Development and Application of case study.
Internationalization
Internationalization and interdisciplinary collaboration have been promoted by establishing cooperative and
bilateral agreements, by participating in European mobility programs, such as SOCRATES/ERAMUS and MARIE
CURIE, by participating in networking projects, and by organizing and participating in international scientific
conferences and workshops (see global indicators). Group members are also active in editorial and refereeing
international activities and participating in scientific societies.
2008
2008
2008-11
2008-12
2008-12
2008-12
2008-12
2008-11
2008-12
2008-12
2008-12
2009-12
2009
2009
2010-12
Cooperation within Research network Euro-FGI. Design and engineering of the future generation
internet: GJ
Univ. Extremadura, Badajoz, Spain: E. López visit PIS to work on quality control.
Foreign/international societies cooperation w/ SPE: CB President, RAJ Board Member, and PIS VP Gen.
Assembly.
CB: CEIES (Europ. Union statistical advisory Council) member (2008); Elected member of International
Statistical Institute (2009). President of European Soc. Math. & Theor. Biology, 2009-12 (member since
2006-); Jury member of Reinhart Heinrich Doc. Thesis Award; Board member European Reg.
committee (Bernoulli Society), 2008-12; Member "Conselho Fiscal" Intern. Center of Mathematics
(CIM) 2009-12.
5 years Agreement on Academic and Cultural Cooperation between University of Évora and University
of Costa Rica. An specific Agreement has being signed to purse inter-departmental collaborations from
these Universities: RAJ
5 years Research Agreement between University of Évora and University of Campinas, Brazil: RAJ, CB
(research/post-graduate teaching; Portuguese coordinators: CB and/or RAJ): Univ.Fed. Minas Gerais,
Univ. Estad. Campinas (Brazil). E.C. Oliveira & H. Yang gave seminars at CIMA; preliminary joint work
with CB on dengue epidemic stochastic model.
Univ. Jaén, Spain, Dep. Biol. Animal, Biol. Vegetal e Ecol. Contacts : J. Pérez Jiménez (visits to work
with RAJ, AA, JM), E. Serrano. North Carolina State Univ. (Raleigh, NC, USA): K. Pollock & T. Simons
visited in July for WEAA, C. Smith. (RAJ).
Univ. Paul Sabatier, Toulouse III (France), UMR-CNRS 5174 Lab.Evolut. Diversité Biol.: E. Cam visited
to give seminar and work with RAJ and JM.
Participation in bilateral agreements: Socrátes/Erasmus Teaching Mobility : Poznan University of Life
Sciences, Poland (DP), University of Jaén, Spain (RAJ).
Research visits: Univ.Joensuu (Finland), Univ.Politécnica Madrid (Spain) & Univ. Santiago Compostela
(Spain), Mathematical Institute Zielona Gora (Poland) ; Mathematics and Statistics, University of
Maryland; Penn State School of Forest Resources; University of Cape Verde – MO.
Refereeing and editorial activity: CB -Math. Biosc., J.Theor. Biology, Theor. Pop. Biology, Math. &
Comp. in Simulation, etc., Zbl. Math. Reviewer; RAJ: J. Appl. Ecol., J.Wildlife Manag., Marine Mammal
Sciences, J. An. Biodiversity and Conservation; PIS – Rev. Bras. Biometria; DP - Journal of Statistical
Computation and Simulation. GJ: Next Gen.Internet Networks 08, CB & RAJ: COMPSTAT 08.
Editorial Activity: RAJ is Associate Editor of Journal of Animal Biodiversity and Conservation, CB is CoEditor of Perspectives section of Journal of Mathematical Biology.
FCT Project PTDC/MAT/64850/2006 – Linear mixed models. PI: João Tiago Mexia, Team member: MO
– cooperation between FCT/ Universidade Nova, University of Zielona Gora (Polónia) and University of
Beira Interior.
Project funded by General Direction for International Cooperation of Cape Verde, General Direction of
Planning of Cape Verde and United Nations - Análise socio-económica das familias que vivem da
apanha e extracção de inertes nas regiões costeiras da Praia, Ribeira Grande, São Domingos, Santa
Cruz, São Miguel Tarrafal, São Salvador do Mundo, São Lourenço e Santa Catarina. Team member:
Manuela Oliveira – cooperation between University of Cabo Verde and University of Évora.
University of Maryland, School of Public Health (Prof. Edmond D. Shenassa), Rhode Island State Health
Department and Brown University, USA. (Dr. Kathy Taylor) – JM.
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Other professional, dissemination and outreach activities
Members of this group have been very active participating in University appointments, professional societies,
editorial and referee national activities, dissemination and outreach activities within the general community.
University appointments
2008-10 Mathematics Department: PIS (Director, VP Exact Sc. Area, 2008; Vice-Director, 2010); DP (ViceDirector, 2009; Director 2010); IS (Deputy Pres. 2008)
2008-10 Master Math.Teach: DP (Vice-Director)
2008-12 Master Stat. Mod. & Data Analysis: Director: PIS (2008-10), MM (2011-12); Vice-Director: DG, CB
(2008-09) & DG, GJ (2010-11), AA & PF (2011-2012)
2008, 11 PhD Program in Mathematics and Masters in Mathematics and Applications, Vice-Director: CB (2008) &
MO (2011)
2009-12 Rector of the University of Évora: CB (2010-present), Scientific Board of UE: CB (elected member 2009)
2009-12 Vice Director of CIMA-UE: PIS (09-11), DP (11-12)
2010-12 Elected Coordinator of SSALS project: CB (2008-10), RAJ (2010-12)
Professional societies activities
2008-11 Portuguese Statistical Society: CB (President), RAJ (Board), PIS (G. Assembly),
2008-11 European Society for Mathematical and Theoretical Biology: CB (President), Bernoulli Society: CB
(European Regional Committee); International Center for Mathematics: CB (Auditory Board),
Scient.Comm.Int.Conf.Math Teach.(CB)
2009-12 Portuguese Journal of Quantitative Methods: RAJ (Associate Editor), Journal of Animal Biodiversity and
Conservation: RAJ (Associate Editor)
2010-11 Portuguese Mathematical Society: CB (Bulletin’s Editorial Board), Journal of Mathematical Biology: CB
(Co-Editor of Perspectives section)
Dissemination activities
2008
UNESCO Expo “Experiencing Math.", 1st Évora OURI Champ. (PIS,ID); School manuals scient.rev.(DG,
2008), Lecture "Math. Games" at Secondary School, Math afternoons lectures (PIS: organizer)
2008-10 Coordinator+Jury Young Statistician Awards SPE (RAJ)
2010-12 Organizing Committee of Campo Estatístico Júnior -Radical Estatística: DG (2010-12), PIS (2010)
2010-12 Reinhart Heinrich Doctoral Thesis Award: CB (panel jury member)
International publications
International peer-reviewed journals
1 Alpizar-Jara, R., Smith, C.E. (2008). A continuous-time version and a generalization of a Markov-recapture
model for trapping experiments. Mathematical Biosciences 214 (1-2): 11-19.
2 Antunes, N., Jacinto, G., Pacheco, A. (2008). On the minimum hop count and connectivity in one-dimensional
ad hoc wireless networks. Telecommunication Systems 39(2): 137-143. DOI: 10.1007/s11235-008-9118-9
3 Areia, A. Oliveira, M. M., Mexia, J. T. (2008). Models for series of studies based on geometrical
representation. Statistical Methodology 5(3): 277-288.
4 Braumann, C. A. (2008). Growth and extinction in randomly varying populations. Computers and
Mathematics with Applications 56 (3): 631-644. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.camwa.2008.01.006
5 Pereira, D. G., Mexia, J. T. (2008). Selection proposal of cultivars of spring barley in the years from 2001 to
2004, using the Joint Regression Analysis. Plant Breeding, 127: 452-458.
6 Pereira, D. G.; Mexia, J. T. (2008). Application of selective F tests in joint regression analysis. J. Stat. Theory
Pract. 2 , no. 1, 71–81.
7 Rodrigues Dias, J., Infante, P. (2008). Control Charts with Predetermined Sampling Intervals. International
Journal of Quality and Reliability Management 25(4): 423-435
8 Serrano, E., Alpizar-Jara, R., Morellet, N., Hewison, J.M. (2008). A half a century of measuring ungulate body
condition using indices. Is it time for a change? European Journal of Wildlife Research 54:675-680.
9 Carvalho, F., Mexia, J. T., Oliveira, M. M., (2009). Estimation in models with Commutative Orthogonal Block
Structure. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice 3 (2). pp. 523-533.
10 Gomes, D. e Canto e Castro, L. (2009). Generalized Integer-Valued Random Coefficient for a first Order
Structure Autoregressive (RCINAR) process. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 139, pp. 4088-4097
11 Filipe, P.A., Braumann, C.A., Brites, N.M. e Roquete, C.J. (2010) Modelling Animal Growth in Random
Environments: An Application Using Nonparametric Estimation. Biometrical Journal, 52(5):653-666.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bimj.200900273
12 Mexia, JT ; Oliveira, MM (2010). Asymptotic linearity and limit distributions, approximations. JOURNAL OF
STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE Volume: 140 Issue: 2 Pages: 353-357
13 Pereira, AMF; Alves, A; Infante, P; Titto, EAL; Baccari, F; Almeida, JAA (2010). A device to improve the
Schleger and Turner method for sweating rate measurements. International Journal of Biometeorology, 54:
37-43
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14 Pereira, D. G., Mexia, J. T. (2010). Comparing double minimization and zigzag algorithms in Joint Regression
Analysis: the complete case. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation , 80: 133-141
15 Villafuerte, L., Braumann, C. A., Cortés, J.-C., Jódar, L. (2010). Random differential operational calculus:
Theory and applications. Computers and Mathematics with Applications 59: 115-125. RDPC:
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/2575. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.camwa.2009.08.061
16 Castro, M. R., Belo, A. F., Afonso, A. e Zavattieri, M. A. (2011). Micropropagation of Juniperus navicularis, an
endemic and rare species from Portugal SW coast. Plant Growth Regulation, 65(2), 223-230. DOI:
10.1007/s10725-011-9590-1. http://hdl.handle.net/10174/3942
17 Cruz-Ferreira, A., Fernandes, J., Gomes, D., Bernardo, L. M., Kirkcaldy, B., Barbosa, T. and Silva, A. (2011).
Effects of Pilates-based Exercise on Life Satisfaction, Physical Self-concept and Health Status in Adult
Women. Women & Health, Volume 51 Issue 3, pp. 240-255. http://hdl.handle.net/10174/3689
18 Garcia-Gonzalo, J.; Marques, S.; Borges, J. G.; Botequim, B.; Oliveira, M. M.; Tome, J.; Tome, M. (2011) A
three-step approach to post-fire mortality modelling in maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait) stands for
enhanced forest planning in Portugal. FORESTRY 84(2). 197-206.
19 Marques, S ; Borges, JG; Garcia-Gonzalo, J ; Moreira, F; Carreiras, JMB; Oliveira, MM ; Cantarinha, A ;
Botequim, B ; Pereira, JMC . (2011) . Characterization of wildfires in Portugal. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF
FOREST RESEARCH 130(5), 775-784
20 Marques, S ; Garcia-Gonzalo, J ; Borges, JG; Botequim, B; Oliveira, MM ; Tome, J; Tome, M. (2011)
Developing Post-Fire Eucalyptus globulus Stand Damage and Tree Mortality Models for Enhanced Forest
Planning in Portugal. SILVA FENNICA Volume: 45 Issue: 1 Pages: 69-83.
21 Rodrigues, P.C., Pereira, D. G. and Mexia, J.T. (2011). A comparison between Joint Regression Analysis and
the Additive Main and Multiplicative Interaction model: the robustness with increasing amounts of missing
data. Scientia Agricola, 68: 679–686
22 Larguinho, M., Dias, J. C., Braumann, C.A. (2013). On the computation of option prices and Greeks under the
CEV model. Quantitative Finance 13 (6): 907-917. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2013.765958
(Accepted in 2012)
23 Cam, E., Gimenez, O., Alpizar-Jara, R., Aubry, LM., Authier, M., Cooch, EG., Koons, DN., Link, WA., Monnat,
JY., Nichols, JD., Rotella, JJ., Royle, JA, & Pradel, R. (2012). Looking for a needle in a haystack: inference
about individual fitness components in a heterogeneous population. Oikos, online first, doi: 10.1111/j.16000707.2012.20532.x. Vol. 122 (5). Pages: 739-753. (online first)
24 Coelho, R.; Infante, P.; Santos, M. (2013). Application of generalized linear models and generalized
estimation equations to model at-haulback mortality of blue sharks captured in a pelagic longline fishery in
the Atlantic Ocean. Fisheries Research, Vol. 145, p. 66-75. Elsevier. (Accepted in 2012)
25 de Carvalho, M; Fonseca, M ; Oliveira, M; Mexia, JT (2012). A dimension reduction technique for estimation
in linear mixed models. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION 82(2) Special Issue:
SI, p. 219-226 DOI: 10.1080/00949655.2011.604032.
26 Filipe, P.A., Braumann, C.A. e Roquete, C.J. (2012) Multiphasic individual growth models in random
environments, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 14 (1): 49-56.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11009-010-9172-0
27 Garcia-Gonzalo J., Zubizarreta-Gerendiain A., Ricardo A., Marques S., Botequim B., Borges J. G., Oliveira M.
M., 2012. Tomé M. and Pereira, J.M.C. Modelling wildfire risk in pure and mixed forest stands in Portugal.
German Journal of Forest Research. 183(11/12):238-248.
28 Pereira, Dulce G.; Rodrigues, Paulo C.; Mejza, Stanislaw; Mexia, João T. (2012). A comparison between joint
regression analysis and the AMMI model: a case study with barley. J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 82, no. 2, 193–
207.
29 Pereira, Dulce G.; Rodrigues, Paulo C.; Mejza, Stanislaw; Mejza, Iwona; Mexia, João T. (2012). Analyzing
genotype-by-environment interaction using curvilinear regression. Scientia Agricola 69(6), 357-363
30 Lopes, Manuel José, Escoval, Ana, Pereira, Dulce Gamito, Pereira, Carla Sandra, Carvalho, Catarina, &
Fonseca, César. (2013). Evaluation of elderly persons' functionality and care needs. Revista Latino-Americana
de Enfermagem, 21(spe), 52-60. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0104-11692013000700008 (Accepted in
2012)
31 Madeira, S.; Infante, P.; Didelet, F (2013). Use of survival in a refinery. Revstat - Statistical Journal, Vol. 11,
N. 1, p. 45-65. INE. (Accepted in 2012)
32 Marques, S; Garcia-Gonzalo, J; Botequim, B; Ricardo, A; Borges, JG; Tome, M; Oliveira, MM. (2012).
Assessing wildfire occurrence probability in Pinus pinaster Ait. stands in Portugal . FOREST SYSTEMS Volume:
21 Issue: 1 Pages: 111-120 DOI: 10.5424/fs/2112211-11374.
33 Nunes, C., Gomes, D., Filipe, P., Areias, C., de Sousa, B. e Briz, T. (2012). Spatiotemporal epidemiology in
the identification of critical areas: an application to tuberculosis. European Journal of Epidemiology, Vol.27,
Supplement 1, p.S149
34 Nunes, C; Oliveira, MM; Mexia, JT. (2013). Application domains for the Delta method . STATISTICS 47(2):
317-328 DOI: 10.1080/02331888.2011.605892 (Accepted in 2012)
35 Silva, HG ; Bezzeghoud, M; Oliveira, MM; Reis, AH; Rosa, RN. (2013). ANNALS OF GEOPHYSICS. A simple
statistical procedure for the analysis of radon anomalies associated with seismic activity 56(1)-R0106. DOI:
10.4401/ag-5570 (Accepted in 2012).
36 Silva, HG; Oliveira, MM; Serrano, C; Bezzeghoud, M; Reis, AH; Rosa, RN; Biagi, PF. (2012). Influence of
seismic activity on the atmospheric electric field in Lisbon (Portugal) from 1955 to 1991. ANNALS OF
GEOPHYSICS Volume: 55 Issue: 1 Special Issue: SI Pages: 193-197 DOI: 10.4401/ag-5361.
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Chapter books/books da circulação internacional
1 Pérez, J.J. & Alpizar-Jara, R. (2008). Towards the use of distance sampling to monitorize mountain ungulates
numbers. Ecosystem Ecology Research Trends (J. Chen & C. Guô, eds.) Nova Science Publishers, p. 9-20
2 Pereira, D. G., Rodrigues, P. C., Oliveira, A., Mexia, J. T. (2009). Joint Regression Analysis and Completed
Joint Regression Analysis. In: Plant Breeding (Huttunen, N.; Sinisalo, T. editors), Nova Science Publishers,
N.Y. 227-253 (Chapter in international book by Invitation).
3 Braumann, C. A. (2010). Environmental vs Demographic Stochasticity in Population Growth. In Workshop on
Branching Processes and Their Applications, Lecture Notes in Statistics - Proceedings , Vol. 197 (González
Velasco, M., del Puerto, I.M., Martínez, R., Molina, M., Mota, M., Ramos, A., editors), Springer, Chapter 3, p.
37-52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-11156-3_3
Edited books/books da circulação internacional
1 da Silva, J.L.; Caeiro, F.; Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A.; Esquível, M.L.; Mexia, J. (Eds.) (2013, accepted 2011).
Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical
Applications. Springer Series: Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, xviii+471 pgs., URL:
http://www.springer.com/statistics/statistical+theory+and+methods/book/978-3-642-34903-4
Peer-reviewed articles in edited books of international circulation
1 Filipe, P.A.; Braumann, C.A.; Brites, N.M.; Roquete, C.J. (2013, accepted 2012). Prediction for individual
growth in a random environment. In Recent Developments in Modeling and Applications in Statistics.
Oliveira, P.E.; Graça Temido, M.; Henriques, C.; Vichi, M. (Eds.), Springer, p. 193-201. URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32419-2_20 "
2 Gonçalo Jacinto, Nelson Antunes, António Pacheco. Modelling the Duration of Multihop Paths in Mobile Ad
Hoc Networks. Recent Developments in Modeling and Applications in Statistics: Studies in Theoretical and
Applied Statistics 2013, pp 249-260. Editor:Paulo Eduardo Oliveira, Maria da Graça Temido, Carla Henriques
and Maurizio Vichi. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32419-2_2
3 Larguinho, M.; Dias, J.C.; Braumann, C.A. (2013, accepted 2012). A note on (dis)investment options and
perpetuities under CIR interest rates. In Recent Developments in Modeling and Applications in Statistics.
Oliveira, P.E.; Graça Temido, M.; Henriques, C.; Vichi, M. (Eds.), Springer, p. 203-211.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32419-2_21
4 Larguinho, M., Dias, J.C. and Braumann, C.A. (2013, accepted 2012). Absolute Diffusion Process: Sensitivity
Measures. In Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme Values, Markov Processes and Other
Statistical Applications, da Silva, J.L.; Caeiro, F.; Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A.; Esquível, M.L.; Mexia,J. (Eds.),
Springer, p. 249-257. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34904-1_26
5 Carlos, C., Braumann, C.A e Filipe, P.A. (2013, accepted 2012). Models of individual growth in a random
environment: study and application of first passage times. In Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis,
Extreme Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications, da Silva, J.L.; Caeiro, F.; Natário, I.;
Braumann, C.A.; Esquível, M.L.; Mexia, J. (Eds.), Springer, p. 103-111. Eds.), Springer, URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34904-1_10
6 Lagarto, S., Nunes, C., Gomes, D. and Mendes, M. F. (2013). Portuguese Older Population Mortality:
Spatiotemporal Analysis by Cause-of-Death and Sex. Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme
Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications, December, 2012. Series: Studies in Theoretical
and Applied Statistics. Subseries: Selected Papers of the Statistical Societies (Lita da Silva, J.; Caeiro, F.;
Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A. (Eds.)).
URL:http://www.springer.com/statistics/statistical+theory+and+methods/book/978-3-642-34903-4
7 Mendes, M. F., Caleiro, A., Lagarto, S. and Ribeiro, F. (2013). An Application of Statistical Methods of Indirect
Estimation and Projection of Internal Migration Flows Within the Portuguese Mainland. Advances in
Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications,
December, 2012. Series: Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics. Subseries: Selected Papers of the
Statistical Societies (Lita da Silva, J.; Caeiro, F.; Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A.
(Eds.)).URL:http://www.springer.com/statistics/statistical+theory+and+methods/book/978-3-642-34903-4
8 Pereira, D. G.; Sampaio, A. (2013). Joint Regression Analysis and Incorporation of Environmental Variables in
Stochastic Frontier Production Function: An Application to Experimental Data of Winter Rye. In Advances in
Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications, da Silva,
J.L.; Caeiro, F.; Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A.; Esquível, M.L.; Mexia, J. (Eds.), Springer, Berlin, pp. 325-336,
URL: http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-34904-1_34
9 Canto e Castro, L., Gomes, D. and Temido, M. G. (2013). Extremal Behavior of the Generalized IntegerValued Random Coefficient Autoregressive Process. Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis, Extreme
Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications, December, 2012. Series: Studies in Theoretical
and Applied Statistics. Subseries: Selected Papers of the Statistical Societies (Lita da Silva, J.; Caeiro, F.;
Natário, I.; Braumann, C.A. (Eds.)), pp. 93-101, Springer, Berlin.
10 Carlos, C.; Braumann, C.A. Consequences of an incorrect model specification on population growth. In a
future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Pacheco, A.; Oliveira, R.; Santos, R.
(eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
11 Carvalho, L.; Infante, P.; Afonso, A. Évora Residentes and Sports Activity. Selected Papers of SPE 2011,
Springer. (Accepted November 2012)
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SSALS/CIMA-U.E.
12 Filipe, P. A.; Braumann, C.A.; Carlos, C.; Roquete, C.J. Individual growth in a random environment: an
optimization problem. In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Pacheco,
A.; Oliveira, R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
13 Jacinto, G. Nelson Antunes, António Pacheco. Nearest Neighbor Connectivity in Two-Dimensional Multihop
MANETs. In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Pacheco, A.; Oliveira,
R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
14 Jacinto, G.; Infante, P.; Pereira, C. Application of Item Response Theory to Mathematics High School Exams
in Portugal. In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Pacheco, A.;
Oliveira, R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
15 Lagarto, S.; Braumann, C.A. Modeling human population death rates: a bi–dimensional stochastic Gompertz
model with correlated Wiener processes. In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied
Statistics, Pacheco, A.; Oliveira, R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
16 Larguinho, M.; Dias, J.C.; Braumann, C.A. Valuation of bond options under the CIR model: some
computational remarks. In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics,
Pacheco, A.; Oliveira, R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
17 Natário, I., Oliveira M.M., Marques, S. (2013). Using INLA to estimate a highly dimensional spatial model for
forest fires in Portugal. . In a future volume of the series Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics,
Pacheco, A.; Oliveira, R.; Santos, R. (eds.), Springer, Berlin. Submitted 2012, Accepted 2012.
International conference proceedings
1 Afonso, A., Alpizar-Jara, R., Moço, G., Granados, J. E. & Pérez, J. M. (2008). Dimensión de la muestra y
estimación de su varianza en muestreo por distancias: una aplicación en la estima de abundancia de
poblaciones de ungulados de montaña. In: Tendencias actuales en el estudio y conservación de los Caprinos
Europeos. II Congreso Internacional del género Capra en Europa. (Granados Torres, J.E., Cano-Manuel, J.,
Fandos Paris, P. & Cadenas del Llano, R. (Eds.) Consejería de Medio Ambiente, Granada, España. Granada,
España. p. 15-29.
2 Filipe, P. A. and Braumann, C. A. (2008). Modelling individual animal growth in random environments. In
Proceedings of the 23d International Workshop on Statistical Modelling", Eilers, P. H. C. (ed.), Utrecht, p.
232- 237.
3 Gomes, D., Nunes, C. e Canto e Castro, L. (2008). Cold and Heat waves: modelling mortality in Évora Portugal. In Proceeding of the 23rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling (Paul H. C. Eilers, editor),
pp. 250-55. 2008. Holanda. http://hdl.handle.net/10174/6876
4 Monteiro, J.F., Alpizar-Jara, R., Serrano, E., Crampe, J.P. & Pérez, J.M. (2008). Estimación Bayesiana de g0
usando el muestreo por distancias y su aplicación en las estimas de densidad de ungulados de montaña
(Rupicapra pyrenaica). In:Tendencias actuales en el estudio y conservación de los Caprinos Europeos. II
Congreso Internacional del género Capra en Europa. (Granados Torres, J.E., Cano-Manuel, J., Fandos Paris,
P. & Cadenas del Llano, R. (Eds.) Consejería de Medio Ambiente, Granada, España. p. 207-217.
5 Braumann, C. A., Filipe, P. A., Carlos C., Roquete, C. J. (2009). Growth of individuals in randomly fluctuating
environments. In Proceedings of the 2009 International Conference in Computational and Mathematical
Methods in Science and Engineering"" (Vigo-Aguiar, J. Alonso, P., Oharu, S., Venturino, E., Wade, B.,
editors), Gijón, pp. 201-212.
6 Filipe, P.A., Braumann, C. A., Roquete, C. J. (2009). Multiphasic individual growth models in random
environments. In Proceedings of XIII International Conference of Applied Stochastic Models and Data
Analysis ASMDA 2009" (Sakalauskas, L., Skiadas, C., Zavadskas, E. K., editors), Vilnius, pp. 422-426.
7 Antunes, N., Jacinto, G. e Pacheco, A. (2010). An Analytical Framework to Infer Multihop Path Reliability in
MANETs. ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review, 38-1, p. 323-332. June 2010. ACM. RDPC:
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/2453
8 Dias, M.I., Silva, G. (2011). Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Forest Fires in Portugal. Spatial2: Spatial Data
Methods for Environmental and Ecological Processes, 2nd Edition Proceedings, (electronic publication, 4
pages) http://hdl.handle.net/10174/4913
9 Gomes, D., Teles, J. e Canto e Castro, L. (2011). Modeling swimming marks through Blocks and POT
methods. In Proceeding of the 26rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling (David Conesa, Anabel
Forte, Antonio López-Quílez and Facundo Muñoz, editors), pp. 273-75. 2011. Spain.
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/4309
10 Nunes, C., Briz, T., Gomes, D. and Filipe, P.A. (2011). Pulmonary Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS: joint spacetime clustering under an epidemiological perspective. In Proceedings of the Spatial Data Methods for
Environmental and Ecological Processes - 2nd Edition. 2011 European Regional Conference of the
International Environmetrics Society. Satellite of the 58th World Statistics Congress of the International
Statistical Institute (ISI), Italy. Barbara Cafarelli (Ed.), Foggia e Gargano, Italy, 31th August - 2nd September
2011, published on the electronic Proceedings. http://hdl.handle.net/10174/4306
11 Larguinho, M., J.C. Dias, and C.A. Braumann (2011). Speed and Accuracy Comparison of Noncentral ChiSquare Distribution Methods for Option Pricing and Hedging under the CEV model. 18th International
Conference on Forecasting Financial Markets: Advances for Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Asset
Management, Marseille, France, May 25-27, 2011. Published in the CD-ROM Proceedings.
12 Mexia, JT ; Nunes, C ; Oliveira, MM (2011). Multivariate Application Domains for the Delta Method. Editor:
Simos, TE . NUMERICAL ANALYSIS AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS ICNAAM 2011: INTERNATIONAL
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CONFERENCE ON NUMERICAL ANALYSIS AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS, VOLS A-C Book Series: AIP
Conference Proceedings.
Antunes, N., Gonçalo Jacinto, António Pacheco. (2013.) Probing a M/G/1 Queue with General Input and
Service Times. Accepted for publication in Special Issue of ACM Performance Evaluation Review (PER).
(http://www.sigmetrics.org/mama/abstracts2013/AntunesEtAl.pdf)
Braumann, C.A., Patrícia A. Filipe, Clara Carlos, Carlos J. Roquete (2012). Stochastic differential equation
general models of individual growth in uncertain environments and application to profit optimization in
livestock production. In Bulletin of the ISI 58th World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical
Institute, 2011, Dublin, p. 4450-4455. http://2011.isiproceedings.org/papers/950670.pdf
"Filipe, P.A., Gomes, D., Nunes, C., Silva, M., de Sousa, B. e Briz, T. (2012). Delay in diagnosis of
PulmonaryTuberculosis in Portugal. In Proceedings of the 27th International Workshop on Statistical
Modelling. Volume II, Arnošt Komárek e Stanislav Nagy (Eds.), Praga, 501- 506"
Larguinho, M.; Dias, J. C.; Braumann, C. A. (2012). Bond Options, Sensitivity Measures, and Sinking-Fund
Bonds under the CIR Framework. In 7th Finance Conference of the Portuguese Finance Network (electronic
proceedings), Aveiro (5-7 julho 2012).
Quaresma, C.; Dias, I.; Forjaz Secca, M.; Goyri O’Neill, J.; Branco, J. (2012) Biomechanical Measurements in
the Spinal Column of Pregnant Women Using Vertebral Metrics, 2012 IFMBE Proceedings 37, Springer, p 842
- 845 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/4821
Braumann, C. A.; Carlos; C. (2013). Allee effects in randomly varying environments. In Proceedings of the
2013 International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering.
Hamilton, I. P.; Vigo-Aguiar, J. (Eds.), Cabo de Gata, Almería, Espanha (24-27 junho 2013). p. 304-307.
Gomes, D., Filipe, P.A., Nunes, C. e de Sousa, B. (2013). "Penalized spline smoothing for delay in Pulmonary
Tuberculosis diagnosis". In Proceedings of the 28th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. Volume
II, Muggeo, V.M.R., Capursi V., Boscaino G. and Lovison G. (Eds.), Palermo, 621-25.
Other internacional publications
1 Carvalho, F., Mexia, J. T., Oliveira, M. M. (2008). Canonical Inference and Commutative Orthogonal Block
Structure. Discussiones Mathematicae: Probability and Statistics 28, 171–181.
2 Candeias, A., Rebelo, H., Bonito, J., Oliveira, M., e Trindade, V. (2010). Representações dos estudantes
sobre qualidade de ensino - estudos psicométricos de validação de um questionário no ensino público
português. International Journal of Developmental and Educational Psychology INFAD. Revista de Psicologia,
Ano XXII, 1(3), 27-35. RDPC: http://hdl.handle.net/10174/2593 ou RDPC: http://hdl.handle.net/10174/2595
3 Cid, M.; Saraiva, M.; Pereira, D. G.; Sampaio, A.; Bonito, J. (2010). Percepção Estudantil da Qualidade do
Ensino Superior Público no Alentejo (Portugal). Millenium, 39: 19-53. RDPC:
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/2474
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